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PredDiff is a model-agnostic, local attribution method that is firmly rooted in probability theory. Its simple intuition is to measure prediction changes while marginalizing features. In this work, we clarify properties of PredDiff and its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-12 Stefan Blücher , Johanna Vielhaben , Nils Strodthoff

Gradient-based causal discovery shows great potential for deducing causal structure from data in an efficient and scalable way. Those approaches however can be susceptible to distributional biases in the data they are trained on. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Tim Schwabe , Moritz Lange , Laurenz Wiskott , Maribel Acosta

We address an ambiguity in identification strategies using difference-in-differences, which are widely applied in empirical research, particularly in economics. The assumption commonly referred to as the "no-anticipation assumption" states…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Marco Piccininni , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Mats J. Stensrud

Grazing incidence fast atom diffraction (GIFAD or FAD) is a sensitive tool for surface analysis, which strongly relies on the quantum coherence of the incident beam. In this article the influence of the incidence conditions and the…

Atomic Physics · Physics 2018-05-29 L. Frisco , J. E. Miraglia , M. S. Gravielle

Estimation of causal effects is critical to a range of scientific disciplines. Existing methods for this task either require interventional data, knowledge about the ground truth causal graph, or rely on assumptions such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Jake Robertson , Arik Reuter , Siyuan Guo , Noah Hollmann , Frank Hutter , Bernhard Schölkopf

Causal graphs may inform covariate adjustment for estimating causal effects and improve estimation efficiency by exploiting the graphical structure. In many applications, however, the target causal parameter may not be point-identified due…

Out-of-distribution (OOD) generalisation aims to build a model that can generalise well on an unseen target domain using knowledge from multiple source domains. To this end, the model should seek the causal dependence between inputs and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Toan Nguyen , Kien Do , Duc Thanh Nguyen , Bao Duong , Thin Nguyen

We propose a difference-in-differences (DiD) framework with mediation for possibly multivalued discrete or continuous treatments and mediators, aimed at identifying the direct effect of the treatment on the outcome (net of effects operating…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-02 Martin Huber , Sarina Joy Oberhänsli

This article develops new closed-form variance expressions for power analyses for commonly used difference-in-differences (DID) and comparative interrupted time series (CITS) panel data estimators. The main contribution is to incorporate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Peter Z. Schochet

Causal investigations in observational studies pose a great challenge in research where randomized trials or intervention-based studies are not feasible. We develop an information geometric causal discovery and inference framework of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Soumik Purkayastha , Peter X. K. Song

In this survey we discuss the recent causal panel data literature. This recent literature has focused on credibly estimating causal effects of binary interventions in settings with longitudinal data, emphasizing practical advice for…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-26 Dmitry Arkhangelsky , Guido Imbens

We consider identification and inference for the average treatment effect and heterogeneous treatment effect conditional on observable covariates in the presence of unmeasured confounding. Since point identification of these treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Kan Chen , Jeffrey Zhang , Bingkai Wang , Dylan S. Small

Treatment effects of stochastic policy shifts quantify differences in outcomes across counterfactual scenarios with varying treatment distributions. Stochastic policy shifts may be of interest in settings where it is unrealistic or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Michael Jetsupphasuk , Chenwei Fang , Didong Li , Michael G. Hudgens

This paper studies the identification of causal effects of a continuous treatment using a new difference-in-difference strategy. Our approach allows for endogeneity of the treatment, and employs repeated cross-sections. It requires an…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-18 Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Stefan Hoderlein , Yuya Sasaki

Learning multimodal representations is a fundamentally complex research problem due to the presence of multiple heterogeneous sources of information. Although the presence of multiple modalities provides additional valuable information,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Yao-Hung Hubert Tsai , Paul Pu Liang , Amir Zadeh , Louis-Philippe Morency , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

In many fields$\unicode{x2013}$including genomics, epidemiology, natural language processing, social and behavioral sciences, and economics$\unicode{x2013}$it is increasingly important to address causal questions in the context of factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-30 Jenna M. Landy , Dafne Zorzetto , Roberta De Vito , Giovanni Parmigiani

Differential item functioning (DIF) is a widely used statistical notion for identifying items that may disadvantage specific groups of test-takers. These groups are often defined by non-manipulable characteristics, e.g., gender,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Youmi Suk , Weicong Lyu

Multivariate categorical data are common in many fields. We are motivated by election polls studies assessing evidence of changes in voters opinions with their candidates preferences in the 2016 United States Presidential primaries or…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-10 Massimiliano Russo , Daniele Durante , Bruno Scarpa

We develop $D$-optimal designs for linear main effects models on a subset of the $2^K$ full factorial design region, when the number of factors set to the higher level is bounded. It turns out that in the case of narrow margins only those…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Fritjof Freise , Heinz Holling , Rainer Schwabe

Learning causal structure from observational data is a fundamental challenge in machine learning. However, the majority of commonly used differentiable causal discovery methods are non-identifiable, turning this problem into a continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Yu Wang , An Zhang , Xiang Wang , Yancheng Yuan , Xiangnan He , Tat-Seng Chua