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We propose a modelling framework to analyse the stochastic behaviour of heterogeneous, multi-scale cellular populations. We illustrate our methodology with a particular example in which we study a population with an oxygen-regulated…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-09-01 Roberto de la Cruz , Pilar Guerrero , Fabian Spill , Tomás Alarcón

We study simple stochastic scenarios, based on birth-and-death Markovian processes, that describe populations with Allee effect, to account for the role of demographic stochasticity. In the mean-field deterministic limit we recover…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-02-06 Vicenç Méndez , Michael Assaf , Axel Masó-Puigdellosas , Daniel Campos , Werner Horsthemke

In this paper, a stochastic SEQIR epidemic model with Markovian regime-switching is proposed and investigated. The governmental policy and implement efficiency are concerned by a generalized incidence function of the susceptible class. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Hongjie Fan , Kai Wang , Yanling Zhu

The extinction of a single species due to demographic stochasticity is analyzed. The discrete nature of the individual agents and the Poissonian noise related to the birth-death processes result in local extinction of a metastable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 David A. Kessler , Nadav M. Shnerb

The present paper is devoted to the study of the long term dynamics of diffusion processes modelling a single species that experiences both demographic and environmental stochasticity. In our setting, the long term dynamics of the diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Alexandru Hening , Weiwei Qi , Zhongwei Shen , Yingfei Yi

We study the behavior of an infinite system of ordinary differential equations modeling the dynamics of a metapopulation, a set of (discrete) populations subject to local catastrophes and connected via migration under a mean field rule; the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. D. Barbour , A. Pugliese

Bistable autonomous systems can be found inmany areas of science. When the intrinsic noise intensity is large, these systems exhibits stochastic transitions from onemetastable steady state to another. In electronic bistable memories, these…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-14 Léopold Van Brandt , Jean-Charles Delvenne

We study the asymptotic behavior of continuous-time, time-inhomogeneous Markovian quantum dynamics in a stationary random environment. Under mild faithfulness and eventually positivity-improving assumptions, the normalized evolution…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-12 Lubashan Pathirana , Jeffrey Schenker

In this paper we develop a metastability theory for a class of stochastic reaction-diffusion equations exposed to small multiplicative noise. We consider the case where the unperturbed reaction-diffusion equation features multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Stationary time series models built from parametric distributions are, in general, limited in scope due to the assumptions imposed on the residual distribution and autoregression relationship. We present a modeling approach for univariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-04 Maria DeYoreo , Athanasios Kottas

The ordinary contact process is used to model the spread of a disease in a population. In this model, each infected individual waits an exponentially distributed time with parameter 1 before becoming healthy. In this paper, we introduce and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Erik I. Broman

This survey concerns the study of quasi-stationary distributions with a specific focus on models derived from ecology and population dynamics. We are concerned with the long time behavior of different stochastic population size processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Sylvie Méléard , Denis Villemonais

Population dynamics with complex biological interactions, accounting for uncertainty quantification, is critical for many application areas. However, due to the complexity of biological systems, the mathematical formulation of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-20 Thi Kim Thoa Thieu , Adrian Muntean , Roderick Melnik

Markov Population Models are a widespread formalism used to model the dynamics of complex systems, with applications in Systems Biology and many other fields. The associated Markov stochastic process in continuous time is often analyzed by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Francesca Cairoli , Ginevra Carbone , Luca Bortolussi

We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

In this article, a new mathematical model of human population growth as an autonomous non-Markov queuing system with an unlimited number of servers and two types of applications is proposed. The research of this system was carried out a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-22 Mariia Nosova

Understanding how stochastic and non-linear deterministic processes interact is a major challenge in population dynamics theory. After a short review, we introduce a stochastic individual-centered particle model to describe the evolution in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Regis Ferriere , Viet Chi Tran

Species populations often modify their environment as they grow. When environmental feedback operates more slowly than population growth, the system can undergo boom-bust dynamics, where the population overshoots its carrying capacity and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 Pablo Moreno-Spiegelberg , Javier Aguilar

The first chapter concerns monotype population models. We first study general birth and death processes and we give non-explosion and extinction criteria, moment computations and a pathwise representation. We then show how different scales…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-06 Vincent Bansaye , Sylvie Méléard

We present a simple mathematical model that captures the evolutionary capabilities of a prebiotic compartment or protocell. In the model the protocell contains an autocatalytic set whose chemical dynamics is coupled to the growth-division…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-31 Angad Yuvraj Singh , Sanjay Jain
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