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Nearly all statistical analyses that inform policy-making are based on imperfect data. As examples, the data may suffer from measurement errors, missing values, sample selection bias, or record linkage errors. Analysts have to decide how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-24 Adway S. Wadekar , Jerome P. Reiter

South Africa assumes a significant position in the insurance landscape of Africa. The present research based upon qualitative and quantitative analysis, shows that it shows the characteristics of a Complex Adaptive System. In addition, a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2011-10-20 Satyakama Paul , Bhekisipho Twala , Tshilidzi Marwala

Market Mill is a complex dependence pattern leading to nonlinear correlations and predictability in intraday dynamics of stock prices. The present paper puts together previous efforts to build a dynamical model reflecting the market mill…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Sergey Zaitsev , Alexander Zaitsev , Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin

Market liquidity plays a vital role in the field of market micro-structure, because it is the vigor of the financial market. This paper uses a variable called convexity to measure the potential liquidity provided by order-book. Based on the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-12 Kenan Qiao

Risk-neutral pricing dictates that the discounted derivative price is a martingale in a measure equivalent to the economic measure. The residual ambiguity for incomplete markets is here resolved by minimising the entropy of the price…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Paul McCloud

We study two-sided many-to-one matching markets with transferable utilities, e.g., labor and rental housing markets, in which money can exchange hands between agents, subject to distributional constraints on the set of feasible allocations.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-04-26 Devansh Jalota , Michael Ostrovsky , Marco Pavone

A financial market is a system resulting from the complex interaction between participants in a closed economy. We propose a minimal microscopic model of the financial market economy based on the real economy's symmetry constraint and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-15 Liu Ziyin , Katsuya Ito , Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami

The emph{securities market} is the fundamental theoretical framework in economics and finance for resource allocation under uncertainty. Securities serve both to reallocate risk and to disseminate probabilistic information. emph{Complete}…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-01-18 David M. Pennock , Michael P. Wellman

Most methodologies for materials criticality assessment score supply risk and societal importance. Market-based criteria offer quantitative measures for assessment. Here we develop a statistical approach based on a geologic entropy function…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-01-16 Alan J. Hurd

We present a novel framework for estimation and inference with the broad class of universal approximators. Estimation is based on the decomposition of model predictions into Shapley values. Inference relies on analyzing the bias and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Andreas Joseph

Prediction markets are powerful tools to elicit and aggregate beliefs from strategic agents. However, in current prediction markets, agents may exhaust the social welfare by competing to be the first to update the market. We initiate the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Grant Schoenebeck , Chenkai Yu , Fang-Yi Yu

Volatility is the canonical measure of financial risk, a role largely inherited from Modern Portfolio Theory. Yet, its universality rests on restrictive efficiency assumptions that render volatility, at best, an incomplete proxy for true…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini

Large-scale, two-sided matching platforms must find market outcomes that align with user preferences while simultaneously learning these preferences from data. Classical notions of stability (Gale and Shapley, 1962; Shapley and Shubik,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Meena Jagadeesan , Alexander Wei , Yixin Wang , Michael I. Jordan , Jacob Steinhardt

Nonconvexities in markets with discrete decisions and nonlinear constraints make efficient pricing challenging, often necessitating subsidies. A prime example is the unit commitment (UC) problem in electricity markets, where costly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-18 Cheng Guo , Lauren Henderson , Ryan Cory-Wright , Boshi Yang

We propose a unified approach to several problems in Stochastic Portfolio Theory (SPT), which is a framework for equity markets with a large number $d$ of stocks. Our approach combines open markets, where trading is confined to the top $N$…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-08 David Itkin , Martin Larsson

I study the limit of a large random economy, where a set of consumers invests in financial instruments engineered by banks, in order to optimize their future consumption. This exercise shows that, even in the ideal case of perfect…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-09 Matteo Marsili

Modern market management systems continue to evolve due to the intentions to improve system security and reliability. This evolvement has been leading to a transition of market auction models from a deterministic structure with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-22 Mohammad Ghaljehei , Mojdeh Khorsand

Human-generated categorical annotations frequently produce empirical response distributions (soft labels) that reflect ambiguity rather than simple annotator error. We introduce an ambiguity measure that maps a discrete response…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Christopher Klugmann , Daniel Kondermann

Price impact of a trade is an important element in pre-trade and post-trade analyses. We introduce a framework to analyze the market price of liquidity risk, which allows us to derive an inhomogeneous Bernoulli ordinary differential…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-11 Masaaki Kijima , Christopher Ting

During the last decade Levy processes with jumps have received increasing popularity for modelling market behaviour for both derviative pricing and risk management purposes. Chan et al. (2009) introduced the use of empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-16 Steven Kou , Tony Sit , Zhiliang Ying
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