Predictability problem in dynamical systems and in chaotic climate dynamics
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
2018-12-27 v3
Abstract
Predictability horizon properties of chaotic dynamical systems can be related to their spectral properties. It is shown, using this relationship, that the spectral properties of the leading large-scale climate daily indices indicate a smooth predictability: i.e. their intrinsic predictability horizons can be indefinitely extended by reducing the initial error. Special properties of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and some models (including ensemble weather forecasting) have been also discussed in this context.
Cite
@article{arxiv.1811.02449,
title = {Predictability problem in dynamical systems and in chaotic climate dynamics},
author = {A. Bershadskii},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1811.02449},
year = {2018}
}
Comments
extended