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Intransitive player dominance, where player A beats B, B beats C, but C beats A, is common in competitive tennis. Yet, there are few known attempts to incorporate it within forecasting methods. We address this problem with a graph neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Lawrence Clegg , John Cartlidge

Predicting the results of soccer matches is of great interest. This is not only due to the popularity of the sport and the joy of private "betting rounds", but also due to the large sports betting market. Where previously expert knowledge…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-09 Mirko Fischer , Andreas Heuer

The spread in the use of tracking systems in sport has made fine-grained spatiotemporal analysis a primary focus of an emerging sports analytics industry. Recently publicized tracking data for men's professional tennis allows for the first…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-02 Stephanie A. Kovalchik , Jim Albert

This paper has been withdrawn. With the advancement of statistical theory and computing power, data sets are providing a greater amount of insight into the problems of today. Statisticians have an ever increasing number of tools to attack…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-20 Derek S. Young

The inference of outcomes in dynamic processes from structural features of systems is a crucial endeavor in network science. Recent research has suggested a machine learning-based approach for the interpretation of dynamic patterns emerging…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-15 Aruane M. Pineda , Caroline L. Alves , Colm Connaughton , Francisco A. Rodrigues

Competitor rating systems for head-to-head games are typically used to measure playing strength from game outcomes. Ratings computed from these systems are often used to select top competitors for elite events, for pairing players of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Mark E. Glickman

Interpretation of a machine learning induced models is critical for feature engineering, debugging, and, arguably, compliance. Yet, best of breed machine learning models tend to be very complex. This paper presents a method for model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Noa Avigdor-Elgrabli , Alex Libov , Michael Viderman , Ran Wolff

Sports analysis requires processing large amounts of data, which is time-consuming and costly. Advancements in neural networks have significantly alleviated this burden, enabling highly accurate ball tracking in sports broadcasts. However,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Thomas Gossard , Andreas Ziegler , Andreas Zell

In this study, a temporal graph model is designed to model the behavior of collective sports teams based on the networks of player interactions. The main motivation for the model is to integrate the temporal dimension into the analysis of…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Quentin Bourgeais , Eric Sanlaville , Rodolphe Charrier , Ludovic Seifert

Competition is a primary driver of player satisfaction and engagement in multiplayer online games. Traditional matchmaking systems aim at creating matches involving teams of similar aggregated individual skill levels, such as Elo score or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Sofia M Nikolakaki , Ogheneovo Dibie , Ahmad Beirami , Nicholas Peterson , Navid Aghdaie , Kazi Zaman

Time series data is being used everywhere, from sales records to patients' health evolution metrics. The ability to deal with this data has become a necessity, and time series analysis and forecasting are used for the same. Every Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Rameshwar Garg , Shriya Barpanda , Girish Rao Salanke N S , Ramya S

Technology offers new ways to measure the locations of the players and of the ball in sports. This translates to the trajectories the ball takes on the field as a result of the tactics the team applies. The challenge professionals in soccer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Laszlo Gyarmati , Xavier Anguera

It is well known that building analytical performance models in practice is difficult because it requires a considerable degree of proficiency in the underlying mathematics. In this paper, we propose a machine-learning approach to derive…

Performance · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Giulio Garbi , Emilio Incerto , Mirco Tribastone

We propose an original model for inferring team strengths using a Markov Random Field, which can be used to generate historical estimates of the offensive and defensive strengths of a team over time. This model was designed to be applied to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-10 John Zech , Frank Wood

Structured prediction plays a central role in machine learning applications from computational biology to computer vision. These models require significantly more computation than unstructured models, and, in many applications, algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-12-03 Alexander Grubb , Daniel Munoz , J. Andrew Bagnell , Martial Hebert

Predictive Business Process Monitoring is becoming an essential aid for organizations, providing online operational support of their processes. This paper tackles the fundamental problem of equipping predictive business process monitoring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-18 Riccardo Galanti , Bernat Coma-Puig , Massimiliano de Leoni , Josep Carmona , Nicolò Navarin

This paper introduces a new parsimonious structure for mixture of autoregressive models. the weighting coefficients are determined through latent random variables, following a hidden Markov model. We propose a dynamic programming algorithm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-12 S. H. Alizadeh , S. Rezakhah

Competitive online games use rating systems to match players with similar skills to ensure a satisfying experience for players. In this paper, we focus on the importance of addressing different aspects of playing behavior when modeling…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-09 Arman Dehpanah , Muheeb Faizan Ghori , Jonathan Gemmell , Bamshad Mobasher

In the competitive realm of sports, optimal performance necessitates rigorous management of nutrition and physical conditioning. Specifically, in badminton, the agility and precision required make it an ideal candidate for motion analysis…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Dhruv Toshniwal , Arpit Patil , Nancy Vachhani

The impact of machine learning models on healthcare will depend on the degree of trust that healthcare professionals place in the predictions made by these models. In this paper, we present a method to provide people with clinical expertise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Aniruddh Raghu , John Guttag , Katherine Young , Eugene Pomerantsev , Adrian V. Dalca , Collin M. Stultz