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We investigate and extend the result that an alpha-weight angle from unconstrained quadratic portfolio optimisations has an upper bound dependent on the condition number of the covariance matrix. This is known to imply that better…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-03 Lara Dalmeyer , Tim Gebbie

Factor Analysis has traditionally been utilized across diverse disciplines to extrapolate latent traits that influence the behavior of multivariate observed variables. Historically, the focus has been on analyzing data from a single study,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Elena Bortolato , Antonio Canale

A one-factor asset pricing model with an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process as its state variable is studied under partial information: the mean-reverting level and the mean-reverting speed parameters are modeled as hidden/unobservable stochastic…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-18 Takashi Kato , Jun Sekine , Hiromitsu Yamamoto

Inferring causal relationships from observed data is an important task, yet it becomes challenging when the data is subject to various external interferences. Most of these interferences are the additional effects of external factors on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Ruichu Cai , Xiaokai Huang , Wei Chen , Zijian Li , Zhifeng Hao

Latent factor model estimation typically relies on either using domain knowledge to manually pick several observed covariates as factor proxies, or purely conducting multivariate analysis such as principal component analysis. However, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-04 Runzhe Wan , Yingying Li , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

In this work we investigate the generic properties of a stochastic linear model in the regime of high-dimensionality. We consider in particular the Vector AutoRegressive model (VAR) and the multivariate Hawkes process. We analyze both…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy

Quantile regression models provide a wide picture of the conditional distributions of the response variable by capturing the effect of the covariates at different quantile levels. In most applications, the parametric form of those…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-03 T. Rodrigues , J. -L. Dortet-Bernadet , Y. Fan

Sparse latent multi-factor models have been used in many exploratory and predictive problems with high-dimensional multivariate observations. Because of concerns with identifiability, the latent factors are almost always assumed to be…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-09 Vinicius Diniz Mayrink , Joseph Edward Lucas

It is shown, with two sets of indicators that separately load on two distinct factors, independent of one another conditional on the past, that if it is the case that at least one of the factors causally affects the other, then, in many…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-18 Tyler J. VanderWeele , Charles J. K. Batty

The decay of a general time dependent structure factors is considered. The dynamics is that of stochastic field equations of the Langevin type, where the systematic generalized force is a functional derivative of some classical field…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Moshe Schwartz

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is introduced. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex networked system. This new formulation allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

We use deep partial least squares (DPLS) to estimate an asset pricing model for individual stock returns that exploits conditioning information in a flexible and dynamic way while attributing excess returns to a small set of statistical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Matthew F. Dixon , Nicholas G. Polson , Kemen Goicoechea

Factor analysis aims to describe high dimensional random vectors by means of a small number of unknown common factors. In mathematical terms, it is required to decompose the covariance matrix $\Sigma$ of the random vector as the sum of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Valentina Ciccone , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

The paper studies the problem of filtering a discrete-time linear system observed by a network of sensors. The sensors share a common communication medium to the estimator and transmission is bit and power budgeted. Under the assumption of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-10-07 S. Kar , B. Sinopoli , J. M. F. Moura

We consider a multivariate time series model which represents a high dimensional vector process as a sum of three terms: a linear regression of some observed regressors, a linear combination of some latent and serially correlated factors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-16 Jinyuan Chang , Bin Guo , Qiwei Yao

We introduce some notions of conditional mean dimension for a factor map between two topological dynamical systems and discuss their properties. With the help of these notions, we obtain an inequality to estimate the mean dimension of an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Bingbing Liang

While balancing covariates between groups is central for observational causal inference, selecting which features to balance remains a challenging problem. Kernel balancing is a promising approach that first estimates a kernel that captures…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Andy A. Shen , Eli Ben-Michael , Avi Feller , Luke Keele , Jared Murray

Solving multiple parametrised related systems is an essential component of many numerical tasks, and learning from the already solved systems will make this process faster. In this work, we propose a novel probabilistic linear solver over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-21 Disha Hegde , Jon Cockayne

Panel count data is common when the study subjects are exposed to recurrent events, observed only at discrete time points. In this article, we consider the regression analysis of panel count data with multiple modes of recurrence. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Sreedevi E. P. , Sankaran P. G.

We examine a variety of graphical models to construct optimal portfolios. Graphical models such as PCA-KMeans, autoencoders, dynamic clustering, and structural learning can capture the time varying patterns in the covariance matrix and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Ni Zhan , Yijia Sun , Aman Jakhar , He Liu
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