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Novel reinforcement learning algorithms, or improvements on existing ones, are commonly justified by evaluating their performance on benchmark environments and are compared to an ever-changing set of standard algorithms. However, despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Scott M. Jordan , Adam White , Bruno Castro da Silva , Martha White , Philip S. Thomas

Model misspecification is ubiquitous in data analysis because the data-generating process is often complex and mathematically intractable. Therefore, assessing estimation uncertainty and conducting statistical inference under a possibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Rong Li , Yichen Qin , Yang Li

We consider high-dimensional estimation problems where the number of parameters diverges with the sample size. General conditions are established for consistency, uniqueness, and asymptotic normality in both unpenalized and penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler

The local eigenvalue statistics of large random matrices near a hard edge transitioning into a soft edge are described by the Bessel process associated with a large parameter $\alpha$. For this point process, we obtain 1) exponential moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-26 Christophe Charlier , Jonatan Lenells

We analyse the reconstruction error of principal component analysis (PCA) and prove non-asymptotic upper bounds for the corresponding excess risk. These bounds unify and improve existing upper bounds from the literature. In particular, they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Markus Reiß , Martin Wahl

We consider Bayesian multiple statistical classification problem in the case where the unknown source distributions are estimated from the labeled training sequences, then the estimates are used as nominal distributions in a robust…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Hüseyin Afşer

Generalization error bounds are critical to understanding the performance of machine learning models. In this work, building upon a new bound of the expected value of an arbitrary function of the population and empirical risk of a learning…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-07 Gholamali Aminian , Laura Toni , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

This note responds to "Promises and Pitfalls of Deep Kernel Learning" (Ober et al., 2021). The marginal likelihood of a Gaussian process can be compartmentalized into a data fit term and a complexity penalty. Ober et al. (2021) shows that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-26 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Zhiting Hu , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Eric P. Xing

In this article, we investigate the asymptotic properties of Bayesian multiple testing procedures under general dependent setup, when the sample size and the number of hypotheses both tend to infinity. Specifically, we investigate strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Noirrit Kiran Chandra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Tipping points occur in many real-world systems, at which the system shifts suddenly from one state to another. The ability to predict the occurrence of tipping points from time series data remains an outstanding challenge and a major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Chengzuo Zhuge , Jiawei Li , Wei Chen

Despite the widespread use of machine learning algorithms to solve problems of technological, economic, and social relevance, provable guarantees on the performance of these data-driven algorithms are critically lacking, especially when the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Abed AlRahman Al Makdah , Vaibhav Katewa , Fabio Pasqualetti

This paper considers error probabilities of random codes for memoryless channels in the fixed-rate regime. Random coding is a fundamental scheme to achieve the channel capacity and many studies have been conducted for the asymptotics of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-17 Junya Honda

Estimating function inference is indispensable for many common point process models where the joint intensities are tractable while the likelihood function is not. In this paper we establish asymptotic normality of estimating function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Frédéric Lavancier , Arnaud Poinas , Rasmus Waagepetersen

In this paper we address imbalanced binary classification (IBC) tasks. Applying resampling strategies to balance the class distribution of training instances is a common approach to tackle these problems. Many state-of-the-art methods find…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Paula Branco , Colin Bellinger

Many classification applications require accurate probability estimates in addition to good class separation but often classifiers are designed focusing only on the latter. Calibration is the process of improving probability estimates by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-31 Tuomo Alasalmi , Jaakko Suutala , Heli Koskimäki , Juha Röning

Recently, the present authors derived new asymptotic expansions for linear differential equations having a simple turning point. These involve Airy functions and slowly varying coefficient functions, and were simpler than previous…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2020-04-28 T. M. Dunster , A. Gil , J. Segura

The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

Many enumeration problems in combinatorics, including such fundamental questions as the number of regular graphs, can be expressed as high-dimensional complex integrals. Motivated by the need for a systematic study of the asymptotic…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Mikhail Isaev , Brendan D. McKay

Bioprocesses have received a lot of attention to produce clean and sustainable alternatives to fossil-based materials. However, they are generally difficult to optimize due to their unsteady-state operation modes and stochastic behaviours.…

Autonomous machine learning systems that learn many tasks in sequence are prone to the catastrophic forgetting problem. Mathematical theory is needed in order to understand the extent of forgetting during continual learning. As a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Daniel Goldfarb , Paul Hand
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