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Related papers: Regression Equilibrium in Electricity Markets

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In order to deal with market power that sporadically results from contingencies (e.g., severe weather, plant outages) most electricity markets have institutions in charge of monitoring market performance and mitigating market power. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Shi Pu , Alfredo Garcia

The main goal of a sequential two-stage electricity market -- e.g., day-ahead and real-time markets -- is to operate efficiently. However, the price difference across stages due to inadequate competition and unforeseen circumstances leads…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Rajni Kant Bansal , Yue Chen , Pengcheng You , Enrique Mallada

The recent research report of U.S. Department of Energy prompts us to re-examine the pricing theories applied in electricity market design. The theory of spot pricing is the basis of electricity market design in many countries, but it has…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-10-24 Haoyong Chen , Lijia Han

The study of Day-Ahead prices in the electricity market is one of the most popular problems in time series forecasting. Previous research has focused on employing increasingly complex learning algorithms to capture the sophisticated…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-29 Carlos Sebastián , Carlos E. González-Guillén , Jesús Juan

The increased market penetration of renewable energy sources and the rapid development of electric battery storage technologies yield a potential for reducing electricity price volatility while maintaining stability of the power grid. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Juri Hinz , Jeremy Yee

The increasing attention to environmental issues is forcing the implementation of novel energy models based on renewable sources, fundamentally changing the configuration of energy management and introducing new criticalities that are only…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-09 Mario Mureddu , Guido Caldarelli , Alessandro Chessa , Antonio Scala , Alfonso Damiano

The concept of Energy Hub (EH) has been emerged to accommodate renewable energy sources in a multi-energy system to deploy the synergies between electricity and other energy sources. However, the market mechanisms for the integration of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Lu Wang , Mokhtar Bozorg , Mohammad Rayati , Rachid Cherkaoui

In this article, a multiple split method is proposed that enables construction of multidimensional probabilistic forecasts of a selected set of variables. The method uses repeated resampling to estimate uncertainty of simultaneous…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-11 Katarzyna Maciejowska , Weronika Nitka

The growing share of proactive actors in the electricity markets calls for more attention on prosumers and more support for their decision-making under decentralized electricity markets. In view of the changing paradigm, it is crucial to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-24 Ni Wang , Remco Verzijlbergh , Petra Heijnen , Paulien Herder

The growing integration of renewable energy sources necessitates adequate reserve capacity to maintain power balance. However, in market clearing, power companies with flexible resources may submit strategic bids to maximize profits,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-26 Yun Xu , Yunxiao Bai , Yunyong Zhang , Peng Wang , Xuelin Wang , Jiqun Guo , Kaijun Xie , Rusheng Zhao

In this paper we study the impact of errors in wind and solar power forecasts on intraday electricity prices. We develop a novel econometric model which is based on day-ahead wholesale auction curves data and errors in wind and solar power…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-24 Sergei Kulakov , Florian Ziel

The smart grid vision entails advanced information technology and data analytics to enhance the efficiency, sustainability, and economics of the power grid infrastructure. Aligned to this end, modern statistical learning tools are leveraged…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-17 Vassilis Kekatos , Yu Zhang , Georgios B. Giannakis

We consider the problem of optimal trading for a power producer in the context of intraday electricity markets. The aim is to minimize the imbalance cost induced by the random residual demand in electricity, i.e. the consumption from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-27 René Aïd , Pierre Gruet , Huyên Pham

We study price formation in intraday electricity markets in the presence of intermittent renewable generation. We consider the setting where a major producer may interact strategically with a large number of small producers. Using…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-17 Olivier Féron , Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

Electricity is bought and sold in wholesale markets at prices that fluctuate significantly. Short-term forecasting of electricity prices is an important endeavor because it helps electric utilities control risk and because it influences…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-05-16 Elaheh Fata , Igor Kadota , Ian Schneider

Forecast reconciliation is considered an effective method to achieve coherence (within a forecast hierarchy) and to improve forecast quality. However, the value of reconciled forecasts in downstream decision-making tasks has been mostly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-02 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson

To accommodate the advent of microgrids (MG) managing distributed energy resources (DER) in distribution systems, an interactive two-stage joint retail electricity market mechanism is proposed to provide an effective platform for these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-28 Chunyi Huang , Mingzhi Zhang , Chengmin Wang , Ning Xie , Jian Wang , Shi Peng

Accurate power forecasting from renewable energy sources (RES) is crucial for integrating additional RES capacity into the power system and realizing sustainability goals. This work emphasizes the importance of integrating decentralized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Carla Goncalves , Ricardo J. Bessa , Tiago Teixeira , Joao Vinagre

This paper focuses on the problem of energy imbalance management in amicrogrid. The problem is investigated from the power market perspective. Unlike the traditional power grid, a microgrid can obtain extra energy froma renewable energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-16 Wei-Yu Chiu , Hongjian Sun , H. Vincent Poor

This study investigates long-term investment decisions in distributed photovoltaic panels by individual investors. We consider a setting where investment decisions are driven by expected revenue from participating in short-term electricity…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-19 Mehdi Davoudi , Junjie Qin , Xiaojun Lin