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There is increasing evidence that global warming manifests itself in more frequent warm days and that heat waves will become more frequent. Presently, a formal definition of a heat wave is not agreed upon in the literature. To avoid this…

Deep Learning models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in medium-range weather prediction but often fail to maintain physically consistent rollouts beyond 14 days. In contrast, a few atmospheric models demonstrate stability over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Florian Gallusser , Simon Hentschel , Anna Krause , Andreas Hotho

Then detection and identification of extreme weather events in large-scale climate simulations is an important problem for risk management, informing governmental policy decisions and advancing our basic understanding of the climate system.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Evan Racah , Christopher Beckham , Tegan Maharaj , Samira Ebrahimi Kahou , Prabhat , Christopher Pal

Extreme weather events are increasing in frequency and intensity due to climate change. This, in turn, is exacting a significant toll in communities worldwide. While prediction skills are increasing with advances in numerical weather…

Heatwaves are known to arise from the interplay between large-scale climate variability, synoptic weather patterns and regional to local scale surface processes. While recent research has made important progress for each individual…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-25 Sebastian Buschow , Jan Keller , Sabrina Wahl

Motivated by the Extreme Value Analysis 2021 (EVA 2021) data challenge we propose a method based on statistics and machine learning for the spatial prediction of extreme wildfire frequencies and sizes. This method is tailored to handle…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-04 Daniela Cisneros , Yan Gong , Rishikesh Yadav , Arnab Hazra , Raphael Huser

The importance of renewable power production is a set goal in terms of the energy turnaround. Developing short-term wind speed forecasting improvements might increase the profitability of wind power. This article compares two novel…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-11 Daniel Ambach

Near-surface atmospheric conditions can differ sharply over tens to hundreds of meters due to land cover and topography, yet this variability is absent from current weather analyses and forecasts. It is unclear whether such meter-scale…

Realistic depictions of past land cover are needed to investigate prehistoric environmental changes, effects of anthropogenic deforestation, and long term land cover-climate feedbacks. Observation based reconstructions of past land cover…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-06 Behnaz Pirzamanbein , Anneli Poska , Johan Lindström

To tackle the global climate challenge, it urgently needs to develop a collaborative platform for comprehensive weather forecasting on large-scale meteorological data. Despite urgency, heterogeneous meteorological sensors across countries…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Tao Shen , Jing Jiang

Estimating historical evapotranspiration (ET) is essential for understanding the effects of climate change and human activities on the water cycle. This study used historical weather station data to reconstruct ET trends over the past 300…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-25 Haiyang Shi

The classification of weather data involves categorizing meteorological phenomena into classes, thereby facilitating nuanced analyses and precise predictions for various sectors such as agriculture, aviation, and disaster management. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Elaheh Jafarigol , Theodore Trafalis

An extreme wind speed estimation method that considers wind hazard climate types is critical for design wind load calculation for building structures affected by mixed climates. However, it is very difficult to obtain wind hazard climate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-30 Wei Cui , Teng Ma , Lin Zhao , Yaojun Ge

Understanding how weather and climate influence fire risk is important for many purposes, including climate adaptation planning and decision-making in sectors such as emergency management, finance, health and infrastructure (e.g., for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-27 Soubhik Biswas , Andrew Dowdy , Savin Chand

Very short-term convective storm forecasting, termed nowcasting, has long been an important issue and has attracted substantial interest. Existing nowcasting methods rely principally on radar images and are limited in terms of nowcasting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Wei Zhang , Wei Li , Lei Han

Climate change has increased the severity and frequency of weather disasters all around the world. Flood inundation mapping based on earth observation data can help in this context, by providing cheap and accurate maps depicting the area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Kevin Iselborn , Marco Stricker , Takashi Miyamoto , Marlon Nuske , Andreas Dengel

Combining strengths from deep learning and extreme value theory can help describe complex relationships between variables where extreme events have significant impacts (e.g., environmental or financial applications). Neural networks learn…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-06 Mitchell L. Krock , Julie Bessac , Michael L. Stein

Over recent decades, the Arctic Ocean has experienced dramatic changes due to climate change. Retreating sea ice has opened up large areas of ocean, resulting in an enhanced wave climate. Taking into account the intense seasonality and the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Isabela S. Cabral , Ian R. Young , Alessandro Toffoli

To advance automated detection of extreme weather events, which are increasing in frequency and intensity with climate change, we explore modifications to a novel light-weight Context Guided convolutional neural network architecture trained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Romain Lacombe , Hannah Grossman , Lucas Hendren , David Lüdeke

The integration of solar power has been increasing as the green energy transition rolls out. The penetration of solar power challenges the grid stability and energy scheduling, due to its intermittent energy generation. Accurate and near…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Jinbao Wang , Jun Liu , Shiliang Zhang , Xuehui Ma