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In machine learning tasks, especially in the tasks of prediction, scientists tend to rely solely on available historical data and disregard unproven insights, such as experts' opinions, polls, and betting odds. In this paper, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-06 Jafar Habibi , Amir Fazelinia , Issa Annamoradnejad

In this paper we bring a novel approach to the theory of tournament rankings. We combine two different theories that are widely used to establish rankings of populations after a given tournament. First, we use the statistical approach of…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 M. Brozos-Vazquez , M. A. Campo-Cabana , J. C. Diaz-Ramos , J. Gonzalez-Diaz

The global sports analytics industry has a market value of USD 3.78 billion in 2023. The increase of wearables such as GPS sensors has provided analysts with large fine-grained datasets detailing player performance. Traditional analysis of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Valerio Antonini , Michael Scriney , Alessandra Mileo , Mark Roantree

This paper employs a Bayesian methodology to predict the results of soccer matches in real-time. Using sequential data of various events throughout the match, we utilize a multinomial probit regression in a novel framework to estimate the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Chinmay Divekar , Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy

In the domain of Sport Analytics, Global Positioning Systems devices are intensively used as they permit to retrieve players' movements. Team sports' managers and coaches are interested on the relation between players' patterns of movements…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-08 Rodolfo Metulini

Forecasting winners in E-sports with real-time analytics has the potential to further engage audiences watching major tournament events. However, making such real-time predictions is challenging due to unpredictable variables within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Kittimate Chulajata , Sean Wu , Fabien Scalzo , Eun Sang Cha

In this work, we develop a graphical model to capture team dynamics. We analyze the model and show how to learn its parameters from data. Using our model we study the phenomenon of team collapse from a computational perspective. We use…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-19 Iasonas Nikolaou , Konstantinos Pelechrinis , Evimaria Terzi

It is not surprise for machine learning models to provide decent prediction accuracy of soccer games outcomes based on various objective metrics. However, the performance is not that decent in terms of predicting difficult and valuable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-05 Liyao Lu , Qiang Lyu

This paper considers the use of observed and predicted match statistics as inputs to forecasts of the outcomes of football matches. It is shown that, were it possible to know the match statistics in advance, highly informative forecasts of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-27 Edward Wheatcroft

We consider the problem of ranking objects from noisy pairwise comparisons, for example, ranking tennis players from the outcomes of matches. We follow a standard approach to this problem and assume that each object has an unobserved…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Daniel Sánchez Catalina , George T. Cantwell

We establish a general formula for the distribution of the score in table tennis. We use this formula to derive the probability distribution (and hence the expectation and variance) of the number of rallies necessary to achieve any given…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-02 Yves Dominicy , Christophe Ley , Yvik Swan

Sports video analysis is a prevalent research topic due to the variety of application areas, ranging from multimedia intelligent devices with user-tailored digests up to analysis of athletes' performance. The Sports Video task is part of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Pierre-Etienne Martin , Jordan Calandre , Boris Mansencal , Jenny Benois-Pineau , Renaud Péteri , Laurent Mascarilla , Julien Morlier

We present a deep-dive into a real-world robotic learning system that, in previous work, was shown to be capable of hundreds of table tennis rallies with a human and has the ability to precisely return the ball to desired targets. This…

This study explores strategic considerations in professional golf's Match Play format, challenging the conventional focus on individual performance. Leveraging PGA Tour data, we investigate the impact of factoring in an adversary's…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Nishad Wajge , Gautier Stauffer

In racket sports, such as tennis, locating the ball's position at impact is important in clarifying player and equipment characteristics, thereby aiding in personalized equipment design. High-speed cameras are used to measure the impact…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Yuto Kase , Kai Ishibe , Ryoma Yasuda , Yudai Washida , Sakiko Hashimoto

Predictive Process Analytics is becoming an essential aid for organizations, providing online operational support of their processes. However, process stakeholders need to be provided with an explanation of the reasons why a given process…

This systematic mapping study investigates the use of Long short-term memory networks to predict time series data about air quality, trying to understand the reasons, characteristics and methods available in the scientific literature,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Lucas L. S. Sachetti , Vinicius F. S. Mota

It is customary for researchers and practitioners to fit linear models in order to predict NBA player's salary based on the players' performance on court. On the contrary, we focus on the players salary share (with regards to the team…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-07 Ioanna Papadaki , Michail Tsagris

We study how individuals trade off outcome ("what") and process ("how") utility in high-stakes strategic decisions, namely professional tennis. Using optimality conditions and the second-service rule, we derive a sufficient condition for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-25 Arnaud Dupuy

We summarise popular methods used for skill rating in competitive sports, along with their inferential paradigms and introduce new approaches based on sequential Monte Carlo and discrete hidden Markov models. We advocate for a state-space…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-20 Samuel Duffield , Samuel Power , Lorenzo Rimella