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This paper investigates the evolving dynamics of international trade, emphasizing the strategic interplay between competition and cooperation within the global trade network. It argues that competitive advantages - rather than traditional…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-25 Xingwei Hu

Jointly modeling and forecasting economic and financial variables across a large set of countries has long been a significant challenge. Two primary approaches have been utilized to address this issue: the vector autoregressive model with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Sanyou Wu , Dan Yang , Yan Xu , Long Feng

The global shipping network, which moves over 80% of the world's goods, is not only a vital backbone of the global economy but also one of the most polluting industries. Studying how this network operates is crucial for improving its…

Cross-border migration brings economic and cultural impacts to the origin and destination, and is also a key to reflect the international relations of related countries. In fact, the migration relationships of countries are complex and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-27 Wensha Gou , Siyu Huang , Qinghua Chen , Jiawei Chen , Xiaomeng Li

Countries participate in global value chains by engaging in backward and forward transactions connecting multiple geographically dispersed production stages. Inspired by network theory, we model global trade as a multilayer network and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-14 Luiz G. A. Alves , Giuseppe Mangioni , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Pietro Panzarasa , Yamir Moreno

Using the new data from the OECD-WTO world network of economic activities we construct the Google matrix $G$ of this directed network and perform its detailed analysis. The network contains 58 countries and 37 activity sectors for years…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-21 V. Kandiah , H. Escaith , D. L. Shepelyansky

Considerable efforts have been made in recent years to produce detailed topologies of the Internet. Although Internet topology data have been brought to the attention of a wide and somewhat diverse audience of scholars, so far they have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-02-21 Massimo Riccaboni , Alessandro Rossi , Stefano Schiavo

The COVID-19 pandemic dramatically catalyzed the proliferation of e-shopping. The dramatic growth of e-shopping will undoubtedly cause significant impacts on travel demand. As a result, transportation modeller's ability to model e-shopping…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-23 Yicong Liu , Kaili Wang , Patrick Loa , Khandker Nurul Habib

With globalization, countries are more connected than before by trading flows, which currently amount to at least 36 trillion dollars. Interestingly, approximately 30-60 percent of global exports consist of intermediate products. Therefore,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Peiteng Shi , Jiang Zhang , Bo Yang , Jingfei Luo

The cross-correlations between the exchange rate fluctuations of 74 currencies over the period 1995-2012 are analyzed in this paper. The eigenvalue distribution of the cross-correlation matrix exhibits a bulk which approximately matches the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-02 Sitabhra Sinha , Uday Kovur

The study of international relations by definition deals with interdependencies among countries. One form of interdependence between countries is the diffusion of country-level features, such as policies, political regimes, or conflict. In…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-22 Johan A. Elkink , Thomas U. Grund

Recent crises like the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions have exposed vulnerabilities and caused disruptions of supply chains, leading to product shortages, increased costs, and economic instability. This has prompted increasing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-27 Anna Mancini , Balázs Lengyel , Riccardo Di Clemente , Giulio Cimini

We examine how the structure of the world trade network has been shaped by globalization and recessions over the last 40 years. We show that by treating the world trade network as an evolving system, theory predicts the trade network is…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-20 Jiankui He , Michael W. Deem

There has been a long-running debate in Information Technology (IT) and economics literature about the contrary arguments of IT concerning digitalization and the economic growth of nations. While many empirical studies have shown a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Mahikala Niranga , Darshana Sedera , Golam Sorwar

COVID-19 has resulted in a public health global crisis. The pandemic control necessitates epidemic models that capture the trends and impacts on infectious individuals. Many exciting models can implement this but they lack practical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ou Deng , Kiichi Tago , Qun Jin

Our analysis focuses on the stock cryptocurrency market, by studying a group of nineteen cryptocurrencies where their capitalisation is about 99% of the total market. Specifically, it is examined this group of cryptocurrencies for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-29 Stergios Intzes , Georgios D. Papadopoulos , Lykourgos Magafas

In this paper we propose to extend the separable temporal exponential random graph model (STERGM) to account for time-varying network- and actor-specific effects. Our application case is the network of international major conventional…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-05 Michael Lebacher , Paul W. Thurner , Göran Kauermann

The highly detailed international trade data among all countries in the world during 1971-2000 shows that the kinds of export goods and the logarithmic GDP (gross domestic production) of a country has an S-shaped relationship. This…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 Lunchao Hu , Kailan Tian , Xin Wang , Jiang Zhang

Establishing a resilient food trade system is an international consensus on safeguarding food security amid growing disruptions. However, a unified resilience framework has yet to be established, leading to the proliferation of diverse…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-26 Si-Yao Wei , Wei-Xing Zhou

We study the topological properties of the multinetwork of commodity-specific trade relations among world countries over the 1992-2003 period, comparing them with those of the aggregate-trade network, known in the literature as the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-22 Matteo Barigozzi , Giorgio Fagiolo , Diego Garlaschelli
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