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Financial global crisis has devastating impacts to economies since early XX century and continues to impose increasing collateral damages for governments, enterprises, and society in general. Up to now, all efforts to obtain efficient…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-09 Bruna Amin Gonçalves , Laura Carpi , Osvaldo A. Rosso , Martin G. Ravetti , A. P. F Atman

We determine the amount of information contained in a time series of price returns at a given time scale, by using a widespread tool of the information theory, namely the Shannon entropy, applied to a symbolic representation of this time…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-26 Xavier Brouty , Matthieu Garcin

We model competition on a credence goods market governed by an imperfect label, signaling high quality, as a rank-order tournament between firms. In this market interaction, asymmetric firms jointly and competitively control the aggregate…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-28 Daniel Rehsmann , Béatrice Roussillon , Paul Schweinzer

We construct and study market models admitting optimal arbitrage. We say that a model admits optimal arbitrage if it is possible, in a zero-interest rate setting, starting with an initial wealth of 1 and using only positive portfolios, to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-19 Huy N. Chau , Peter Tankov

We consider a monopolistic seller in a market that may be segmented. The surplus of each consumer in a segment depends on the price that the seller optimally charges, which depends on the set of consumers in the segment. We study which…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-25 Nima Haghpanah , Ron Siegel

We introduce a new microeconomics foundation of a specific type of competitive market equilibrium that can be used to study several markets with information asymmetry such as commodity market, credit market, and insurance market.

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-05-14 Thanawat Sornwanee

Signed graphs are widely used to analyze complex systems such as social, political, and biological networks. The notion of balance, a key concept of signed graphs, reflects the stability of relationships. While it has been extensively…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Zeyu Wang , Kudria Sergei , Jingbang Chen , Jiawei Chen , Xinyu Wang , Xiaodong Luo , Can Wang

I construct a Market Stress Probability Index (MSPI) that estimates the probability of high stress in the U.S. equity market one month ahead using information from the cross-section of individual stocks. Using CRSP daily data, each month is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-10 Marc Schmitt

This study more complex digital platforms in early stages in the two-sided market to produce powerful network effects. In this study, I use Transfer Entropy to look for super users who connect hominids in different networks to achieve…

General Economics · Economics 2021-01-27 Seung Bin Baik

Since the 1960s, the question whether markets are efficient or not is controversially discussed. One reason for the difficulty to overcome the controversy is the lack of a universal, but also precise, quantitative definition of efficiency…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-10 Roland Rothenstein

Although both data availability and the demand for accurate forecasts are increasing, collaboration between stakeholders is often constrained by data ownership and competitive interests. In contrast to recent proposals within cooperative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Michael Vitali , Pierre Pinson

The supply function equilibrium (SFE) is a model for competition in markets where each firm offers a schedule of prices and quantities to face demand uncertainty, and has been successfully applied to wholesale electricity markets. However,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-02-05 Sheng Yu , Enrique Campos-Nanez

Probabilistic sensitivity analysis identifies the influential uncertain input to guide decision-making. We propose a general sensitivity framework with respect to the input distribution parameters that unifies a wide range of sensitivity…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Jiannan Yang

In recent years there has been a closer interrelationship between several scientific areas trying to obtain a more realistic and rich explanation of the natural and social phenomena. Among these it should be emphasized the increasing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-08 Andreia Dionisio , Rui Menezes , Diana A. Mendes

Sensitivity Analysis is a framework to assess how conclusions drawn from missing outcome data may be vulnerable to departures from untestable underlying assumptions. We extend the E-value, a popular metric for quantifying robustness of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-31 Wu Xue , Abbas Zaidi

We develop a new stock market index that captures the chaos existing in the market by measuring the mutual changes of asset prices. This new index relies on a tensor-based embedding of the stock market information, which in turn frees it…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-09 Masoud Ataei , Shengyuan Chen , Zijiang Yang , M. Reza Peyghami

In order to find a way of measuring the degree of incompleteness of an incomplete financial market, the rank of the vector price process of the traded assets and the dimension of the associated acceptance set are introduced. We show that…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-20 Abdelkarem Berkaoui

Financial markets are a classical example of complex systems as they comprise many interacting stocks. As such, we can obtain a surprisingly good description of their structure by making the rough simplification of binary daily returns.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-28 Thomas Bury

The possibility of statistical evaluation of the market completeness and incompleteness is investigated for continuous time diffusion stock market models. It is known that the market completeness is not a robust property: small random…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-31 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Empirical evidence suggests that even the most competitive markets are not strictly efficient. Price histories can be used to predict near future returns with a probability better than random chance. Many markets can be considered as {\it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Yi-Cheng Zhang