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How much is an on-ball screen worth? How much is a backdoor cut away from the ball worth? Basketball is one of a number of sports which, within the past decade, have seen an explosion in quantitative metrics and methods for evaluating…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-22 Anthony Sicilia , Konstantinos Pelechrinis , Kirk Goldsberry

From 2020 to 2023, Major League Baseball changed rules affecting team composition, player positioning, and game time. Understanding the effects of these rules is crucial for leagues, teams, players, and other relevant parties to assess…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-17 Lee Kennedy-Shaffer

Bayesian modelling enables us to accommodate complex forms of data and make a comprehensive inference, but the effect of partial misspecification of the model is a concern. One approach in this setting is to modularize the model, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Yang Liu , Robert J. B. Goudie

With the advent of structured data in the form of social networks, genetic circuits and protein interaction networks, statistical analysis of networks has gained popularity over recent years. Stochastic block model constitutes a classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

Determining the value of basketball players through analyzing the players' behavior is important for the managers of modern basketball teams. However, conventional methods always utilize isolated statistical data, leading to ineffective and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Xin Du , Weihong Cai , Jianquan Liu , Ding Yu , Kai Xu , Wei Li

In some applied scenarios, the availability of complete data is restricted, often due to privacy concerns; only aggregated, robust and inefficient statistics derived from the data are made accessible. These robust statistics are not…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-23 Antoine Luciano , Christian P. Robert , Robin J. Ryder

We present a novel representation of NBA players' shooting patterns based on Functional Data Analysis (FDA). Each player's charts of made and missed shots are treated as smooth functional data defined over a two-dimensional domain…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-06 Steven Golovkine , Edward Gunning

The core challenge in basketball tactic modeling lies in efficiently extracting complex spatial-temporal dependencies from historical data and accurately predicting various in-game events. Existing state-of-the-art (SOTA) models, primarily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Xu Lingrui , Liu Mandi , Zhang Lei

Roll-call data analysis aims to estimate legislators' ideal points and quantify the associated uncertainty. Existing approaches either rely on Bayesian methods implemented via Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling or focus primarily on point…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Kwangok Seo , Youngjo Lee , Jong Hee Park , Xinlei Wang , Johan Lim

This manuscript is focused on features' definition for the outcome prediction of matches of NBA basketball championship. It is shown how models based on one a single feature (Elo rating or the relative victory frequency) have a quality of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Manlio Migliorati

Badminton is known as one of the fastest racket sports in the world. Despite doubles matches being more prevalent in international tournaments than singles, previous research has mainly focused on singles due to the challenges in data…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Seungheon Baek , Jinhyuk Yun

Computer Vision practitioners must thoroughly understand their model's performance, but conditional evaluation is complex and error-prone. In biometric verification, model performance over continuous covariates---real-number attributes of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Mel McCurrie , Hamish Nicholson , Walter J. Scheirer , Samuel Anthony

This paper presents a unified framework to (i) locate the ball, (ii) predict the pose, and (iii) segment the instance mask of players in team sports scenes. Those problems are of high interest in automated sports analytics, production, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Seyed Abolfazl Ghasemzadeh , Gabriel Van Zandycke , Maxime Istasse , Niels Sayez , Amirafshar Moshtaghpour , Christophe De Vleeschouwer

This work introduces an automated testing approach that employs agents controlling game characters to detect potential bugs within a game level. Harnessing the power of Bayesian Optimization (BO) to execute sample-efficient search, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Carlos Celemin

We describe the development of a new toolkit for data analysis. The analysis package is based on Bayes' Theorem, and is realized with the use of Markov Chain Monte Carlo. This gives access to the full posterior probability distribution.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Allen Caldwell , Daniel Kollar , Kevin Kroeninger

Within the calibration of material models, often the numerical results of a simulation model $y$ are compared with the experimental measurements $y^*$. Usually, the differences between measurements and simulation are minimized using least…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-08-14 Thomas Most

In-game win probability models, which provide a sports team's likelihood of winning at each point in a game based on historical observations, are becoming increasingly popular. In baseball, basketball and American football, they have become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Pieter Robberechts , Jan Van Haaren , Jesse Davis

We here adopt Bayesian nonparametric mixture models to extend multi-armed bandits in general, and Thompson sampling in particular, to scenarios where there is reward model uncertainty. In the stochastic multi-armed bandit, the reward for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-26 Iñigo Urteaga , Chris H. Wiggins

National Basketball Association (NBA) players are highly motivated and skilled experts that solve complex decision making problems at every time point during a game. As a step towards understanding how players make their decisions, we focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Sandro Hauri , Nemanja Djuric , Vladan Radosavljevic , Slobodan Vucetic

Vision-based estimation of the motion of a moving target is usually formulated as a bearing-only estimation problem where the visual measurement is modeled as a bearing vector. Although the bearing-only approach has been studied for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Zian Ning , Yin Zhang , Jianan Li , Zhang Chen , Shiyu Zhao
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