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Classical approaches to analyzing dynamical systems, including bifurcation analysis, can provide invaluable insights into underlying structure of a mathematical model, and the spectrum of all possible dynamical behaviors. However, these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-16 Irina Kareva

A model-based approach to forecasting chaotic dynamical systems utilizes knowledge of the physical processes governing the dynamics to build an approximate mathematical model of the system. In contrast, machine learning techniques have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Jaideep Pathak , Alexander Wikner , Rebeckah Fussell , Sarthak Chandra , Brian Hunt , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott

Periodic patterns in dynamical behaviours of biological models described by simple form differential delay equations are studied. Mathematical models are given by a class of scalar delay differential equations with a multiplicative time…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-01 A. Ivanov , S. Shelyag

Dynamics of species' abundances in ecological communities are often described using models that only account for a few species. It is not clear when and why this would be possible, as most species form part of diverse ecological…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-11 Stav Marcus , Guy Bunin

This chapter is dedicated to the slow dynamics of the climate system, at time scales of one~thousand to one million years. We focus specifically on the phenomenon of ice ages that has characterised the slow evolution of climate over the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-12-14 Michel Crucifix , Guillaume Lenoir , Takahito Mitsui

To study population dynamics, ecologists and wildlife biologists use relative abundance data, which are often subject to temporal preferential sampling. Temporal preferential sampling occurs when sampling effort varies across time. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Michael R. Schwob , Mevin B. Hooten , Travis McDevitt-Galles

Dynamical systems across the sciences, from electrical circuits to ecological networks, undergo qualitative and often catastrophic changes in behavior, called bifurcations, when their underlying parameters cross a threshold. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Noa Moriel , Matthew Ricci , Mor Nitzan

A system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations with forcing function is developed to model evolution processes in complex systems. In this system R, C, and P are the resource, consumption, and production functions correspondingly. F…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-11-01 Lev A Maslov

The study of interactions between multiple species in an ecosystem is an active and impactful direction of inquiry. This is true in particular for fragile systems in which even small perturbations of their functional parameters can produce…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Anca Radulescu , Richard Halpern , Drew Kozlowski , Conor O'Riordan

Variability on external conditions has important consequences for the dynamics and the organization of biological systems. In many cases, the characteristic timescale of environmental changes as well as their correlations play a fundamental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-03 Tommaso Spanio , Jorge Hidalgo , Miguel A. Muñoz

We examine the feasibility of predicting and subsequently managing the future evolution of a Complex Adaptive System. Our archetypal system mimics a competitive population of mechanical, biological, informational or human objects. We show…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 David M. D. Smith , Neil F. Johnson

We propose a multiscale approach for predicting quantities in dynamical systems which is explicitly structured to extract information in both fine-to-coarse and coarse-to-fine directions. We envision this method being generally applicable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Karl Otness , Laure Zanna , Joan Bruna

Frequency-dependent selection reflects the interaction between different species as they battle for limited resources in their environment. In a stochastic evolutionary game the species relative fitnesses guides the evolutionary dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic , Liam Peuckert

In a complex community, species continuously adapt to each other. On rare occasions, the adaptation of a species can lead to the extinction of others, and even its own. "Adaptive dynamics" is the standard mathematical framework to describe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-13 Vu AT Nguyen , Dervis C Vural

We analyze ecological systems that are influenced by random environmental fluctuations. We first provide general conditions which ensure that the species coexist and the system converges to a unique invariant probability measure (stationary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Yao Li

This study addresses the challenge of predicting network dynamics, such as forecasting disease spread in social networks or estimating species populations in predator-prey networks. Accurate predictions in large networks are difficult due…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Rui Luo

Populations interact non-linearly and are influenced by environmental fluctuations. In order to have realistic mathematical models, one needs to take into account that the environmental fluctuations are inherently stochastic. Often,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

Complex chaotic dynamics, seen in natural and industrial systems like turbulent flows and weather patterns, often span vast spatial domains with interactions across scales. Accurately capturing these features requires a high-dimensional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-10-03 C. Ricardo Constante-Amores , Alec J. Linot , Michael D. Graham

Extreme weather is one of the main mechanisms through which climate change will directly impact human society. Coping with such change as a global community requires markedly improved understanding of how global warming drives extreme…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-18 Adam Rupe , Karthik Kashinath , Nalini Kumar , Victor Lee , Prabhat , James P. Crutchfield

A broad class of systems, including ecological, epidemiological, and sociological ones, are characterized by populations of individuals assigned to specific categories, e.g., a chemical species, an opinion or an epidemic state, that are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-17 Giorgio Vittorio Visco , Johannes Nauta , Tomas Scagliarini , Oriol Artime , Manlio De Domenico