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This paper offers a thorough examination of the univariate predictability in cryptocurrency time-series. By exploiting a combination of complexity measure and model predictions we explore the cryptocurrencies time-series forecasting task…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Francesco Puoti , Fabrizio Pittorino , Manuel Roveri

Threshold rules of spreading in binary-state networks lead to cascades. We study persistent cascade-recovery dynamics on quasi-robust networks, i.e., networks which are robust against small trigger but may collapse for larger one. It is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-22 Nanxin Wei , Bo Fan

We identify a robust structural signature of stock markets during exogenous shock events by analyzing collective return dynamics across G5 countries. Using Random Matrix Theory, we introduce the complexity gap, defined as the difference…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Kundan Mukhia , Imran Ansari , Md. Nurujjaman

This study explores the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for real-time cryptocurrency price prediction and optimized trading strategies. Given the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, traditional forecasting models often fall…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Shamima Nasrin Tumpa , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Maduranga

While attention is a predictor for digital asset prices, and jumps in Bitcoin prices are well-known, we know little about its alternatives. Studying high frequency crypto data gives us the unique possibility to confirm that cross market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-19 Danial Saef , Odett Nagy , Sergej Sizov , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

The performance of an artificial neural network (ANN) in forecasting crash risk is shown in this paper. To begin, some traffic and weather data are acquired as raw data. This data is then analyzed, and relevant characteristics are chosen to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Behnaz Alafi , Saeid Moradi

A novel class of extreme link-flooding DDoS (Distributed Denial of Service) attacks is designed to cut off entire geographical areas such as cities and even countries from the Internet by simultaneously targeting a selected set of network…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Mostafa Rezazad , Matthias R. Brust , Mohammad Akbari , Pascal Bouvry , Ngai-Man Cheung

We study recurrent patterns in volatility and volume for major cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ether, using data from two centralized exchanges (Coinbase Pro and Binance) and a decentralized exchange (Uniswap V2). We find systematic patterns…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-05 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Chan Kim , Wade Kimbrough

Random Threshold Networks with sparse, asymmetric connections show complex dynamical behavior similar to Random Boolean Networks, with a transition from ordered to chaotic dynamics at a critical average connectivity $K_c$. In this type of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Thimo Rohlf , Stefan Bornholdt

We study the extreme events taking place on complex networks. The transport on networks is modelled using random walks and we compute the probability for the occurance and recurrence of extreme events on the network. We show that the nodes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-05 Vimal Kishore , M. S. Santhanam , R. E. Amritkar

Cross-correlations in fluctuations of the daily exchange rates within the basket of the 100 highest-capitalization cryptocurrencies over the period October 1, 2015, through March 31, 2019, are studied. The corresponding dynamics…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-12 Stanisław Drożdż , Ludovico Minati , Paweł Oświęcimka , Marek Stanuszek , Marcin Wątorek

Flash crashes in financial markets have become increasingly important attracting attention from financial regulators, market makers as well as from the media and the broader audience. Systemic risk and propagation of shocks in financial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-23 Jeremy Turiel , Tomaso Aste

We review the state of the art of clustering financial time series and the study of their correlations alongside other interaction networks. The aim of this review is to gather in one place the relevant material from different fields, e.g.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-14 Gautier Marti , Frank Nielsen , Mikołaj Bińkowski , Philippe Donnat

The insufficient understanding of the credit network structure was recognized as a key factor for regulators' underestimation of the destructive systematic risk during the financial crisis that started in 2007. The existing credit network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-05 Xuan Lu , Li Huang , Kangjuan Lyu

Recent empirical evidence has highlighted the crucial role of jumps in both price and volatility within the cryptocurrency market. In this paper, we integrate price--volatility co-jumps and volatility short-term dependency into a coherent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Boyi Li , Weixuan Xia

A certain complexity threshold is proposed which defines the term `complex network' for RSN, e.g. Kauffman networks with s>=2 - more than two equally probable state variants. Such Kauffman networks are no longer Boolean networks. RSN are…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-04-23 Andrzej Gecow

When network products and services become more valuable as their userbase grows (network effects), this tendency can become a major determinant of how they compete with each other in the market and how the market is structured. Network…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Konstantinos Stylianou , Leonhard Spiegelberg , Maurice Herlihy , Nic Carter

Cross-border equity and long-term debt securities portfolio investment networks are analysed from 2002 to 2012, covering the 2008 global financial crisis. They serve as network-proxies for measuring the robustness of the global financial…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-05 Andreas Joseph , Stephan Joseph , Guanrong Chen

We investigate the behavior of extended urban traffic networks within the framework of percolation theory by using real and synthetic traffic data. Our main focus shifts from the statistical properties of the cluster size distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-21 Marco Cogoni , Giovanni Busonera

In the past decade, synchronization on complex networks has attracted increasing attentions from various research disciplines. Most previous works, however, focus only on the dynamic behaviors of synchronization process in the stable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-10-26 Zhao Zhuo , Shimin Cai , Jie Zhang , Zhongqian Fu
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