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As a useful and efficient alternative to generic model-based control scheme, data-driven predictive control is subject to bias-variance trade-off and is known to not perform desirably in face of uncertainty. Through the connection between…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Malika Sader , Yibo Wang , Dexian Huang , Chao Shang , Biao Huang

Adaptive designs dynamically update treatment probabilities using information accumulated during the experiment. Existing theory for causal inference from adaptive experiments primarily assumes the superpopulation framework with independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Xinran Li , Anqi Zhao

Weighting methods are essential tools for estimating causal effects in observational studies, with the goal of balancing pre-treatment covariates across treatment groups. Traditional approaches pursue this objective indirectly, for example,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Diptanil Santra , Guanhua Chen , Chan Park

The causal assumptions, the study design and the data are the elements required for scientific inference in empirical research. The research is adequately communicated only if all of these elements and their relations are described…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-01 Juha Karvanen

Instrumental variables have proven useful, in particular within the social sciences and economics, for making inference about the causal effect of a random variable, B, on another random variable, C, in the presence of unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Roland R. Ramsahai

A framework for causal inference from two-level factorial designs is proposed. The framework utilizes the concept of potential outcomes that lies at the center stage of causal inference and extends Neyman's repeated sampling approach for…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-19 Tirthankar Dasgupta , Natesh S. Pillai , Donald B. Rubin

In this paper we propose a new template for empirical studies intended to assess causal effects: the outcome-wide longitudinal design. The approach is an extension of what is often done to assess the causal effects of a treatment or…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-25 Tyler J. VanderWeele , Maya B. Mathur , Ying Chen

We combine two recently proposed nonparametric difference-in-differences methods, extending them to enable the examination of treatment effect heterogeneity in the staggered adoption setting using machine learning. The proposed method,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-19 Julia Hatamyar , Noemi Kreif , Rudi Rocha , Martin Huber

Causal inference relies on the structure of a graph, often a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Different graphs may result in different causal inference statements and different intervention distributions. To quantify such differences, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-18 Jonas Peters , Peter Bühlmann

With the resurgence of interest in neural networks, representation learning has re-emerged as a central focus in artificial intelligence. Representation learning refers to the discovery of useful encodings of data that make domain-relevant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-19 Karl Ridgeway

Despite the common occurrence of interference in Difference-in-Differences (DiD) applications, standard DiD methods rely on an assumption that interference is absent, and comparatively little work has considered how to accommodate and learn…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Zach Shahn , Paul Zivich , Audrey Renson

A fundamental issue in causal inference for Big Observational Data is confounding due to covariate imbalances between treatment groups. This can be addressed by designing the data prior to analysis. Existing design methods, developed for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-17 Yumin Zhang , Arman Sabbaghi

In this paper, we set up the theoretical foundations for a high-dimensional functional factor model approach in the analysis of large cross-sections (panels) of functional time series (FTS). We first establish a representation result…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Shahin Tavakoli , Gilles Nisol , Marc Hallin

In the standard difference-in-differences research design, the parallel trends assumption may be violated when the relationship between the exposure trend and the outcome trend is confounded by unmeasured confounders. Progress can be made…

Differential privacy is a strong mathematical notion of privacy. Still, a prominent challenge when using differential privacy in real data collection is understanding and counteracting the accuracy loss that differential privacy imposes. As…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Boel Nelson

Targeting to understand the underlying explainable factors behind observations and modeling the conditional generation process on these factors, we connect disentangled representation learning to Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DPMs) to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Tao Yang , Yuwang Wang , Yan Lv , Nanning Zheng

Systematic differences in experimental materials, methods, measurements, and data handling between labs, over time, and among personnel can sabotage experimental reproducibility. Uncovering such differences can be difficult and time…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-18 Bert Gunter

Computational models help decision makers understand epidemic dynamics to optimize public health interventions. Agent-based simulation of disease spread in synthetic populations allows us to compare and contrast different effects across…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Abdulrahman A. Ahmed , M. Amin Rahimian , Mark S. Roberts

By adhering to the dictum, "No causation without manipulation (treatment, intervention)", cause and effect data analysis represents changes in observed data in terms of changes in the causal factors. When causal factors are not amenable for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-25 M. Alex O. Vasilescu , Eric Kim , Xiao S. Zeng

One of the goals of causal inference is to generalize from past experiments and observational data to novel conditions. While it is in principle possible to eventually learn a mapping from a novel experimental condition to an outcome of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-10 Gecia Bravo-Hermsdorff , David S. Watson , Jialin Yu , Jakob Zeitler , Ricardo Silva
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