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A global hybrid coupled model is developed, with the aim of studying the effects of ocean-atmosphere feedbacks on the stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. The model includes a global ocean general circulation model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-03-17 Andrea A. Cimatoribus , Sybren S. Drijfhout , Henk A. Dijkstra

The use of linear response theory for forced dissipative stochastic dynamical systems through the fluctuation dissipation theorem is an attractive way to study climate change systematically among other applications. Here, a mathematically…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-02-26 Martin Hairer , Andrew J Majda

The response of the climate system to increased greenhouse gases and other radiative perturbations is governed by a combination of fast and slow feedbacks. Slow feedbacks are typically activated in response to changes in ocean temperatures…

Sea surface temperature (SST) is a fundamental determinant of global climate dynamics and economic activity. Reliable projections of future SST patterns depend critically on a rigorous characterization of the underlying spatial random…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Leonardo Marchesin , Alessandra Menafoglio , Piercesare Secchi

Robust atmospheric and radiative transfer modeling will be required to properly interpret reflected light and thermal emission spectra of terrestrial exoplanets. This will help break observational degeneracies between the numerous…

Exact theoretical results for the violation of time dependent fluctuation-dissipation relations in driven dissipative systems are presented. The ratio of correlation to delayed response in the stochastic model introduced in [Phys. Rev.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Yair Shokef , Guy Bunin , Dov Levine

When the climate system is forced, e.g. by emission of greenhouse gases, it responds on multiple time scales. As temperatures rise, feedback processes might intensify or weaken. Current methods to analyze feedback strength, however, do not…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-03 Robbin Bastiaansen , Henk A. Dijkstra , Anna S. von der Heydt

A stochastic subgrid-scale parameterization based on the Ruelle's response theory and proposed in Wouters and Lucarini [2012] is tested in the context of a low-order coupled ocean-atmosphere model for which a part of the atmospheric modes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-01-18 Jonathan Demaeyer , Stéphane Vannitsem

Systems that evolve towards a state from which they cannot depart are common in nature. But the fluctuation-dissipation theorem, a fundamental result in statistical mechanics, is mainly restricted to systems near-stationarity. In processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-25 Prajwal Padmanabha , Sandro Azaele , Amos Maritan

The sea surface temperature (SST), a key environmental parameter, is crucial to optimizing production planning, making its accurate prediction a vital research topic. However, the inherent nonlinearity of the marine dynamic system presents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Yin Wang , Chunlin Gong , Xiang Wu , Hanleran Zhang

For most stochastic dynamical systems, variables which are tightly regulated tend to respond slowly to external changes. This idea is often discussed for applicable systems, within a linear response regime, through the Fluctuation…

General Physics · Physics 2017-11-15 Nash Rochman , Sean X. Sun

The diurnal variability of sea surface temperature (SST) may play an important role for cloud organization above the tropical ocean, with implications for precipitation extremes, storminess, and climate sensitivity. Recent cloud-resolving…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-19 Reyk Börner , Jan O. Haerter , Romain Fiévet

Climate change is a reality of today. Paleoclimatic proxies and climate predictions based on coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models provide us with temperature data. Using Detrended Fluctuation Analysis, we are investigating…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2008-03-05 Bora Akgun , Zeynep Isvan , Levent Tuter , Mehmet Levent Kurnaz

The spatiotemporal variation in tropical air-sea interaction is investigated by applying a simple model that considers the fundamental dynamics in tropical oceans. The model decomposes sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) variation into a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-31 Yaokun Li

Sea Surface Temperature (SST) is crucial for understanding upper-ocean thermal dynamics and ocean-atmosphere interactions, which have profound economic and social impacts. While data-driven models show promise in SST prediction, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Zheng Jiang , Wei Wang , Gaowei Zhang , Yi Wang

In this article, we review the interdisciplinary techniques (borrowed from physics, mathematics, statistics, machine-learning, etc.) and methodological framework that we have used to understand climate systems, which serve as examples of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-05-29 Alka Yadav , Sourish Das , Anirban Chakraborti

The standard perturbation theory (SPT) approach to gravitational clustering is based on a fluid approximation of the underlying Vlasov-Poisson dynamics, taking only the zeroth and first cumulant of the phase-space distribution function into…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-04-05 Mathias Garny , Dominik Laxhuber , Roman Scoccimarro

We study experimentally the thermal fluctuations of energy input and dissipation in a harmonic oscillator driven out of equilibrium, and search for Fluctuation Relations. We study transient evolution from the equilibrium state, together…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-11-28 Sylvain Joubaud , Nicolas Garnier , Sergio Ciliberto

Climate models robustly imply that some significant change in precipitation patterns will occur. Models consistently project that the intensity of individual precipitation events increases by approximately 6-7%/K, following the increase in…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-21 Won Chang , Michael L. Stein , Jiali Wang , V. Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

We introduce and test a new and highly efficient method for treating the thermal and radiative effects influencing the energy equation in SPH simulations of star formation. The method uses the density, temperature and gravitational…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Stamatellos , A. P. Whitworth , T. Bisbas , S. Goodwin