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The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

In this paper, we study fluctuations of conditionally centered statistics of the form $$N^{-1/2}\sum_{i=1}^N c_i(g(\sigma_i)-\mathbb{E}_N[g(\sigma_i)|\sigma_j,j\neq i])$$ where $(\sigma_1,\ldots ,\sigma_N)$ are sampled from a dependent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Nabarun Deb

In this paper, we study the tail behavior of $\max_{i\leq N}\sup_{s>0}\left(W_i(s)+W_A(s)-\beta s\right)$ as $N\to\infty$, with $(W_i,i\leq N)$ i.i.d. Brownian motions and $W_A$ an independent Brownian motion. This random variable can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Dennis Schol , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

We study the behavior of configurations in the symmetric six-vertex model with $a,b,c$ weights in the $n\times n$ square with Domain Wall Boundary Conditions as $n\to\infty$. We prove that when $\Delta=\frac{a^2+b^2-c^2}{2ab}<1$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-20 Vadim Gorin , Karl Liechty

Modelling multivariate tail dependence is one of the key challenges in extreme-value theory. Multivariate extremes are usually characterized using parametric models, some of which have simpler submodels at the boundary of their parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-17 Anna Kiriliouk

Models based on assumptions of multivariate regular variation and hidden regular variation provide ways to describe a broad range of extremal dependence structures when marginal distributions are heavy tailed. Multivariate regular variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Janet E. Heffernan , Sidney I. Resnick

Singularities of a statistical model are the elements of the model's parameter space which make the corresponding Fisher information matrix degenerate. These are the points for which estimation techniques such as the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Nhat Ho , XuanLong Nguyen

We explore extreme value phenomena in spatial scale-free random graphs in a continuum setting based on a homogeneous Poisson point process in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Vertices carry i.i.d. weights $(W_x)$ and, conditionally on the vertex set and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Arnaud Rousselle , Ercan Sönmez

We analyze the stationary tail of a fixed-point equation arising in branching processes with state-independent immigration, when both immigration and offspring distributions have heavy tails with boundary index one. We prove that \[ P(X >…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Yunfan Zhao

An asymptotic analysis for a system with equation and dynamic boundary condition of Cahn-Hilliard type is carried out as the coefficient of the surface diffusion acting on the phase variable tends to 0, thus obtaining a forward-backward…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-06-03 Pierluigi Colli , Takeshi Fukao , Luca Scarpa

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution in a broad class of statistical models where the "true" solution occurs on the boundary of the parameter space. We show that in this case Bayesian inference is consistent, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-02 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

This paper introduces a high-dimensional binary variate model that accommodates nonstationary covariates and factors, and studies their asymptotic theory. This framework encompasses scenarios where single indices are nonstationary or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Xinbing Kong , Bin Wu , Wuyi Ye

Let $\xi_1, \xi_2,\ldots$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables with zero mean, finite second moment and regularly varying right distribution tail. Motivated by a stop-loss insurance model, we consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Aaron Chong , Konstantin Borovkov

Models for extreme values are generally derived from limit results, which are meant to be good enough approximations when applied to finite samples. Depending on the speed of convergence of the process underlying the data, these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Thomas Lugrin , Anthony C. Davison , Jonathan A. Tawn

This is the second part of a series of papers where we consider questions related to the tail profile of the bulk/boundary quotients of Gaussian multiplicative chaos measures appearing in boundary Liouville conformal field theory. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Yichao Huang , Youtao Liu

We propose a mean functional which exists for any probability distributions, and which characterizes the Pareto distribution within the set of distributions with finite left endpoint. This is in sharp contrast to the mean excess plot which…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-05 Bernhard Klar

We consider Motzkin paths of length $L$, not fixed at zero at both end points, with constant weights on the edges and general weights on the end points. We investigate, as the length $L$ tends to infinity, the limit behaviors of (a)…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Wlodzimierz Bryc , Yizao Wang

The asymptotic tail behaviour of sums of independent subexponential random variables is well understood, one of the main characteristics being the principle of the single big jump. We study the case of dependent subexponential random…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Andrew Richards

We discuss in this paper combinatorial aspects of boundary loop models, that is models of self-avoiding loops on a strip where loops get different weights depending on whether they touch the left, the right, both or no boundary. These…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jesper Lykke Jacobsen , Hubert Saleur

We study the asymptotic behavior of eigenvalues of large complex correlated Wishart matrices at the edges of the limiting spectrum. In this setting, the support of the limiting eigenvalue distribution may have several connected components.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Walid Hachem , Adrien Hardy , Jamal Najim