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The large-scale organization of the world economies is exhibiting increasingly levels of local heterogeneity and global interdependency. Understanding the relation between local and global features calls for analytical tools able to uncover…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 M. Angeles Serrano , Marian Boguna , Alessandro Vespignani

Using the new data from the OECD-WTO world network of economic activities we construct the Google matrix $G$ of this directed network and perform its detailed analysis. The network contains 58 countries and 37 activity sectors for years…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-14 V. Kandiah , H. Escaith , D. L. Shepelyansky

Intra-firm trade describes the trade between affiliated firms and is increasingly important as global production is fragmented. However, statistics and data on global intra-firm trade patterns are widely unavailable. This study proposes a…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-24 Matthew Smith , Yasaman Sarabi

The digital exhaust left by flows of physical and digital commodities provides a rich measure of the nature, strength and significance of relationships between countries in the global network. With this work, we examine how these traces and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Desislava Hristova , Alex Rutherford , Jose Anson , Miguel Luengo-Oroz , Cecilia Mascolo

The distributions of trade values and relationships among countries and product categories reflect how countries select their trade partners and design export portfolios. Here we consider the exporter-importer network and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-05 Sung-Gook Choi , Deok-Sun Lee

The interdependent nature of the global economy has become stronger with increases in international trade and investment. We propose a new model to reconstruct the international trade network and associated cost network by maximizing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-05 Yuichi Ikeda , Hiroshi Iyetomi

In the paper we analyse dependence structures among international trade flows of major conventional weapons from 1952 to 2016. We employ a Network Disturbance Model commonly used in inferential network analysis and spatial econometrics. The…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-12 Michael Lebacher , Göran Kauermann

The international trade is one of the classic areas of study in economics. Nowadays, given the availability of data, the tools used for the analysis can be complemented and enriched with new methodologies and techniques that go beyond the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-23 Diego Kozlowski , Viktoriya Semeshenko , Andrea Molinari

Predicting the future evolution of complex systems is one of the main challenges in complexity science. Based on a current snapshot of a network, link prediction algorithms aim to predict its future evolution. We apply here link prediction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-18 Alexandre Vidmer , An Zeng , Matúš Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang

We show that since the mid-1990s, the trade-promoting effects of tariff liberalization have been increasingly offset by deteriorating geopolitical alignment, slowing trade globalization after 2007. To quantify this barrier, we use large…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-28 Tianyu Fan , Mai Wo , Wei Xiang

Global and regional integration has grown significantly in recent decades, boosting intra-African trade and positively impacting national economies through trade diversification and sustainable development. However, existing measures of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-29 Tekilu Tadesse Choramo , Jemal Abafita , Yerali Gandica , Luis E C Rocha

This study examines the relationship between trade openness, logistics performance, and economic growth within G20 economies. Using a Bootstrap Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model augmented by a dynamic error correction mechanism…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-30 Haibo Wang , Lutfu Sua

This paper develops an individual-based stochastic network SIR model for the empirical analysis of the Covid-19 pandemic. It derives moment conditions for the number of infected and active cases for single as well as multigroup epidemic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-05 M. Hashem Pesaran , Cynthia Fan Yang

This paper explores the relationships between migration and trade using a complex-network approach. We show that: (i) both weighted and binary versions of the networks of international migration and trade are strongly correlated; (ii) such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-24 Giorgio Fagiolo , Marina Mastrorillo

Using the United Nations COMTRADE database \cite{comtrade} we construct the Google matrix $G$ of multiproduct world trade between the UN countries and analyze the properties of trade flows on this network for years 1962 - 2010. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-02 Leonardo Ermann , Dima L. Shepelyansky

The World Trade Web (WTW) is a weighted network whose nodes correspond to countries with edge weights reflecting the value of imports and/or exports between countries. In this paper we introduce to this macroeconomic system the notion of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 N. Foti , S. Pauls , Daniel N. Rockmore

This study examined the relationship between trade facilitation and economic growth among the middle-income countries from 2010 to 2020 using 94 countries made up of 48 lower-middle-income countries and 46 upper-middle-income countries. The…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-25 Victor Ushahemba Ijirshar

International Trade (IT) plays a fundamental role in today's economy: by connecting world countries production and consumption processes, it radically contributes in shaping their economy and development path. Although its evolving…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-02-24 Paolo Sgrignoli

An economic system is an exemplar of a complex system in which all agents interact simultaneously. Interactions between countries have generally been studied using the flow of resources across diverse trade networks, in which the degree of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-07 Sungyong Kim , Jinhyuk Yun

Since 2008, the network analysis of financial systems is one of the most important subjects in economics. In this paper, we have used the complexity approach and Random Matrix Theory (RMT) for analyzing the global banking network. By…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-30 Ali Namaki , Jamshid Ardalankia , Reza Raei , Leila Hedayatifar , Ali Hosseiny , Emmanuel Haven , G. Reza Jafari