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Related papers: Regression Equilibrium in Electricity Markets

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Electricity markets typically clear in two stages: a day-ahead market and a real-time market. In this paper, we propose market mechanisms for a two-stage multi-interval electricity market with energy storage, generators, and demand…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Rajni Kant Bansal , Enrique Mallada , Patricia Hidalgo-Gonzalez

We consider a two-stage market mechanism for trading electricity including renewable generation as an alternative to the widely used multi-settlement market structure. The two-stage market structure allows for recourse decisions by the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Nathan Dahlin , Rahul Jain

Over the last few decades, electricity markets around the world have adopted multi-settlement structures, allowing for balancing of supply and demand as more accurate forecast information becomes available. Given increasing uncertainty due…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-16 Nathan Dahlin , Rahul Jain

We study a competitive electricity market equilibrium with two trading stages, day-ahead and real-time. The welfare of each market agent is exposed to uncertainty (here from renewable energy production), while agent information on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Vladimir Dvorkin , Jalal Kazempour , Pierre Pinson

In this paper, we propose a two-stage electricity market framework to explore the participation of distributed energy resources (DERs) in a day-ahead (DA) market and a real-time (RT) market. The objective is to determine the optimal bidding…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Yi Guo , Xuejiao Han , Xinyang Zhou , Gabriela Hug

We develop a stochastic equilibrium model for an electricity market with asymmetric renewable energy forecasts. In our setting, market participants optimize their profits using public information about a conditional expectation of energy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Vladimir Dvorkin , Jalal Kazempour , Pierre Pinson

Energy forecasting has attracted enormous attention over the last few decades, with novel proposals related to the use of heterogeneous data sources, probabilistic forecasting, online learn-ing, etc. A key aspect that emerged is that…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-05 Pierre Pinson , Liyang Han , Jalal Kazempour

The interplay between risk aversion and financial derivatives has received increasing attention since the advent of electricity market liberalization. One important challenge in this context is how to develop economically efficient and…

General Economics · Economics 2022-06-06 Arega Getaneh Abate , Rossana Riccardi , Carlos Ruiz

Renewable power sources have low marginal pro-duction costs, but may result in high balancing costs due to the inherent production uncertainty. Current day-ahead markets elicit only point production profiles and neglect the degree of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-06 Shobhit Singhal , Lesia Mitridati , Licio Romao

Future electricity distribution grids will host a considerable share of the renewable energy sources needed for enforcing the energy transition. Demand side management mechanisms play a key role in the integration of such renewable energy…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-16 José Horta , Eitan Altman , Mathieu Caujolle , Daniel Kofman , David Menga

We present modeling and analysis of day-ahead spatio-temporal energy markets in which each competitive aggregator aims at making the highest profit by managing a complex mixture of different energy resources, such as conventional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Takayuki Ishizaki , Masakazu Koike , Nobuyuki Yamaguchi , Yuzuru Ueda , Jun-ichi Imura

Electricity market operators worldwide use mixed-integer linear programming to solve the allocation problem in wholesale electricity markets. Prices are typically determined based on the duals of relaxed versions of this optimization…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Mete Şeref Ahunbay , Martin Bichler , Teodora Dobos , Johannes Knörr

We develop a model for the industry dynamics in the electricity market, based on mean-field games of optimal stopping. In our model, there are two types of agents: the renewable producers and the conventional producers. The renewable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 René Aïd , Roxana Dumitrescu , Peter Tankov

We develop a tractable equilibrium model for price formation in intraday electricity markets in the presence of intermittent renewable generation. Using stochastic control theory, we identify the optimal strategies of agents with market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-01 Olivier Féron , Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

We consider the scenario where $N$ utilities strategically bid for electricity in the day-ahead market and balance the mismatch between the committed supply and actual demand in the real-time market, with uncertainty in demand and local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-15 Tianyu Zhao , Hanling Yi , Minghua Chen , Chenye Wu , Yunjian Xu

Electricity price forecasting has become a critical tool for decision-making in energy markets, particularly as the increasing penetration of renewable energy introduces greater volatility and uncertainty. Historically, research in this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 Ciaran O'Connor , Mohamed Bahloul , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin

In electricity markets with a dual-pricing scheme for balancing energy, controllable production units typically participate in the balancing market as "active" actors by offering regulating energy to the system, while renewable stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-20 Nicolò Mazzi , Alessio Trivella , Juan M. Morales

Uncertainty in the output power of large-scale wind power plants (WPPs) can face the electricity market players with undesirable profit variations. Market players can hedge themselves against these risks by participating in forward…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-16 Mohsen Banaei , Majid Oloomi Buygi , Hani Raouf-Sheybani , Razgar Ebrahimy , Henrik Madsen

Since the 1990s, widespread introduction of central (wholesale) electricity markets has been seen across multiple continents, driven by the search for efficient operation of the power grid through competition. The increase of renewables has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-15 Pål Forr Austnes , Matthieu Jacobs , Lu Wang , Mario Paolone

We propose a multivariate elastic net regression forecast model for German quarter-hourly electricity spot markets. While the literature is diverse on day-ahead prediction approaches, both the intraday continuous and intraday call-auction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-22 Christopher Kath , Florian Ziel
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