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The interpretation of coefficients from multivariate linear regression relies on the assumption that the conditional expectation function is linear in the variables. However, in many cases the underlying data generating process is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-16 Nadav Kunievsky

In modeling multivariate time series, it is important to allow time-varying smoothness in the mean and covariance process. In particular, there may be certain time intervals exhibiting rapid changes and others in which changes are slow. If…

Applications · Statistics 2014-06-02 Daniele Durante , Bruno Scarpa , David B. Dunson

In this paper, we introduce a large class of (so-called) conditional indicators, on a complete probability space with respect to a sub $\sigma$-algebra. A conditional indicator is a positive mapping, which is not necessary linear, but may…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Dorsaf Cherif , Emmanuel Lepinette

We introduce a class of semiparametric time series models by assuming a quasi-likelihood approach driven by a latent factor process. More specifically, given the latent process, we only specify the conditional mean and variance of the time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Gisele O. Maia , Wagner Barreto-Souza , Fernando S. Bastos , Hernando Ombao

Estimating large covariance and precision matrices are fundamental in modern multivariate analysis. The problems arise from statistical analysis of large panel economics and finance data. The covariance matrix reveals marginal correlations…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-17 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Han Liu

We show that moment inequalities in a wide variety of economic applications have a particular linear conditional structure. We use this structure to construct uniformly valid confidence sets that remain computationally tractable even in…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-20 Isaiah Andrews , Jonathan Roth , Ariel Pakes

Panel data models with unobserved heterogeneity in the form of interactive effects standardly assume that the time effects -- or ``common factors'' -- enter linearly. This assumption is restrictive because it concerns an unobserved…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-29 Christina Maschmann , Joakim Westerlund

Assuming some regression model, it is common to study the conditional distribution of survival given covariates. Here, we consider the impact of further conditioning, specifically conditioning on a marginal survival function, known or…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-11 Roxane Duroux , Cécile Chauvel , John O'Quigley

Factor analysis refers to a statistical model in which observed variables are conditionally independent given fewer hidden variables, known as factors, and all the random variables follow a multivariate normal distribution. The parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Mathias Drton , Bernd Sturmfels , Seth Sullivant

In this paper we introduce a sublinear conditional operator with respect to a family of possibly nondominated probability measures in presence of multiple ordered default times. In this way we generalize the results of [5], where a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-17 Francesca Biagini , Andrea Mazzon , Katharina Oberpriller

There are two approaches to time series approximate factor models: the static factor model, where the factors are loaded contemporaneously by the common component, and the Generalised Dynamic Factor Model, where the factors are loaded with…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-28 Philipp Gersing , Matteo Barigozzi , Christoph Rust , Manfred Deistler

We investigate a solution for the problems related to the application of multivariate GARCH models to markets with a large number of stocks by restricting the form of the conditional covariance matrix. The model is a factor model and uses…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-03 Matthias Raddant , Friedrich Wagner

High-dimensional matrix-variate time series data are becoming widely available in many scientific fields, such as economics, biology, and meteorology. To achieve significant dimension reduction while preserving the intrinsic matrix…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Elynn Y. Chen , Ruey S. Tsay , Rong Chen

This paper provides a new approach for identifying and estimating the Average Treatment Effect on the Treated under a linear factor model that allows for multiple time-varying unobservables. Unlike the majority of the literature on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-28 Koki Fusejima , Takuya Ishihara

We consider a flexible semiparametric quantile regression model for analyzing high dimensional heterogeneous data. This model has several appealing features: (1) By considering different conditional quantiles, we may obtain a more complete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-25 Ben Sherwood , Lan Wang

We demonstrate that machine learning methods provide a powerful framework for modelling conditional asymmetric risk. Using a large cross-section of US stocks and a comprehensive set of firm characteristics, we show that allowing for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-28 Thomas Conlon , John Cotter , Iason Kynigakis

In this paper, we propose a non-parametric conditional factor regression (NCFR)model for domains with high-dimensional input and response. NCFR enhances linear regression in two ways: a) introducing low-dimensional latent factors leading to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-03 Ava Bargi , Richard Yi Da Xu , Massimo Piccardi

Graphical models are a powerful tool to estimate a high-dimensional inverse covariance (precision) matrix, which has been applied for a portfolio allocation problem. The assumption made by these models is a sparsity of the precision matrix.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-04 Tae-Hwy Lee , Ekaterina Seregina

Joint Bayesian factor models are popular for characterizing relationships between multivariate correlated predictors and a response variable. Standard models assume that all variables, including both the predictors and the response, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-19 Glenn Palmer , David B. Dunson

This paper presents a general framework for estimating high-dimensional conditional latent factor models via constrained nuclear norm regularization. We establish large sample properties of the estimators and provide efficient algorithms…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-09 Qihui Chen
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