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We study nonlinear dynamics of the Earth's tropical climate system. For that, we apply a recently developed technique for feature extraction and mode decomposition of spatiotemporal data generated by ergodic dynamical systems. The method…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-11-08 Joanna Slawinska , Eniko Szekely , Dimitrios Giannakis

In this paper we combine two powerful computational techniques, well-tempered metadynamics and time lagged independent component analysis. The aim is to develop a new tool for studying rare events and exploring complex free energy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-08 James McCarty , Michele Parrinello

How diversity is maintained in natural ecosystems is a long-standing question in Theoretical Ecology. By studying a system that combines ecological dynamics, heterogeneous interactions and spatial structure, we uncover a new mechanism for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-21 Giulia Garcia Lorenzana , Ada Altieri , Giulio Biroli

Due to the conventional distinction between ecological (rapid) and evolutionary (slow)timescales, ecological and population models to date have typically ignored the effects of evolution. Yet the potential for rapid evolutionary change has…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-20 Laura E. Jones , Stephen P. Ellner

We explore the complex dynamical behavior of two simple predator-prey models of biological coevolution that on the ecological level account for interspecific and intraspecific competition, as well as adaptive foraging behavior. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-28 Per Arne Rikvold

We study classical stochastic systems with discrete states, coupled to switching external environments. For fast environmental processes we derive reduced dynamics for the system itself, focusing on corrections to the adiabatic limit of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-27 Peter G. Hufton , Yen Ting Lin , Tobias Galla

Tropical cyclones are among the most consequential weather hazards, yet estimates of their risk are limited by the relatively short historical record. To extend these records, researchers often generate large ensembles of synthetic storms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Kenneth Gee , Sai Ravela

A simple weakly frequency dependent model for the dynamics of a population with a finite number of types is proposed, based upon an advantage of being rare. In the infinite population limit, this model gives rise to a non-smooth dynamical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Michael Baake , Uwe Grimm , Harald Jockusch

In this work, we consider a system of differential equations modeling the dynamics of some populations of preys and predators, moving in space according to rapidly oscillating time-dependent transport terms, and interacting with each other…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Francois Castella , Philippe Chartier , Julie Sauzeau

The theory of slow manifolds is an important tool in the study of deterministic dynamical systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of relevant degrees of freedom in a model, thereby often resulting in a considerable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-07-01 George W A Constable , Alan J McKane , Tim Rogers

The main topic of this thesis is the analysis of evolution equations reflecting issues in ecology and population dynamics. In mathematical modelling, the impact of environmental elements and the interaction between species is read into the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-03-08 Elisa Affili

The climate system is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex and heterogeneous system that is out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of motion, in time as well as space, and it is subject…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-05 Michael Ghil , Valerio Lucarini

Natural ecosystems, in particular on the microbial scale, are inhabited by a large number of species. The population size of each species is affected by interactions of individuals with each other and by spatial and temporal changes in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-23 Tom Burkart , Jan Willeke , Erwin Frey

Identifying and understanding modular organizations is centrally important in the study of complex systems. Several approaches to this problem have been advanced, many framed in information-theoretic terms. Our treatment starts from the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-01-19 Artemy Kolchinsky , Luis M. Rocha

We propose a novel method for numerical modeling of spatially inhomogeneous moment dynamics of populations with nonlocal dispersal and competition in continuous space. It is based on analytically solvable decompositions of the time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-24 Igor Omelyan , Yuri Kozitsky

When complex systems are driven to extinction by some external factor, their non-stationary dynamics can present an intermittent behaviour between relative tranquility and burst of activity whose consequences are often catastrophic. To…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-21 Juan V Escobar , Isaac Pérez Castillo

Mathematical models of biological populations commonly use discrete structure classes to capture trait variation among individuals (e.g. age, size, phenotype, intracellular state). Upscaling these discrete models into continuum descriptions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-18 Eleonora Agostinelli , Keith L. Chambers , Helen M. Byrne , Mohit P. Dalwadi

Analysis of mathematical models in ecology and epidemiology often focuses on asymptotic dynamics, such as stable equilibria and periodic orbits. However, many systems exhibit long transient behaviors where certain aspects of the dynamics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Anthony Pasion , Felicia Magpantay

Modelling biological or engineering swarms is challenging due to the inherently high dimension of the system, despite the often low-dimensional emergent dynamics. Most existing swarm modelling approaches are based on first principles and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-04-14 Emma Hansen , Steven L. Brunton , Zhuoyuan Song

A new stochastic control problem of population dynamics under partial observation is formulated and analyzed both mathematically and numerically, with an emphasis on environmental and ecological problems. The decision-maker can only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-13 Hidekazu Yoshioka , Yuta Yaegashi , Motoh Tsujimura