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Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes with self-exciting and clustering properties. Hawkes process has been widely applied in finance, neuroscience, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

Catalytic computing concerns space bounded computation which starts with memory full of data that have to be restored by the end of the computation. Lossy catalytic computing, defined by Gupta et al. (2024) and fully characterized by…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Michal Koucký , Ian Mertz , Sasha Sami

Importance weighting is a classic technique to handle distribution shifts. However, prior work has presented strong empirical and theoretical evidence demonstrating that importance weights can have little to no effect on overparameterized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-07 Ke Alexander Wang , Niladri S. Chatterji , Saminul Haque , Tatsunori Hashimoto

The problems and solutions contained here, all associated with nonlinear recurrences and long-term trends, are new (as far as is known).

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Steven Finch

Tail asymptotics of the solution $R$ to a fixpoint problem of type $R =_{st} Q + \sum_1^N R_m$ is derived under heavy-tailed conditions allowing both dependence between $Q$ and $N$ and the tails to be of the same order of magnitude. Similar…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Søren Asmussen , Sergey Foss

We study kmeans clustering estimation of panel data models with a latent group structure and $N$ units and $T$ time periods under long panel asymptotics. We show that the group-specific coefficients can be estimated at the parametric root…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-12 Andreas Dzemski , Ryo Okui

A common issue for classification in scientific research and industry is the existence of imbalanced classes. When sample sizes of different classes are imbalanced in training data, naively implementing a classification method often leads…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Yang Feng , Min Zhou , Xin Tong

Corrections and acknowledgment for ``Local limit theory and large deviations for supercritical branching processes'' [math.PR/0407059]

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. E. Ney , Anand N. Vidyashankar

Unraveling the reasons behind the remarkable success and exceptional generalization capabilities of deep neural networks presents a formidable challenge. Recent insights from random matrix theory, specifically those concerning the spectral…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-10 Xuanzhe Xiao , Zeng Li , Chuanlong Xie , Fengwei Zhou

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

This paper presents a rate-distortion theory for hierarchical networked data structures modelled as tree-indexed multitype process. To be specific, this paper gives a generalized Asymptotic Equipartition Property (AEP) for the Process. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-19 Kwabena Doku-Amponsah

We study asymptotic properties of $M$-estimates of regression parameters in linear models in which errors are dependent. Weak and strong Bahadur representations of the $M$-estimates are derived and a central limit theorem is established.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Wei Biao Wu

Importance sampling algorithms for heavy-tailed random walks are considered. Using a specification with algorithms based on mixtures of the original distribution with some other distribution, sufficient conditions for obtaining bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-21 Henrik Hult , Jens Svensson

The cost-sensitive classification problem plays a crucial role in mission-critical machine learning applications, and differs with traditional classification by taking the misclassification costs into consideration. Although being studied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Parameswaran Kamalaruban , Robert C. Williamson

We consider the model selection problem for a large class of time series models, including, multivariate count processes, causal processes with exogenous covariates. A procedure based on a general penalized contrast is proposed. Some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-01 William Kengne

This paper reviews the most common situations where one or more regularity conditions which underlie classical likelihood-based parametric inference fail. We identify three main classes of problems: boundary problems, indeterminate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-27 Alessandra R. Brazzale , Valentina Mameli

Deep neural networks still struggle on long-tailed image datasets, and one of the reasons is that the imbalance of training data across categories leads to the imbalance of trained model parameters. Motivated by the empirical findings that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Haoxuan Wang , Junchi Yan

The use of expectiles in risk management has recently gathered remarkable momentum due to their excellent axiomatic and probabilistic properties. In particular, the class of elicitable law-invariant coherent risk measures only consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

We propose Rademacher complexity bounds for multiclass classifiers trained with a two-step semi-supervised model. In the first step, the algorithm partitions the partially labeled data and then identifies dense clusters containing $\kappa$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-15 Yury Maximov , Massih-Reza Amini , Zaid Harchaoui

We establish the weak convergence of the intensity of a nearly-unstable Hawkes process with heavy-tailed kernel. Our result is used to derive a scaling limit for a financial market model where orders to buy or sell an asset arrive according…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-26 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu , Rouyi Zhang
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