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Wind speed forecasting models and their application to wind farm operations are attaining remarkable attention in the literature because of its benefits as a clean energy source. In this paper, we suggested the time series machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 G. V. Drisya , Valsaraj P. , K. Asokan , K. Satheesh Kumar

Extreme weather events have significant consequences, dominating the impact of climate on society. While high-resolution weather models can forecast many types of extreme events on synoptic timescales, long-term climatological risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-25 Justin Finkel , Edwin P. Gerber , Dorian S. Abbot , Jonathan Weare

Exponential-family harmoniums (EFHs), which extend restricted Boltzmann machines (RBMs) from Bernoulli random variables to other exponential families (Welling et al., 2005), are generative models that can be trained with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-20 Joseph G. Makin , Benjamin K. Dichter , Philip N. Sabes

The ability to predict wind is crucial for both energy production and weather forecasting. Mechanistic models that form the basis of traditional forecasting perform poorly near the ground. In this paper, we take an alternative data-driven…

Because of the impact of extreme heat waves and heat domes on society and biodiversity, their study is a key challenge. We specifically study long-lasting extreme heat waves, which are among the most important for climate impacts. Physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Valérian Jacques-Dumas , Francesco Ragone , Pierre Borgnat , Patrice Abry , Freddy Bouchet

Wind speed retrieval at sea surface is of primary importance for scientific and operational applications. Besides weather models, in-situ measurements and remote sensing technologies, especially satellite sensors, provide complementary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-19 Matteo Zambra , Dorian Cazau , Nicolas Farrugia , Alexandre Gensse , Sara Pensieri , Roberto Bozzano , Ronan Fablet

Historical records of climate fields are often sparse due to missing measurements, especially before the introduction of large-scale satellite missions. Several statistical and model-based methods have been introduced to fill gaps and…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-31 Nils Bochow , Anna Poltronieri , Martin Rypdal , Niklas Boers

Climate change is expected to intensify and increase extreme events in the weather cycle. Since this has a significant impact on various sectors of our life, recent works are concerned with identifying and predicting such extreme events…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Mohamad Hakam Shams Eddin , Ribana Roscher , Juergen Gall

Skilful Machine Learned weather forecasts have challenged our approach to numerical weather prediction, demonstrating competitive performance compared to traditional physics-based approaches. Data-driven systems have been trained to…

The long horizon forecasting (LHF) problem has come up in the time series literature for over the last 35 years or so. This review covers aspects of LHF in this period and how deep learning has incorporated variants of trend, seasonality,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Hans Krupakar , Kandappan V A

Accurate short-term wind speed forecasting is essential for large-scale integration of wind power generation. However, the seasonal and stochastic characteristics of wind speed make forecasting a challenging task. This study uses a new…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-24 Mehdi Neshat , Meysam Majidi Nezhad , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Lina Bertling Tjernberg , Davide Astiaso Garcia , Bradley Alexander , Markus Wagner

Due to the rapidly changing climate, the frequency and severity of extreme weather is expected to increase over the coming decades. As fully-resolved climate simulations remain computationally intractable, policy makers must rely on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-29 Benedikt Barthel Sorensen , Alexis Charalampopoulos , Shixuan Zhang , Bryce Harrop , Ruby Leung , Themistoklis Sapsis

The low frequency variability of the extratropical atmosphere involves hemispheric-scale recurring, often persistent, states known as teleconnection patterns or regimes, which can have profound impact on predictability on intra-seasonal and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-31 Dmitry Mukhin , Abdel Hannachi , Tobias Braun , Norbert Marwan

Long-term forecasting presents unique challenges due to the time and memory complexity of handling long sequences. Existing methods, which rely on sliding windows to process long sequences, struggle to effectively capture long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Junwoo Park , Daehoon Gwak , Jaegul Choo , Edward Choi

Postprocessing ensemble weather predictions to correct systematic errors has become a standard practice in research and operations. However, only few recent studies have focused on ensemble postprocessing of wind gust forecasts, despite its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-14 Benedikt Schulz , Sebastian Lerch

One of the impacts of climate change is the difficulty of tree regrowth after wildfires over areas that traditionally were covered by certain tree species. Here a deep learning model is customized to classify land covers from four-band…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Wang Zhou , Levente Klein

This paper is concerned with learning of mixture regression models for individuals that are measured repeatedly. The adjective "unsupervised" implies that the number of mixing components is unknown and has to be determined, ideally by data…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-09 Peirong Xu , Heng Peng , Tao Huang

Quantifying long-term historical climate is fundamental to understanding recent climate change. Most instrumentally recorded climate data are only available for the past 200 years, so proxy observations from natural archives are often…

Hail risk assessment is necessary to estimate and reduce damage to crops, orchards, and infrastructure. Also, it helps to estimate and reduce consequent losses for businesses and, particularly, insurance companies. But hail forecasting is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-05 Ivan Lukyanenko , Mikhail Mozikov , Yury Maximov , Ilya Makarov

Understanding extreme events and their probability is key for the study of climate change impacts, risk assessment, adaptation, and the protection of living beings. Forecasting the occurrence probability of extreme heatwaves is a primary…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-21 George Miloshevich , Bastien Cozian , Patrice Abry , Pierre Borgnat , Freddy Bouchet