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As the share of variable renewable energy sources increases in the electricity mix, new solutions are needed to build a flexible and reliable grid. Energy arbitrage with battery storage systems supports renewable energy integration into the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Alban Puech , Gorazd Dimitrov , Claudia D'Ambrosio

In this paper, we consider microgrids that interconnect prosumers with distributed energy resources and dynamic loads. Prosumers are connected through the microgrid to trade energy and gain profit while respecting the network constraints.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-07 Zeinab Salehi , Yijun Chen , Ian R. Petersen , Elizabeth L. Ratnam , Guodong Shi

This paper studies how platform design shapes strategic behavior in decentralized electricity trading. We develop a finite-horizon dynamic game in which photovoltaic- and battery-equipped players ("prosumers") trade on a platform that maps…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-23 Nicolas Eschenbaum , Nicolas Greber

Multiple randomization designs (MRDs) are a class of experimental designs used to handle interference in two-sided marketplaces. We investigate regression adjustment strategies for estimating total, spillover, and direct effects in MRDs. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Timothy Sudijono , Lihua Lei , Lorenzo Masoero , Suhas Vijaykumar , Guido Imbens , James McQueen

This work studies equilibrium problems under uncertainty where firms maximize their profits in a robust way when selling their output. Robust optimization plays an increasingly important role when best guaranteed objective values are to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Christian Biefel , Frauke Liers , Jan Rolfes , Lars Schewe , Gregor Zöttl

In this work we considered several hybrid modelling approaches for forecasting energy spot prices in EPEC market. Hybridization is performed through combining a Naive model, Fourier analysis, ARMA and GARCH models, a mean-reversion and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-19 Tahir Miriyev , Alessandro Contu , Kevin Schafers , Ion Gabriel Ion

The rising share of volatile renewable generation increases the demand for flexibility in the electricity grid. Flexible capacity can be offered by industrial energy systems through participation on either the continuous intraday,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-26 Niklas Nolzen , Alissa Ganter , Nils Baumgärtner , Ludger Leenders , André Bardow

This paper proposes a Real-Time Market (RTM) platform for an aggregator and its corresponding prosumers to participate in the electricity wholesale market. The proposed energy market platform is modeled as a bilevel optimization problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Koorosh Shomalzadeh , Jacquelien M. A. Scherpen , M. Kanat Camlibel

We study the competition for partners in two-sided matching markets with heterogeneous agent preferences, with a focus on how the equilibrium outcomes depend on the connectivity in the market. We model random partially connected markets,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Yash Kanoria , Seungki Min , Pengyu Qian

The integration of renewable energy into electricity markets poses significant challenges to price stability and increases the complexity of market operations. Accurate and reliable electricity price forecasting is crucial for effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Ciaran O'Connor , Mohamed Bahloul , Roberto Rossi , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin

The energy transition is expected to significantly increase the share of renewable energy sources whose production is intermittent in the electricity mix. Apart from key benefits, this development has the major drawback of generating a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-30 Thibaut Théate , Antonio Sutera , Damien Ernst

With the increasing integration of power plants into the frequency-regulation markets, the importance of optimal trading has grown substantially. This paper conducts an in-depth analysis of their optimal trading behavior in sequential…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-30 Saeed Nordin , Abolfazl Khodadadi , Priyanka Shinde , Evelin Blom , Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh , Lennart Söder

In the Day-Ahead (DA) market, suppliers sell and load-serving entities (LSEs) purchase energy commitments, with both sides adjusting for imbalances between contracted and actual deliveries in the Real-Time (RT) market. We develop a supply…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Agostino Capponi , Garud Iyengar , Bo Yang , Daniel Bienstock

We propose a general two-period model where electrical vehicles (EVs) can reserve charging sessions in the day-ahead market and swap them in the real-time market. Under the model, we explore several candidate mechanisms for running the two…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-03 Pan-Yang Su , Yi Ju , Scott Moura , Shankar Sastry

Emissions markets play a vital role in emissions reduction by incentivizing firms to minimize costs. However, their effectiveness heavily depends on the decisions of policymakers, future economic activity, and the availability of abatement…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-16 Stéphane Crépey , Mekonnen Tadese , Gauthier Vermandel

In energy systems with high shares of weather-driven renewable power sources, gas-fired power plants can serve as a back-up technology to ensure security of supply and provide short-term flexibility. Therefore, a tighter coordination…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-17 Christos Ordoudis , Pierre Pinson , Juan M. Morales

Electricity market prices exhibit extreme volatility, nonlinearity, and non-stationarity, making accurate forecasting a significant challenge. While cutting-edge time series foundation models (TSFMs) effectively capture temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Yunzhong Qiu , Binzhu Li , Hao Wei , Shenglin Weng , Chen Wang , Zhongyi Pei , Mingsheng Long , Jianmin Wang

There are several approaches to modeling and forecasting time series as applied to prices of commodities and financial assets. One of the approaches is to model the price as a non-stationary time series process with heteroscedastic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Andrei Renatovich Batyrov

The integration of renewable generation poses operational and economic challenges for the electricity grid. For the core problem of power balance, the legacy paradigm of tailoring supply to follow random demand may be inappropriate under…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-09-25 Ashutosh Nayyar , Matias Negrete-Pincetic , Kameshwar Poolla , Pravin Varaiya

We consider a market model that consists of financial investors and producers of a commodity. Producers optionally store some production for future sale and go short on forward contracts to hedge the uncertainty of the future commodity…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-24 Michail Anthropelos , Michael Kupper , Antonis Papapantoleon
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