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We establish the asymptotic distribution of likelihood ratio tests (LRTs) in settings where some of the nuisance parameters are unidentifiable under the null hypothesis, parameters of interest lie on the boundary of the parameter space, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Ola Hössjer , Matteo Bottai , J. M. Patrik Albin

The asymptotic distribution of the likelihood-ratio statistic for testing parameters on the boundary is well known to be a chi-squared mixture. The mixture weights have been shown to correspond to the intrinsic volumes of an associated…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Clara Bertinelli Salucci

We study the asymptotic behaviour of stationary densities of one-dimensional random diffeomorphisms, at the boundaries of their support, which correspond to deterministic fixed points of extremal diffeomorphisms. In particular, we show how…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-25 Jeroen S. W. Lamb , Guillermo Olicón-Méndez , Martin Rasmussen

The likelihood ratio statistic, with its asymptotic $\chi^2$ distribution at regular model points, is often used for hypothesis testing. At model singularities and boundaries, however, the asymptotic distribution may not be $\chi^2$, as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-25 Jonathan D. Mitchell , Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

We study the behavior of the posterior distribution in high-dimensional Bayesian Gaussian linear regression models having $p\gg n$, with $p$ the number of predictors and $n$ the sample size. Our focus is on obtaining quantitative finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-06 Nate Strawn , Artin Armagan , Rayan Saab , Lawrence Carin , David Dunson

We establish Hoeffding-type concentration inequalities for the low and high tail bounds of sums of exchangeable random variables. Our results exhibit an anti-symmetry in such tail bounds due to the assumption of exchangeability, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Nina Maria Gottschling , Michele Caprio

Under the assumption that the distribution of a nonnegative random variable $X$ admits a bounded coupling with its size biased version, we prove simple and strong concentration bounds. In particular the upper tail probability is shown to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Richard Arratia , Peter Baxendale

We study the likelihood ratio test in general mixture models where the base density is parametric, the null is a known fixed mixing distribution, and the alternative is a general mixing distribution supported on a bounded parameter space.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Yan Zhang , Stanislav Volgushev

In the context of likelihood ratio testing with parameters on the boundary, we revisit two situations for which there are some discrepancies in the literature: the case of two parameters of interest on the boundary, with all other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Clara Bertinelli Salucci , Anders Kvellestad , Riccardo De Bin

In this paper, we study the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator for an event time distribution function at a point in the current status model with observation times supported on a grid of potentially unknown sparsity and with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Runlong Tang , Moulinath Banerjee , Michael R. Kosorok

For a risk vector $V$, whose components are shared among agents by some random mechanism, we obtain asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the individual agents' exposure risk and the aggregated risk in the market. Risk is measured by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-12 Oliver Kley , Claudia Kluppelberg

To achieve a greater general flexibility for modeling heavy-tailed bounded responses, a beta scale mixture model is proposed. Each member of the family is obtained by multiplying the scale parameter of the conditional beta distribution by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Arno Otto , Andriëtte Bekker , Johan Ferreira , Lebogang Rathebe

The critical behaviour of correlation functions near a boundary is modified from that in the bulk. When the boundary is smooth this is known to be characterised by the surface scaling dimension $\xt$. We consider the case when the boundary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 John Cardy

We study the asymptotic tail probability of the first-passage time over a moving boundary for a random walk conditioned to return to zero, where the increments of the random walk have finite variance. Typically, the asymptotic tail behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-09 Fiona Sloothaak , Vitali Wachtel , Bert Zwart

We investigate the behavior of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator $\hat{f}_n$ for a decreasing density $f$ near the boundaries of the support of $f$. We establish the limiting distribution of $\hat{f}_n(n^{-\alpha})$, where we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Vladimir N. Kulikov , Hendrik P. Lopuhaä

Count data are omnipresent in many applied fields, often with overdispersion. With mixtures of Poisson distributions representing an elegant and appealing modelling strategy, we focus here on how the tail behaviour of the mixing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-29 Samuel Valiquette , Gwladys Toulemonde , Jean Peyhardi , Éric Marchand , Frédéric Mortier

Consider a nonparametric regression model with one-sided errors and regression function in a general H\"older class. We estimate the regression function via minimization of the local integral of a polynomial approximation. We show uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-12 Holger Drees , Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

This article studies tail behavior for the error components in the stochastic frontier model, where one component has bounded support on one side, and the other has unbounded support on both sides. Under weak assumptions on the error…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-16 William , C. Horrace , Yulong Wang

Given a sample from a discretely observed compound Poisson process, we consider non-parametric estimation of the density $f_0$ of its jump sizes, as well as of its intensity $\lambda_0.$ We take a Bayesian approach to the problem and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij
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