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Parameter identification problems in partial differential equations (PDEs) consist in determining one or more functional coefficient in a PDE. In this article, the Bayesian nonparametric approach to such problems is considered. Focusing on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Matteo Giordano

We consider nonparametric Bayesian inference in a reflected diffusion model $dX_t = b (X_t)dt + \sigma(X_t) dW_t,$ with discretely sampled observations $X_0, X_\Delta, \dots, X_{n\Delta}$. We analyse the nonlinear inverse problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Richard Nickl , Jakob Söhl

We study nonparametric Bayesian models for reversible multi-dimensional diffusions with periodic drift. For continuous observation paths, reversibility is exploited to prove a general posterior contraction rate theorem for the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Matteo Giordano , Kolyan Ray

We study the problem of estimating the intensity function of a covariate-driven point process based on observations of the points and covariates over a large window. We consider the nonparametric Bayesian approach, and show that a wide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

Bernstein-von Mises theorems for nonparametric Bayes priors in the Gaussian white noise model are proved. It is demonstrated how such results justify Bayes methods as efficient frequentist inference procedures in a variety of concrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-01 Ismaël Castillo , Richard Nickl

We establish the local asymptotic normality (LAN) property for estimating a multidimensional parameter in the drift of a system of $N$ interacting particles observed over a fixed time horizon in a mean-field regime $N \rightarrow \infty$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-13 Laetitia Della Maestra , Marc Hoffmann

We consider a collection of fully coupled weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale environment. We study the moderate deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-17 Zachary Bezemek , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification in a general class of non-linear inverse regression models is considered. Analytic conditions on the regression model $\{\mathscr G(\theta): \theta \in \Theta\}$ and on Gaussian process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-16 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

We study empirical and hierarchical Bayes approaches to the problem of estimating an infinite-dimensional parameter in mildly ill-posed inverse problems. We consider a class of prior distributions indexed by a hyperparameter that quantifies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-30 B. T. Knapik , B. T. Szabó , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

We consider interacting systems particle driven by i.i.d. fractional Brownian motions, subject to irregular, possibly distributional, pairwise interactions. We show propagation of chaos and mean field convergence to the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Lucio Galeati , Khoa Lê , Avi Mayorcas

Given discrete time observations over a growing time interval, we consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the L\'evy density of a L\'evy process belonging to a flexible class of infinite activity subordinators. Posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Denis Belomestny , Shota Gugushvili , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We consider nonparametric measurement error density deconvolution subject to heteroscedastic measurement errors as well as symmetry about zero and shape constraints, in particular unimodality. The problem is motivated by applications where…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-19 Ya Su , Anirban Bhattacharya , Yan Zhang , Nilanjan Chatterjee , Raymond J. Carroll

Bayesian methods are a popular choice for statistical inference in small-data regimes due to the regularization effect induced by the prior. In the context of density estimation, the standard nonparametric Bayesian approach is to target the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-21 Sahra Ghalebikesabi , Chris Holmes , Edwin Fong , Brieuc Lehmann

This article is a continuation of our first work \cite{chaudruraynal:frikha}. We here establish some new quantitative estimates for propagation of chaos of non-linear stochastic differential equations in the sense of McKean-Vlasov. We…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Noufel Frikha , Paul-Eric Chaudru de Raynal

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

Spatially inhomogeneous functions, which may be smooth in some regions and rough in other regions, are modelled naturally in a Bayesian manner using so-called Besov priors which are given by random wavelet expansions with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-27 Sergios Agapiou , Sven Wang

We develop a Bayesian nonparametric framework for inference in spatio-temporal Hawkes processes, extending existing theoretical results beyond the purely temporal setting. Our framework encompasses modelling both the background and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-08 Xenia Miscouridou , Deborah Sulem

We consider a one-dimensional McKean-Vlasov SDE on a domain and the associated mean-field interacting particle system. The peculiarity of this system is the combination of the interaction, which keeps the average position prescribed, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-29 Michele Coghi , Wolfgang Dreyer , Paul Gajewski , Clemens Guhlke , Peter Friz , Mario Maurelli

Motivated by considerations from neuroscience (macroscopic behavior of large ensembles of interacting neurons), we consider a population of mean field interacting diffusions in $\mathbf {R}^m$ in the presence of a random environment and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Eric Luçon , Wilhelm Stannat