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We analyze the long-term stability of a stochastic model designed to illustrate the adaptation of a population to variation in its environment. A piecewise-deterministic process modeling adaptation is coupled to a Feller logistic diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Aurélien Velleret

Real-world complex systems such as ecological communities and neuron networks are essential parts of our everyday lives. These systems are composed of units which interact through intricate networks. The ability to predict sudden changes in…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-07-05 Deniz Eroglu , Matteo Tanzi , Sebastian van Strien , Tiago Pereira

Modeling environmental ecosystems is essential for effective resource management, sustainable development, and understanding complex ecological processes. However, traditional data-driven methods face challenges in capturing inherently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Runlong Yu , Shengyu Chen , Yiqun Xie , Huaxiu Yao , Jared Willard , Xiaowei Jia

With the rise of computers, simulation models have emerged beside the more traditional statistical and mathematical models as a third pillar for ecological analysis. Broadly speaking, a simulation model is an algorithm, typically…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-24 Florian Hartig

An organism that is newly introduced into an existing population has a survival probability that is dependent on both the population density of its environment and the competition it experiences with the members of that population.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-17 Jason M. Gray , Rowan J. Barker-Clarke , Jacob G. Scott , Michael Hinczewski

This is the first of two papers where we discuss the limits imposed by competition to the biodiversity of species communities. In this first paper we study the coexistence of competing species at the fixed point of population dynamic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Ugo Bastolla , Michael Lässig , Susanna C. Manrubia , Angelo Valleriani

The assessment of diversity and similarity is relevant in monitoring the status of ecosystems. The respective indicators are based on the taxonomic composition of biological communities of interest, currently estimated through the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-12 Fabio Divino , Johanna Ärje , Antti Penttinen , Kristian Meissner , Salme Kärkkäinen

Systems biology models are useful models of complex biological systems that may require a large amount of experimental data to fit each model's parameters or to approximate a likelihood function. These models range from a few to thousands…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-12 Vincent D. Zaballa , Elliot E. Hui

This paper deals with the issue of ecological bias in ecological inference. We provide an explicit formulation of the conditions required for the ordinary ecological regression to produce unbiased estimates and argue that, when these…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-11 Michela Gnaldi , Venera Tomaselli , Antonio Forcina

In abstract terms, ecosystem ecology is about determining when two ecosystems, superficially different, are alike in some deeper way. An external observer can choose any ecosystem property as being important. In contrast, two ecosystems are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-12 Matthew Spencer

Evolutionary game theory has traditionally employed deterministic models to describe population dynamics. These models, due to their inherent nonlinearities, can exhibit deterministic chaos, where population fluctuations follow complex,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-02 Maria Alejandra Ramirez , George Datseris , Arne Traulsen

Data Science and Machine learning have been growing strong for the past decade. We argue that to make the most of this exciting field we should resist the temptation of assuming that forecasting can be reduced to brute-force data analytics.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Hykel Hosni , Angelo Vulpiani

Estimating population models from uncertain observations is an important problem in ecology. Perretti et al. observed that standard Bayesian state-space solutions to this problem may provide biased parameter estimates when the underlying…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-10-28 Florian Hartig , Carsten F. Dormann

We develop a set of equations to describe the population dynamics of many interacting species in food webs. Predator-prey interactions are non-linear, and are based on ratio-dependent functional responses. The equations account for…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Barbara Drossel , Paul G. Higgs , Alan J. McKane

Fine population distribution both in space and in time is crucial for epidemic management, disaster prevention,urban planning and more. Human mobility data have a great potential for mapping population distribution at a high level of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Xiang Liu , Philo Pöllmann

Species distribution models (SDMs) are key tools in ecology, conservation and management of natural resources. They are commonly trained by scientific survey data but, since surveys are expensive, there is a need for complementary sources…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Karel Kaurila , Sanna Kuningas , Antti Lappalainen , Jarno Vanhatalo

Motivated by the climate crisis that is currently ravaging the planet, we propose and analyze a novel framework for the evolution of anthropogenic climate impact in which the evolution of human environmental behavior and environmental…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , A. Stephen Morse , Ming Cao

In the past decades human activities caused global Earth system changes, e.g., climate change or biodiversity loss. Simultaneously, these associated impacts have increased environmental awareness within societies across the globe, thereby…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-11 Paul Manuel Müller , Jobst Heitzig , Jürgen Kurths , Kathy Lüdge , Marc Wiedermann

This paper focuses on a core task in computational sustainability and statistical ecology: species distribution modeling (SDM). In SDM, the occurrence pattern of a species on a landscape is predicted by environmental features based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Eugene Seo , Rebecca A. Hutchinson , Xiao Fu , Chelsea Li , Tyler A. Hallman , John Kilbride , W. Douglas Robinson

The statistical properties of an ecosystem composed of species interacting via pairwise, random interactions and deterministic, concentration limiting self-interaction are studied analytically with tools of equilibrium statistical mechanics…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Viviane M. de Oliveira , J. F. Fontanari