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In this paper, inference for the parametric component of a semiparametric model based on sampling from the posterior profile distribution is thoroughly investigated from the frequentist viewpoint. The higher-order validity of the profile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Guang Cheng , Michael R. Kosorok

We consider the inverse problem of recovering an unknown functional parameter $u$ in a separable Banach space, from a noisy observation $y$ of its image through a known possibly non-linear ill-posed map ${\mathcal G}$. The data $y$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Sergios Agapiou , Martin Burger , Masoumeh Dashti , Tapio Helin

Despite the popularism of Bayesian neural networks in recent years, its use is somewhat limited in complex and big data situations due to the computational cost associated with full posterior evaluations. Variational Bayes (VB) provides a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-30 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponentially tilted empirical likelihood function is constructed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

We consider a Bayesian hierarchical version of the normal theory general linear model which is practically relevant in the sense that it is general enough to have many applications and it is not straightforward to sample directly from the…

Computation · Statistics 2010-01-22 Alicia A. Johnson , Galin L. Jones

In this work we connect two notions: That of the nonparametric mode of a probability measure, defined by asymptotic small ball probabilities, and that of the Onsager-Machlup functional, a generalized density also defined via asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Remo Kretschmann

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) for adaptively collected data, such as that coming from adaptive experiments, bandits, or reinforcement learning, is necessary for critical elements of data collection such as ensuring safety and conducting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Kevin Du , Yash Nair , Lucas Janson

Objective Bayesian inference procedures are derived for the parameters of the multivariate random effects model generalized to elliptically contoured distributions. The posterior for the overall mean vector and the between-study covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-07 Olha Bodnar , Taras Bodnar

This paper examines the construction of confidence sets for parameters defined as linear functionals of a function of W and X whose conditional mean given Z and X equals the conditional mean of another variable Y given Z and X. Many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-08 Ezequiel Smucler , James M. Robins , Andrea Rotnitzky

We develop a general assumption-lean framework for constructing uniformly valid confidence sets for functionals defined by moment equalities, referred to as $Z$-functionals. Our approach combines self-normalized statistics with a test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Woonyoung Chang , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

In the setting of nonparametric multivariate regression with unknown error variance, we study asymptotic properties of a Bayesian method for estimating a regression function f and its mixed partial derivatives. We use a random series of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-13 William Weimin Yoo , Subhashis Ghosal

This work presents a novel and effective method for fitting multidimensional ellipsoids to scattered data in the contamination of noise and outliers. We approach the problem as a Bayesian parameter estimate process and maximize the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Zhao Mingyang , Jia Xiaohong , Ma Lei , Shi Yuke , Jiang Jingen , Li Qizhai , Yan Dong-Ming , Huang Tiejun

Bayesian statistics has gained popularity in psychological research due to its intuitive uncertainty quantification and convenient information-updating rules. In many applications, however, prior distributions are introduced merely as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Yang Liu , Jonathan P. Williams , Jan Hannig

The need for regression models to predict circular values arises in many scientific fields. In this work we explore a family of expressive and interpretable distributions over circle-valued random functions related to Gaussian processes…

We present a new approach to semiparametric inference using corrected posterior distributions. The method allows us to leverage the adaptivity, regularization and predictive power of nonparametric Bayesian procedures to estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Andrew Yiu , Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes , Judith Rousseau

Bernstein's theorem (also called Hausdorff--Bernstein--Widder theorem) enables the integral representation of a completely monotonic function. We introduce a finite completely monotonic function, which is a completely monotonic function…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Yohei M. Koyama

Completely automatic and adaptive non-parametric inference is a pie in the sky. The frequentist approach, best exemplified by the kernel estimators, has excellent asymptotic characteristics but it is very sensitive to the choice of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Carlos C. Rodriguez

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\theta$ of physical significance which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

Consider the Gaussian sequence model under the additional assumption that a fixed fraction of the means is known. We study the problem of variance estimation from a frequentist Bayesian perspective. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Gianluca Finocchio , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

A central theme in classical algorithms for the reconstruction of discontinuous functions from observational data is perimeter regularization via the use of the total variation. On the other hand, sparse or noisy data often demands a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-13 Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Matthew M. Dunlop , Charles M. Elliott , Viet Ha Hoang , Andrew M. Stuart