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On a surprising behavior of the likelihood ratio test in non-parametric mixture models

Statistics Theory 2025-09-09 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

We study the likelihood ratio test in general mixture models where the base density is parametric, the null is a known fixed mixing distribution, and the alternative is a general mixing distribution supported on a bounded parameter space. For Gaussian location mixtures and Poisson mixtures, we show a surprising result: the non-parametric likelihood ratio test statistic converges to a tight limit if and only if the null distribution is a finite mixture, and diverges to infinity otherwise. We further demonstrate that the likelihood ratio test diverges for a fairly general class of distributions when the null mixing distribution is not finitely discrete.

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Cite

@article{arxiv.2509.05610,
  title  = {On a surprising behavior of the likelihood ratio test in non-parametric mixture models},
  author = {Yan Zhang and Stanislav Volgushev},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2509.05610},
  year   = {2025}
}