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Global Climate Models are key tools for predicting the future response of the climate system to a variety of natural and anthropogenic forcings. Here we show how to use statistical mechanics to construct operators able to flexibly predict…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Valerio Lembo , Valerio Lucarini , Francesco Ragone

Using equilibrium fluctuations to understand the response of a physical system to an externally imposed perturbation is the basis for linear response theory, which is widely used to interpret experiments and shed light on microscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-06-24 Jérémie Klinger , Grant M. Rotskoff

The fluctuation-dissipation theorem is a fundamental result in statistical physics that establishes a connection between the response of a system subject to a perturbation and the fluctuations associated with observables in equilibrium.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-08-03 Tanmoy Biswas , A. de Oliveira Junior , Michał Horodecki , Kamil Korzekwa

Complex network theory provides an elegant and powerful framework to statistically investigate different types of systems such as society, brain or the structure of local and long-range dynamical interrelationships in the climate system.…

A Response Function Theory and Scattering Theory applicable to the study of physical properties of systems driven arbitrarily away from equilibrium, specialized for dealing with ultrafast processes and in conditions of space resolution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-31 Clóves G. Rodrigues , Áurea R. Vasconcellos , José Galvão Ramos , Roberto Luzzi

Using a general circulation model with newly implemented cloud modeling, we investigate how radiative feedback can self-consistently shape condensate cloud distributions, temperatures, and fluxes in a hot Jupiter atmosphere. We apply a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-13 Michael Roman , Emily Rauscher

We experimentally study the statistical properties of the energy fluxes between two trapped Brownian particles, interacting through dissipative hydrodynamic coupling, submitted to an effective temperature difference $\Delta T$, obtained by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-02-17 A Bérut , A Imparato , A Petrosyan , S Ciliberto

Many stars, active galactic nuclei, accretion discs etc. are affected by the stochastic variations of temperature, turbulent gas motions, magnetic fields, number densities of atoms and dust grains. These stochastic variations influence on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-20 N. A. Silant'ev , G. A. Alekseeva , V. V. Novikov

Since the 1920s, when the three oscillations ENSO, NAO and NPO were found and defined, the theory of ocean-atmosphere coupling is particularly important in explaining the phenomena of atmospheric physics, then defined more than ten climate…

General Physics · Physics 2017-09-25 Jishi Zhang , Jingrong Lu , Haidong Huang , Xiaoning Liu , Yafeng Zhao , Zhiyang Wang , Jinlei Mo

In real-world geophysical applications (such as predicting the climate change), the reduced models of real-world complex multiscale dynamics are used to predict the response of the actual multiscale climate to changes in various global…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-07-30 Rafail V. Abramov , Marc P. Kjerland

What transpires from recent research is that temperatures and radiative forcing seem to be characterized by a linear trend with two changes in the rate of growth. The first occurs in the early 60s and indicates a very large increase in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-28 Dukpa Kim , Tatsushi Oka , Francisco Estrada , Pierre Perron

A climate response function is introduced that consists of six exponential (low-pass) filters with weights depending as a power law on their e-folding times. The response of this two-parameter function to the combined forcings of solar…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-10-24 J. H. van Hateren

The fluctuation-dissipation theorem (FDT) is very general and applies to a broad variety of different physical phenomena in condensed matter physics. With the help of the FDT and following the famous work of Caldeira and Leggett, we show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-11-20 Vincenzo Branchina , Marco Di Liberto , Ivano Lodato

This paper is a continuation of a study by Douglass and Clader. We extend the analysis through December 2003 using the latest updates of the observational temperature and solar irradiance data sets in addition to a new volcano proxy data…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 David H. Douglass , B. David Clader , Robert S. Knox

There is an ongoing debate in the literature about whether the present global warming is increasing local and global temperature variability. The central methodological issues of this debate relate to the proper treatment of normalised…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-24 Miklos Vincze , Ion Borcia , Uwe Harlander

In most interacting many-body systems associated with some "emergent phenomena," we can identify sub-groups of degrees of freedom that relax on dramatically different time-scales. Time-scale separation of this kind is particularly helpful…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-21 Pavel Chvykov , Jeremy England

The sensitivity of climate models to increasing CO2 concentration and the climate response at decadal time scales are still major factors of uncertainty for the assessment of the long and short term effects of anthropogenic climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-03-23 Francesco Ragone , Valerio Lucarini , Frank Lunkeit

The classical fluctuation-dissipation theorem predicts the average response of a dynamical system to an external deterministic perturbation via time-lagged statistical correlation functions of the corresponding unperturbed system. In this…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-28 Rafail V. Abramov

A model is proposed to explain the observed correlation between monthly fluctuations in atmospheric CO2 concentrations and temperatures. The model relies on the oceans being in a temperature-dependent equilibrium with the atmosphere. When…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-02-22 Francois Ouellette

Experimental data suggest that the Earth short time dynamics is related to stochastic fluctuation of its shape. As a first approach to this problem, we derive a toy-model for the motion of a rotating ellipsoid in the framework of stochastic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-07-23 Etienne Behar , Jacky Cresson , Frédéric Pierret