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During multiple testing, researchers often adjust their alpha level to control the familywise error rate for a statistical inference about a joint union alternative hypothesis (e.g., "H1,1 or H1,2"). However, in some cases, they do not make…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-04 Mark Rubin

Confidence interval performance is typically assessed in terms of two criteria: coverage probability and interval width (or margin of error). In this paper, we assess the performance of four common proportion interval estimators: the Wald,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-17 Owen McGrath , Kevin Burke

Constructing confidence intervals that are simultaneously valid across a class of estimates is central to tasks such as multiple mean estimation, generalization guarantees, and adaptive experimental design. We frame this as an ``error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy , Anna Lyubarskaja , Emma Brunskill , Susan Athey

Systematic reviews aim to summarize all the available evidence relevant to a particular research question. If appropriate, the data from identified studies are quantitatively combined in a meta-analysis. Often only few studies regarding a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 M. Henmi , S. Hattori , T. Friede

Cox proportional hazards model with measurement errors is considered. In Kukush and Chernova (2017), we elaborated a simultaneous estimator of the baseline hazard rate $\lambda(\cdot)$ and the regression parameter $\beta$, with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-06 Oksana Chernova , Alexander Kukush

Consider a linear regression model with n-dimensional response vector, p-dimensional regression parameter beta and independent normally distributed errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is theta = a^T beta where a is a specified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Dilshani Tissera

We introduce a new framework for creating point-wise confidence intervals for the distribution of event times for current status data. Existing methods are based on asymptotics. Our framework is based on binomial properties and motivates…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-17 Sungwook Kim , Michael P. Fay , Michael A. Proschan

Suppose that X_1,X_2,...,X_n are independent and identically Bernoulli(theta) distributed. Also suppose that our aim is to find an exact confidence interval for theta that is the intersection of a 1-\alpha/2 upper confidence interval and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Paul Kabaila

We consider the problem of constructing honest confidence intervals (CIs) for a scalar parameter of interest, such as the regression discontinuity parameter, in nonparametric regression based on kernel or local polynomial estimators. To…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-08 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár

For any class of one-sided $1-\alpha$ confidence intervals with a certain monotonicity ordering on the random confidence limit, the smallest interval, in the sense of the set inclusion for the difference of two proportions of two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-19 Weizhen Wang

Well-recommended methods of forming `confidence intervals' for a binomial proportion give interval estimates that do not actually meet the definition of a confidence interval, in that their coverages are sometimes lower than the nominal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Paul H. Garthwaite , Maha W. Moustafa , Fadlalla G. Elfadaly

A fundamental assumption of classical hypothesis testing is that the significance threshold $\alpha$ is chosen independently from the data. The validity of confidence intervals likewise relies on choosing $\alpha$ beforehand. We point out…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Jesse Hemerik , Nick W Koning

In the recent paper [5], a Bayesian approach for constructing confidence intervals in monotone regression problems is proposed, based on credible intervals. We view this method from a frequentist point of view, and show that it corresponds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed

One-sided confidence intervals are presented for the average of non-identical Bernoulli parameters. These confidence intervals are expressed as analytical functions of the total number of Bernoulli games won, the number of rounds and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Jean-Daniel Bancal , Pavel Sekatski

Intuitively, unfamiliarity should lead to lack of confidence. In reality, current algorithms often make highly confident yet wrong predictions when faced with relevant but unfamiliar examples. A classifier we trained to recognize gender is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Zhizhong Li , Derek Hoiem

Practical or scientific considerations often lead to selecting a subset of parameters as ``important.'' Inferences about those parameters often are based on the same data used to select them in the first place. That can make the reported…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-04 Yoav Benjamini , Yotam Hechtlinger , Philip B. Stark

Differential privacy is a restriction on data processing algorithms that provides strong confidentiality guarantees for individual records in the data. However, research on proper statistical inference, that is, research on properly…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Joerg Drechsler , Ira Globus-Harris , Audra McMillan , Jayshree Sarathy , Adam Smith

For estimating a positive normal mean, Zhang and Woodroofe (2003) as well as Roe and Woodroofe (2000) investigate 100($1-\alpha)%$ HPD credible sets associated with priors obtained as the truncation of noninformative priors onto the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Éric Marchand , William E. Strawderman

Table 1 of Hall (1988) contains asymptotic coverage error formulas for some nonparametric approximate 95\% confidence intervals for the mean based on $n$ IID samples. The table includes an entry for an interval based on the central limit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Art B. Owen

Personalized decision making requires the knowledge of potential outcomes under different treatments, and confidence intervals about the potential outcomes further enrich this decision-making process and improve its reliability in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Zonghao Chen , Ruocheng Guo , Jean-François Ton , Yang Liu