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This paper explores neural network-based approaches for algorithmic trading in cryptocurrency markets. Our approach combines multi-timeframe trend analysis with high-frequency direction prediction networks, achieving positive risk-adjusted…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Wěi Zhāng

The detection of frauds in credit card transactions is a major topic in financial research, of profound economic implications. While this has hitherto been tackled through data analysis techniques, the resemblances between this and other…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-08 Massimiliano Zanin , Miguel Romance , Santiago Moral , Regino Criado

Recurrence networks are powerful tools used effectively in the nonlinear analysis of time series data. The analysis in this context is done mostly with unweighted and undirected complex networks constructed with specific criteria from the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-18 Rinku Jacob , K. P. Harikrishnan , R. Misra , G. Ambika

Network theory proved recently to be useful in the quantification of many properties of financial systems. The analysis of the structure of investment portfolios is a major application since their eventual correlation and overlap impact the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-09 Danilo Delpini , Stefano Battiston , Guido Caldarelli , Massimo Riccaboni

The blockchain technology promises to transform finance, money and even governments. However, analyses of blockchain applicability and robustness typically focus on isolated systems whose actors contribute mainly by running the consensus…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-09 Manlio De Domenico , Andrea Baronchelli

We investigate whether cryptocurrency markets differentiate between infrastructure failures and regulatory enforcement at the return level, complementing a companion conditional variance analysis that finds 5.7 times larger volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Murad Farzulla

Financial market is an example of complex system, which is characterized by a highly intricate organization and the emergence of collective behavior. In this paper, we quantify this emergent dynamics in the financial market by using…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-07 Thomas Kauê Dal'Maso Peron , Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues

This paper explores the mechanisms behind extreme financial events, specifically market crashes, by employing the theoretical framework of phase transitions. We focus on endogenous crashes, driven by internal market dynamics, and model…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-14 Revant Nayar , Minhajul Islam

Many cryptocurrency brokers nowadays offer a variety of derivative assets that allow traders to perform hedging or speculation. This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Quoc Minh Nguyen , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Moncef Gabbouj

Cryptocurrency is a fast-moving space, with a continuous influx of new projects every year. However, an increasing number of incidents in the space, such as hacks and security breaches, threaten the growth of the community and the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Inwon Kang , Maruf Ahmed Mridul , Abraham Sanders , Yao Ma , Thilanka Munasinghe , Aparna Gupta , Oshani Seneviratne

This paper is an extensive survey of literature on complex network communities and clustering. Complex networks describe a widespread variety of systems in nature and society especially systems composed by a large number of highly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-24 Biswajit Saha , Amitabha Mandal , Soumendu Bikas Tripathy , Debaprasad Mukherjee

We introduce the Aggregated Systemic Risk Index (ASRI), comprising four weighted sub-indices: Stablecoin Concentration Risk (30%), DeFi Liquidity Risk (25%), Contagion Risk (25%), and Regulatory Opacity Risk (20%). Using data from DeFi…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Murad Farzulla , Andrew Maksakov

In this paper, we explore the detection of clusters of stocks that are in synergy in the Indian Stock Market and understand their behaviour in different circumstances. We have based our study on high frequency data for the year 2014. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-11 Charu Sharma , Amber Habib

Complex networks are usually characterized in terms of their topological, spatial, or information-theoretic properties and combinations of the associated metrics are used to discriminate networks into different classes or categories.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-10-25 Marc Wiedermann , Jonathan F. Donges , Jürgen Kurths , Reik V. Donner

Clustering trajectory data attracted considerable attention in the last few years. Most of prior work assumed that moving objects can move freely in an euclidean space and did not consider the eventual presence of an underlying road network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-10-22 Mohamed Khalil El Mahrsi , Fabrice Rossi

The use of machine learning techniques in classical and quantum systems has led to novel techniques to classify ordered and disordered phases, as well as uncover transition points in critical phenomena. Efforts to extend these methods to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-10 Sayat Mimar , Gourab Ghoshal

This study identifies the key factors influencing the price movements of major cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Binance Coin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Ripple, and Tether, using Bayesian networks (BNs). This study addresses two key challenges:…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Rasoul Amirzadeh , Asef Nazari , Dhananjay Thiruvady , Mong Shan Ee

Cyclones are amongst the most hazardous extreme weather events on Earth. When two co-rotating cyclones come in close proximity, a possibility of complete merger (CM) arises due to their interactions. However, identifying the transitions in…

We study whether liquidity and volatility proxies of a core set of cryptoassets generate spillovers that forecast market-wide risk. Our empirical framework integrates three statistical layers: (A) interactions between core liquidity and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Yimeng Qiu , Feihuang Fang

We introduce a novel tool for analyzing complex network dynamics, allowing for cascades of causally-related events, which we call causal webs (c-webs), to be separated from other non-causally-related events. This tool shows that…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-11 Rashid V. Williams-Garcia , John M. Beggs , Gerardo Ortiz