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Changing climate conditions threaten the natural permafrost thaw-freeze cycle, leading to year-round soil temperatures above 0{\deg}C. In Alaska, the warming of the topmost permafrost layer, known as the active layer, signals elevated…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-09 Addina Rahaman

Intensifying climate change will lead to more extreme weather events, including heavy rainfall and drought. Accurate stream flow prediction models which are adaptable and robust to new circumstances in a changing climate will be an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Aleksis Pirinen , Olof Mogren , Mårten Västerdal

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

Most of current anomaly detection models assume that the normal pattern remains same all the time. However, the normal patterns of Web services change dramatically and frequently. The model trained on old-distribution data is outdated after…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Feiyi Chen , Zhen Qin , Yingying Zhang , Shuiguang Deng , Yi Xiao , Guansong Pang , Qingsong Wen

In this paper, we present a comprehensive analysis of extreme temperature patterns using emerging statistical machine learning techniques. Our research focuses on exploring and comparing the effectiveness of various statistical models for…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-27 Kameron B. Kinast , Ernest Fokoué

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) can potentially provide powerful tools for classifying and identifying patterns in climate and environmental data. However, because of the inherent complexities of such data, which are often…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-03-03 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Saba Pasha

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have proven instrumental across various computer science domains, enabling advancements in object detection, classification, and anomaly detection. This paper explores the application of CNNs to analyze…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Spiros Maggioros , Nikos Tsalkitzis

Phenology, the timing of cyclical plant life events such as leaf emergence and coloration, is crucial in the bio-climatic system. Climate change drives shifts in these phenological events, impacting ecosystems and the climate itself.…

We outline a model and algorithm to perform inference on the palaeoclimate and palaeoclimate volatility from pollen proxy data. We use a novel multivariate non-linear non-Gaussian state space model consisting of an observation equation…

Accurate high-resolution spatial and temporal wind speed data is critical for estimating the wind energy potential of a location. For real-time wind speed prediction, statistical models typically depend on high-quality (near) real-time data…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-24 Eamonn Organ , Maeve Upton , Denis Allard , Lionel Benoit , James Sweeney

Statistical postprocessing is used to translate ensembles of raw numerical weather forecasts into reliable probabilistic forecast distributions. In this study, we examine the use of permutation-invariant neural networks for this task. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-22 Kevin Höhlein , Benedikt Schulz , Rüdiger Westermann , Sebastian Lerch

The forecast of tropical cyclone trajectories is crucial for the protection of people and property. Although forecast dynamical models can provide high-precision short-term forecasts, they are computationally demanding, and current…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-13 Sophie Giffard-Roisin , Mo Yang , Guillaume Charpiat , Christina Kumler-Bonfanti , Balázs Kégl , Claire Monteleoni

Many wind speed forecasting approaches have been proposed in literature. In this paper a new statistical approach for jointly predicting wind speed, wind direction and air pressure is introduced. The wind direction and the air pressure are…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-14 Daniel Ambach , Wolfgang Schmid

Deep learning models have gained popularity in climate science, following their success in computer vision and other domains. For instance, researchers are increasingly employing deep learning techniques for downscaling climate data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Xingying Huang

Because of the global need to increase power production from renewable energy resources, developments in the online monitoring of the associated infrastructure is of interest to reduce operation and maintenance costs. However, challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Simon M. Brealy , Lawrence A. Bull , Pauline Beltrando , Anders Sommer , Nikolaos Dervilis , Keith Worden

There is recent interest in using model hubs, a collection of pre-trained models, in computer vision tasks. To utilize the model hub, we first select a source model and then adapt the model for the target to compensate for differences.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

Revealing hidden features in unlabeled data is called unsupervised feature learning, which plays an important role in pretraining a deep neural network. Here we provide a statistical mechanics analysis of the unsupervised learning in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Haiping Huang

Representation learning has proven to be a powerful methodology in a wide variety of machine learning applications. For atmospheric dynamics, however, it has so far not been considered, arguably due to the lack of large-scale, labeled…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-24 Sebastian Hoffmann , Christian Lessig

Modeling weather and climate is an essential endeavor to understand the near- and long-term impacts of climate change, as well as inform technology and policymaking for adaptation and mitigation efforts. In recent years, there has been a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Tung Nguyen , Jason Jewik , Hritik Bansal , Prakhar Sharma , Aditya Grover

The effectiveness of learning in massive open online courses (MOOCs) can be significantly enhanced by introducing personalized intervention schemes which rely on building predictive models of student learning behaviors such as some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-20 Mucong Ding , Kai Yang , Dit-Yan Yeung , Ting-Chuen Pong
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