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Financial crises emerge when structural vulnerabilities accumulate across sectors, markets, and investor behavior. Predicting these systemic transitions is challenging because they arise from evolving interactions between market…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-22 Sandeep Neela

Financial networks are typically estimated by applying standard time series analyses to price-based economic variables collected at low-frequency (e.g., daily or monthly stock returns or realized volatility). These networks are used for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-09 Kara Karpman , Sumanta Basu , David Easley

The Bitcoin Lightning Network (BLN), a so-called "second layer" payment protocol, was launched in 2018 to scale up the number of transactions between Bitcoin owners. In this paper, we analyse the structure of the BLN over a period of 18…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-08 Jian-Hong Lin , Kevin Primicerio , Tiziano Squartini , Christian Decker , Claudio J. Tessone

Cryptocurrency networks such as Bitcoin have emerged as a distributed alternative to traditional centralized financial transaction networks. However, there are major challenges in scaling up the throughput of such networks. Lightning…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Sushil Mahavir Varma , Siva Theja Maguluri

Online social networks have increasing influence on our society, they may play decisive roles in politics and can be crucial for the fate of companies. Such services compete with each other and some may even break down rapidly. Using social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-20 János Török , János Kertész

The structure of many financial networks is protected by privacy and has to be inferred from aggregate observables. Here we consider one of the most successful network reconstruction methods, producing random graphs with desired link…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-21 Andrea Gabrielli , Valentina Macchiati , Diego Garlaschelli

The paper analyzes the cryptocurrency ecosystem at both the aggregate and individual levels to understand the factors that impact future volatility. The study uses high-frequency panel data from 2020 to 2022 to examine the relationship…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Alessio Brini , Jimmie Lenz

In recent times we hear increasingly often about cyber attacks on various commercial and strategic sites that manage to escape any defense. In this article, we model such attacks on networks via stochastic processes and predict the time of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Jewgeni H. Dshalalow , Ryan T. White

Machine learning and AI-assisted trading have attracted growing interest for the past few years. Here, we use this approach to test the hypothesis that the inefficiency of the cryptocurrency market can be exploited to generate abnormal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-09 Laura Alessandretti , Abeer ElBahrawy , Luca Maria Aiello , Andrea Baronchelli

This paper introduces new methods for analysing the extreme and erratic behaviour of time series to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on cryptocurrency market dynamics. Across 51 cryptocurrencies, we examine extreme behaviour through a study…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-01 Nick James , Max Menzies , Jennifer Chan

We study the response of complex networks subject to attacks on vertices and edges. Several existing complex network models as well as real-world networks of scientific collaborations and Internet traffic are numerically investigated, and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Petter Holme , Beom Jun Kim , Chang No Yoon , Seung Kee Han

Complex networks has been a hot topic of research over the past several years over crossing many disciplines, starting from mathematics and computer science and ending by the social and biological sciences. Random graphs were studied to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-01-28 Alaa Eddin Alchalabi

This work aims to analyse the predictability of price movements of cryptocurrencies on both hourly and daily data observed from January 2017 to January 2021, using deep learning algorithms. For our experiments, we used three sets of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-18 Marco Ortu , Nicola Uras , Claudio Conversano , Giuseppe Destefanis , Silvia Bartolucci

Traffic accidents can be studied to mitigate the risk of further events. Recent advances in machine learning have provided an alternative way to study data associated with traffic accidents. New models achieve good generalization and high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Meghan Bibb , Pablo Rivas , Mahee Tayba

Unlike price fluctuations, the temporal structure of cryptocurrency trading has seldom been a subject of systematic study. In order to fill this gap, we analyse detrended correlations of the price returns, the average number of trades in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-03 Marcin Wątorek , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

Cryptocurrencies have recently been in the spotlight of public debate due to their embrace by the new US President, with crypto fans expecting a 'bull run'. The global cryptocurrency market capitalisation is more than \$3.50 trillion, with…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Marco Venturini , Daniel García-Costa , Elena Álvarez-García , Francisco Grimaldo , Flaminio Squazzoni

Different routing strategies may result in different behaviors of traffic on internet. We analyze the correlation of traffic data for three typical routing strategies by the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) and find that the degree of…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2008-06-12 Xiaoyan Zhu , Zonghua Liu , Ming Tang

In this work we present a non-parametric online market regime detection method for multidimensional data structures using a path-wise two-sample test derived from a maximum mean discrepancy-based similarity metric on path space that uses…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-29 Zacharia Issa , Blanka Horvath

Financial networks can be constructed using statistical dependencies found within the price series of speculative assets. Across the various methods used to infer these networks, there is a general reliance on predictive modelling to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-23 Cameron Cornell , Lewis Mitchell , Matthew Roughan

Large scale networks delineating collective dynamics often exhibit cascading failures across nodes leading to a system-wide collapse. Prominent examples of such phenomena would include collapse on financial and economic networks.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-07 Sudarshan Kumar , Tiziana Di Matteo , Anindya S. Chakrabarti