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Traditional epidemic detection algorithms make decisions using only local information. We propose a novel approach that explicitly models spatial information fusion from several metapopulations. Our method also takes into account…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-15 Michael Ludkovski , Katherine Shatskikh

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

We assess empirical models in climate econometrics using modern statistical learning techniques. Existing approaches are prone to outliers, ignore sample dependencies, and lack principled model selection. To address these issues, we…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-26 Christof Schötz , Jan Hassel , Christian Otto

In this paper we explore the eco-evolutionary dynamics of a predator-prey model, where the prey population is structured according to a certain life history trait. The trait distribution within the prey population is the result of interplay…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-27 József Z. Farkas , A. Yu. Morozov

Although there is a rapidly growing literature on dynamic connectivity methods, the primary focus has been on separate network estimation for each individual, which fails to leverage common patterns of information. We propose novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-15 Suprateek Kundu , Jin Ming , Joe Nocera , Keith M. McGregor

We demonstrate with a thought experiment that fitness-based population dynamical approaches to evolution are not able to make quantitative, falsifiable predictions about the long-term behavior of evolutionary systems. A key characteristic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-14 Peter Klimek , Stefan Thurner , Rudolf Hanel

Understanding under what conditions interacting populations, whether they be plants, animals, or viral particles, coexist is a question of theoretical and practical importance in population biology. Both biotic interactions and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-04-26 Sebastian J. Schreiber , Michel Benaïm , Kolawolé A. S. Atchadé

Learning the structure of Bayesian networks from data provides insights into underlying processes and the causal relationships that generate the data, but its usefulness depends on the homogeneity of the data population, a condition often…

We present an individual based model of evolutionary ecology. The reproduction rate of individuals characterized by their genome depends on the composition of the population in genotype space. Ecological features such as the taxonomy and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Matt Hall , Kim Christensen , Simone A. di Collobiano , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

The extinction of species is a core process that affects the diversity of life on Earth. One way of investigating the causes and consequences of extinctions is to build conceptual ecological models, and to use the dynamical outcomes of such…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-28 Sergey A. Vakulenko , Ivan Sudakov , Luke Mander

Machine learning has affected the way in which many phenomena for various domains are modelled, one of these domains being that of structural dynamics. However, because machine-learning algorithms are problem-specific, they often fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-08 G. Tsialiamanis , N. Dervilis , D. J. Wagg , K. Worden

In any ecosystem, the conditions of the environment and the characteristics of the species that inhabit it are entangled, co-evolving in space and time. We introduce a model that couples active agents with a dynamic environment, interpreted…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-10 G. Briozzo , G. J. Sibona , F. Peruani

This paper concerns the modeling and numerical simulation of the process of speciation. In particular, given conditions for which one or more speciation events within an ecosystem occur, our aim is to develop the necessary modeling and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-08 Mats K. Brun , Elyes Ahmed , Jan Martin Nordbotten , Nils Christian Stenseth

Structure, composition and stability of ecological populations are shaped by the inter- and intra-species interactions within these communities. It remains to be fully understood how the interplay of these interactions with other factors,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-16 Nava Leibovich , Jeremy Rothschild , Sidhartha Goyal , Anton Zilman

Biodiversity is declining at alarming rates worldwide, including for large wild mammals. It is therefore imperative to develop effective population conservation and recovery strategies. Population dynamics models can provide insights into…

The prospect of informed and optimal decision-making regarding the operation and maintenance (O&M) of structures provides impetus to the development of structural health monitoring (SHM) systems. A probabilistic risk-based framework for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Aidan J. Hughes , Paul Gardner , Keith Worden

Biological neural networks can perform complex computations to predict their environment, far above the limited predictive capabilities of individual neurons. While conventional approaches to understanding these computations often focus on…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-06-28 Hanna M. Tolle , Andrea I Luppi , Anil K. Seth , Pedro A. M. Mediano

Organisms and ecological groups accumulate evidence to make decisions. Classic experiments and theoretical studies have explored this process when the correct choice is fixed during each trial. However, we live in a constantly changing…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-01 Alan Veliz-Cuba , Zachary P. Kilpatrick , Kresimir Josic

1. Theoretical models pertaining to feedbacks between ecological and evolutionary processes are prevalent in multiple biological fields. An integrative overview is currently lacking, due to little crosstalk between the fields and the use of…

How large ecosystems can create and maintain the remarkable biodiversity we see in nature is probably one of the biggest open questions in science, attracting attention from different fields, from Theoretical Ecology to Mathematics and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-03 Violeta Calleja-Solanas , Nagi Khalil , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes , Emilio Hernández-García , Sandro Meloni