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This paper investigates how to measure common market risk factors using newly proposed Panel Quantile Regression Model for Returns. By exploring the fact that volatility crosses all quantiles of the return distribution and using penalized…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-30 Frantisek Cech , Jozef Barunik

We consider a financial market in discrete time and study pricing and hedging conditional on the information available up to an arbitrary point in time. In this conditional framework, we determine the structure of arbitrage-free prices.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-15 Lars Niemann , Thorsten Schmidt

Several fundamental and closely interconnected issues related to factor models are reviewed and discussed: dynamic versus static loadings, rate-strong versus rate-weak factors, the concept of weakly common component recently introduced by…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-06 Matteo Barigozzi , Marc Hallin

We forecast a single time series using a high-dimensional set of predictors. When these predictors share common underlying dynamics, an approximate latent factor model provides a powerful characterization of their co-movements Bai(2003).…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-11 Rajveer Jat , Daanish Padha

High-dimensional covariates often admit linear factor structure. To effectively screen correlated covariates in high-dimension, we propose a conditional variable screening test based on non-parametric regression using neural networks due to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-21 Jianqing Fan , Weining Wang , Yue Zhao

Financial markets are prominent examples for highly non-stationary systems. Sample averaged observables such as variances and correlation coefficients strongly depend on the time window in which they are evaluated. This implies severe…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

An old problem in multivariate statistics is that linear Gaussian models are often unidentifiable, i.e. some parameters cannot be uniquely estimated. In factor (component) analysis, an orthogonal rotation of the factors is unidentifiable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-04 Aapo Hyvärinen , Ilyes Khemakhem , Ricardo Monti

We consider marginal log-linear models for parameterizing distributions on multidimensional contingency tables. These models generalize ordinary log-linear and multivariate logistic models, besides several others. First, we obtain some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-25 S. Ghosh , P. Vellaisamy

Modern empirical analysis often relies on high-dimensional panel datasets with non-negligible cross-sectional and time-series correlations. Factor models are natural for capturing such dependencies. A tensor factor model describes the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-10 Andrii Babii , Eric Ghysels , Junsu Pan

Successful modeling of degradation performance data is essential for accurate reliability assessment and failure predictions of highly reliable product units. The degradation performance measurements over time are highly heterogeneous. Such…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-17 Xuxue Sun , Wenjun Cai , Qiong Zhang , Mingyang Li

We establish oracle inequalities for a version of the Lasso in high-dimensional fixed effects dynamic panel data models. The inequalities are valid for the coefficients of the dynamic and exogenous regressors. Separate oracle inequalities…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-05 Anders Bredahl Kock , Haihan Tang

Over the last decade, nonparametric methods have gained increasing attention for modeling complex data structures due to their flexibility and minimal structural assumptions. In this paper, we study a general multivariate nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Kunal Rai , Archi Roy , Itai Dattner , Soudeep Deb

Principal component analysis and factor analysis are fundamental multivariate analysis methods. In this paper a unified framework to connect them is introduced. Under a general latent variable model, we present matrix optimization problems…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-31 Shifeng Xiong

A Bayes factor is proposed for testing whether the effect of a key predictor variable on the dependent variable is linear or nonlinear, possibly while controlling for certain covariates. The test can be used (i) when one is interested in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-16 Joris Mulder

This paper investigates nonlinear panel regression models with interactive fixed effects and introduces a general framework for parameter estimation under potentially non-convex objective functions. We propose a computationally feasible…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-01 Kan Yao

Consider a high-dimensional linear regression problem, where the number of covariates is larger than the number of observations and the interest is in estimating the conditional variance of the response variable given the covariates. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-29 David Azriel

This work considers estimation and forecasting in a multivariate, possibly high-dimensional count time series model constructed from a transformation of a latent Gaussian dynamic factor series. The estimation of the latent model parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Younghoon Kim , Marie-Christine Düker , Zachary F. Fisher , Vladas Pipiras

We study factor models that combine latent factors with firm characteristics and propose a new framework for modeling, estimating, and inferring pricing errors. Following Zhang (2024), our approach decomposes mispricing into two distinct…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-06 Jungjun Choi , Ming Yuan

The paper discusses identification conditions, representations and relations of generalized least squares estimators of regression parameters in multivariate linear regression models such as seemingly unrelated and fixed effect panel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Harry Haupt

Estimating the covariance of asset returns, i.e., the risk model, is a key component of financial portfolio construction and evaluation. Most risk modeling approaches produce a factor model that decomposes the asset variability into two…