English
Related papers

Related papers: A Model-Based Approach to Shot Charts Estimation i…

200 papers

The purpose of this paper is to determine whether basketball teams who choose to employ an offensive strategy that involves predominantly shooting three point shots is stable and optimal. We employ a game-theoretical approach using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-24 Ikjyot Singh Kohli

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian predictive density estimator to predict the time until the r-th goal is scored in a hockey game, using ancillary information such as their performances in the past, points and specialists' opinions. To…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-27 Abdolnasser Sadeghkhani , Syed Ejaz Ahmed

Basketball shooting coaches agree that smoother shooting motions are better, but there is less agreement about what "smooth" means quantitatively or what part of the shooting motion needs to be smooth. Using ball tracking data from the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-18 Ruoqian Zhu , Dave Love , Scott Powers

A popular quantitative approach to evaluating player performance in sports involves comparing an observed outcome to the expected outcome ignoring player involvement, which is estimated using statistical or machine learning methods. In…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-22 Robert Bajons , Lucas Kook

A new approach in team sports analysis consists in studying positioning and movements of players during the game in relation to team performance. State of the art tracking systems produce spatio-temporal traces of players that have…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-06 Rodolfo Metulini , Marica Manisera , Paola Zuccolotto

In this paper, we develop a novel depth-based testing procedure on spatial point processes to examine the difference in made and missed field goal attempts for NBA players. Specifically, our testing procedure can statistically detect the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-19 Kai Qi , Guanyu Hu , Wei Wu

We present evidence, based on play-by-play data from all 6087 games from the 2006/07--2009/10 seasons of the National Basketball Association (NBA), that basketball scoring is well described by a weakly-biased continuous-time random walk.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-07-25 Alan Gabel , S. Redner

Complex interactions between two opposing agents frequently occur in domains of machine learning, game theory, and other application domains. Quantitatively analyzing the strategies involved can provide an objective basis for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Calvin C. K. Yeung , Keisuke Fujii

Goals are results of pin-point shots and it is a pivotal decision in soccer when, how and where to shoot. The main contribution of this study is two-fold. At first, after showing that there exists high spatial correlation in the data of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-08 Soudeep Deb , Debangan Dey

Sports data analytics is a relevant topic in applied statistics that has been growing in importance in recent years. In basketball, a player or team has a hot hand when their performance during a match is better than expected or they are on…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-02 Gabriel Calvo , Carmen Armero , Luigi Spezia

Tracking the players and the ball in team sports is key to analyse the performance or to enhance the game watching experience with augmented reality. When the only sources for this data are broadcast videos, sports-field registration…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-19 Adrien Maglo , Astrid Orcesi , Quoc Cuong Pham

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Predicting batting averages for specific batters against specific pitchers is a challenging problem in baseball. Previous methods for estimating batting averages in these matchups have used regression models that can incorporate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Michael J. O'Connell

In this paper, we predict the likelihood of a player making a shot in basketball from multiagent trajectories. Previous approaches to similar problems center on hand-crafting features to capture domain specific knowledge. Although…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-19 Mark Harmon , Abdolghani Ebrahimi , Patrick Lucey , Diego Klabjan

Basketball games evolve continuously in space and time as players constantly interact with their teammates, the opposing team, and the ball. However, current analyses of basketball outcomes rely on discretized summaries of the game that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-11 Daniel Cervone , Alex D'Amour , Luke Bornn , Kirk Goldsberry

Two new Bayesian methods for estimating and predicting in-game home team win probabilities are proposed. The first method has a prior that adjusts as a function of lead differential and time elapsed. The second is an adjusted version of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Jason Maddox , Ryan Sides , Jane Harvill

In the sports of soccer, hockey and basketball the most commonly used statistics for player performance assessment are divided into two categories: offensive statistics and defensive statistics. However, qualitative assessments of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-04 Shael Brown

A physical model is developed, which suggests a pathway to determining the optimal release conditions for a basketball free throw. Theoretical framework is supported by Monte Carlo simulations and a series of free throws performed and…

Popular Physics · Physics 2017-02-24 Irina Barzykina

The estimation of the generalization error of classifiers often relies on a validation set. Such a set is hardly available in few-shot learning scenarios, a highly disregarded shortcoming in the field. In these scenarios, it is common to…

This paper investigates the modeling of automated machine description on sports video, which has seen much progress recently. Nevertheless, state-of-the-art approaches fall quite short of capturing how human experts analyze sports scenes.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Dekun Wu , He Zhao , Xingce Bao , Richard P. Wildes