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We study the problem of non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of a Poisson point process. The observations are $n$ independent realisations of a Poisson point process on the interval $[0,T]$. We propose two related…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-31 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We study parametric inference for diffusion processes when observations occur nonsynchronously and are contaminated by market microstructure noise. We construct a quasi-likelihood function and study asymptotic mixed normality of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Teppei Ogihara

We show that the empirical process associated with a system of weakly interacting diffusion processes exhibits a form of noise-induced metastability. The result is based on an analysis of the associated McKean--Vlasov free energy, which,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Rishabh S. Gvalani , André Schlichting

In this paper, we study semiparametric inference for linear multivariate Hawkes processes, a class of point processes widely used to describe self and mutually exciting phenomena. We establish a convolution theorem giving the best limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Mael Duverger , Judith Rousseau

We consider the problem of parameter estimation by observations of inhomogeneous Poisson process. It is well-known that if the regularity conditions are fulfilled then the maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimators are consistent,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Yury A. Kutoyants

In this paper, we establish well-posedness of reflected McKean-Vlasov SDEs and their particle approximations in smooth non-convex domains. We prove convergence of the interacting particle system to the corresponding mean-field limit with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-10 P. D. Hinds , A. Sharma , M. V. Tretyakov

We develop a mean-field theory for large, non-exchangeable particle (agent) systems where the states and interaction weights co-evolve in a coupled system of SDEs. A first main result is the establishment of the propagation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Datong Zhou

This study extends the Bayesian nonparametric instrumental variable regression model to determine the structural effects of covariates on the conditional quantile of the response variable. The error distribution is nonparametrically…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-30 Genya Kobayashi , Kota Ogasawara

We consider the problem of the Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion coefficient functions in a stochastic differential equation given discrete observations of a realisation of its solution. We give conditions for the well-posedness and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-10 Jean-Charles Croix , Masoumeh Dashti , Istvàn Zoltàn Kiss

We study the long time behavior of the solution to some McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by a Poisson process. In neuroscience, this SDE models the asymptotic dynamic of the membrane potential of a spiking neuron…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Quentin Cormier , Etienne Tanré , Romain Veltz

We investigate an empirical Bayesian nonparametric approach to a family of linear inverse problems with Gaussian prior and Gaussian noise. We consider a class of Gaussian prior probability measures with covariance operator indexed by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Junxiong Jia , Jigen Peng , Jinghuai Gao

In this paper, we consider the problem of joint parameter estimation for drift and diffusion coefficients of a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation and for the associated system of interacting particles. The analysis is provided in a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Chiara Amorino , Akram Heidari , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė , Mark Podolskij

We consider the weak-error rate of the SPDE approximation by regularized Dean-Kawasaki equation with It\^o noise for particle systems with mean-field interactions both on the drift and the noise. The global existence and uniqueness of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Ana Djurdjevac , Xiaohao Ji , Nicolas Perkowski

The problem of nonparametric estimation of the conditional density of a response, given a vector of explanatory variables, is classical and of prominent importance in many prediction problems since the conditional density provides a more…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-21 Catia Scricciolo

Bayesian density deconvolution using nonparametric prior distributions is a useful alternative to the frequentist kernel based deconvolution estimators due to its potentially wide range of applicability, straightforward uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-10 Abhra Sarkar , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick , Raymond J. Carroll

This paper considers the problem of adaptive estimation of a non-homogeneous intensity function from the observation of n independent Poisson processes having a common intensity that is randomly shifted for each observed trajectory. We show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-20 Jérémie Bigot , Sébastien Gadat , Thierry Klein , Clément Marteau

This paper addresses the problem of regularity properties of functions represented as an expansion in a wavelet basis with random coefficients in terms of finiteness of their Besov norm with probability 1. Such representations are used to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-24 Natalia Bochkina

This paper considers an $n$-particle jump-diffusion system with mean filed interaction, where the coefficients are locally Lipschitz continuous. We address the convergence as $n\to\infty$ of the empirical measure of the jump-diffusions to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Zeqian Li

We consider density estimation for Besov spaces when each sample is quantized to only a limited number of bits. We provide a noninteractive adaptive estimator that exploits the sparsity of wavelet bases, along with a simulate-and-infer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Jayadev Acharya , Clément L. Canonne , Aditya Vikram Singh , Himanshu Tyagi

This article presents an approach to Bayesian semiparametric inference for Gaussian multivariate response regression. We are motivated by various small and medium dimensional problems from the physical and social sciences. The statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Georgios Papageorgiou , Benjamin C. Marshall