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We continue the investigation of Bernstein-von Mises theorems for nonparametric Bayes procedures from [Ann. Statist. 41 (2013) 1999-2028]. We introduce multiscale spaces on which nonparametric priors and posteriors are naturally defined,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-03 Ismaël Castillo , Richard Nickl

Prior specification for nonparametric Bayesian inference involves the difficult task of quantifying prior knowledge about a parameter of high, often infinite, dimension. Realistically, a statistician is unlikely to have informed opinions…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-01 David C. Kessler , Peter D. Hoff , David B. Dunson

We consider the statistical inverse problem of recovering a function $f: M \to \mathbb R$, where $M$ is a smooth compact Riemannian manifold with boundary, from measurements of general $X$-ray transforms $I_a(f)$ of $f$, corrupted by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-14 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

In this paper, we construct a type of interacting particle systems to approximate a class of stochastic different equations whose coefficients depend on the conditional probability distributions of the processes given partial observations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Kai Du , Yunzhang Li , Yuyang Ye

For $\mathcal{O}$ a bounded domain in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and a given smooth function $g:\mathcal{O}\to\mathbb{R}$, we consider the statistical nonlinear inverse problem of recovering the conductivity $f>0$ in the divergence form equation $$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Matteo Giordano , Richard Nickl

We study nonparametric Bayesian statistical inference for the parameters governing a pure jump process of the form $$Y_t = \sum_{k=1}^{N(t)} Z_k,~~~ t \ge 0,$$ where $N(t)$ is a standard Poisson process of intensity $\lambda$, and $Z_k$ are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Richard Nickl , Jakob Söhl

We study a nonlinear graphon particle system driven by both idiosyncratic and common noise, where interactions are governed by a graphon and represented as positive finite measures. Each particle evolves via a McKean-Vlasov-type SDE with…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Erhan Bayraktar , Xihao He , Donghan Kim

Consider a system of $n$ weakly interacting particles driven by independent Brownian motions. In many instances, it is well known that the empirical measure converges to the solution of a partial differential equation, usually called…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Florian Bechtold , Fabio Coppini

Given a set of moment restrictions (MRs) that overidentify a parameter $\theta$, we investigate a semiparametric Bayesian approach for inference on $\theta$ that does not restrict the data distribution $F$ apart from the MRs. As main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Jean-Pierre Florens , Anna Simoni

In the first part of the paper we develop the sensitivity analysis for the nonlinear McKean-Vlasov diffusions stressing precise estimates of growth of solutions and their derivatives with respect to the initial data, under rather general…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-06 Vassili Kolokoltsov , Marianna Troeva

We study the rate of propagation of chaos for a McKean--Vlasov equation with conditional expectation terms in the drift. We use a (regularized) Nadaraya--Watson estimator at a particle level to approximate the conditional expectations; we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Manuel Arnese

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation of a probability density $p$ based on a random sample of size $n$ from this density using a hierarchical prior. The prior consists, for instance, of prior weights on the regularity of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Jüri Lember , Aad van der Vaart

The mean-field limit of interacting diffusions without exchangeability, caused by weighted interactions and non-i.i.d. initial values, are investigated. The weights could be signed and unbounded. The result applies to a large class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Zhenfu Wang , Xianliang Zhao , Rongchan Zhu

This paper investigates the {\em nonasymptotic} properties of Bayes procedures for estimating an unknown distribution from $n$ i.i.d.\ observations. We assume that the prior is supported by a model $(\scr{S},h)$ (where $h$ denotes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Lucien Birgé

This work studies nonparametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson point process in the important case where the intensity depends on covariates, based on the observation of a single realisation of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Matteo Giordano , Alisa Kirichenko , Judith Rousseau

The focus of this work is the convergence of non-stationary and deep Gaussian process regression. More precisely, we follow a Bayesian approach to regression or interpolation, where the prior placed on the unknown function $f$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Conor Osborne , Aretha L. Teckentrup

We study a non-relativistic particle subject to a three-dimensional spherical potential consisting of a finite well and a radial $\delta$-$\delta'$ contact interaction at the well edge. This contact potential is defined by appropriate…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-05-07 C. Romaniega , M. Gadella , R. M. Id Betan , L. M. Nieto

We consider an abstract non-inertial model of aggregation under the influence of a Gaussian white noise with prescribed space-covariance, and prove a formula for the mean collision rate $R$, per unit of time and volume. Specializing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Franco Flandoli , Ruojun Huang

We study the convergence rates of empirical Bayes posterior distributions for nonparametric and high-dimensional inference. We show that as long as the hyperparameter set is discrete, the empirical Bayes posterior distribution induced by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Fengshuo Zhang , Chao Gao

Multivariate point processes are widely applied to model event-type data such as natural disasters, online message exchanges, financial transactions or neuronal spike trains. One very popular point process model in which the probability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Deborah Sulem , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau
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