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Related papers: Scenarios for the Transition to AGI

200 papers

Recent advances in artificial general intelligence (AGI), particularly large language models and creative image generation systems have demonstrated impressive capabilities on diverse tasks spanning the arts and humanities. However, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Zhengliang Liu , Yiwei Li , Qian Cao , Junwen Chen , Tianze Yang , Zihao Wu , John Hale , John Gibbs , Khaled Rasheed , Ninghao Liu , Gengchen Mai , Tianming Liu

Producing an artificial general intelligence (AGI) has been an elusive goal in artificial intelligence (AI) research for some time. An AGI would have the capability, like a human, to be exposed to a new problem domain, learn about it and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Jeremy Straub

The development of AGI threatens to erode government tax bases, lower living standards, and disempower citizens -- risks that make the 40-year stagnation of wages during the first industrial revolution look mild in comparison. While AI…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Lucas Irwin , Tung-Yu Wu , Fazl Barez

Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) have led to a wide range of predictions about its long-term impact on humanity. A central focus is the potential emergence of transformative AI (TAI), eventually capable of outperforming…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-24 Jakub Growiec , Klaus Prettner

The rapid expansion of generative artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming work, creativity, and economic security in ways that extend beyond automation and productivity. This paper examines four interconnected dimensions of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Haocheng Lin

This article develops the concept of the agentic economy and diagnoses its measurable preconditions: a transition in which economic action is increasingly distributed among humans, AI agents, industrial robots, executable protocols, compute…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Davit Gondauri , Mikheil Batiashvili

A central question in economics is whether automation will displace human labor and diminish standards of living. Whilst prior works typically frame this question as a competition between human labor and machines, we frame it as a…

General Economics · Economics 2023-07-28 B. N. Kausik

The rise of Artificial Intelligence (AI) will bring with it an ever-increasing willingness to cede decision-making to machines. But rather than just giving machines the power to make decisions that affect us, we need ways to work…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Elisa Bertino , Finale Doshi-Velez , Maria Gini , Daniel Lopresti , David Parkes

Today, the economy is greatly influenced by Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). The purpose of this paper is to determine the impact of the quantitative relations of AGI on the country's economic parameters. The authors use the analysis…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-05 Davit Gondauri

We use an online experiment with a real work task to study whether workers change their behavior when they know AI will be used to judge their work instead of humans. We find that individuals produce a higher quantity of output when they…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-03 David Almog , Lucas Lippman , Daniel Martin

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is promoted by technology leaders and investors as a system capable of performing all human intellectual tasks, and potentially surpassing them. Despite its vague definition and uncertain feasibility,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Andreu Belsunces Gonçalves

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, science, finance, and the military. To adapt public policy, we need to better anticipate these advances. Here we report the results…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-07 Katja Grace , John Salvatier , Allan Dafoe , Baobao Zhang , Owain Evans

There is a substantial and ever-growing corpus of evidence and literature exploring the impacts of Artificial intelligence (AI) technologies on society, politics, and humanity as a whole. A separate, parallel body of work has explored…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-09-23 Benjamin S. Bucknall , Shiri Dori-Hacohen

Dramatic advances in artificial intelligence over the past decade (for narrow-purpose AI) and the last several years (for general-purpose AI) have transformed AI from a niche academic field to the core business strategy of many of the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Anthony Aguirre

The goal of creating Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) -- or in other words of creating Turing machines (modern computers) that can behave in a way that mimics human intelligence -- has occupied AI researchers ever since the idea of AI…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-12-02 J. Landgrebe , B. Smith

Artificial intelligence (AI) is gaining momentum, and its importance for the future of work in many areas, such as medicine and banking, is continuously rising. However, insights on the effective collaboration of humans and AI are still…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-04-20 Max Schemmer , Niklas Kühl , Carina Benz , Gerhard Satzger

A traditional approach to assessing emerging intelligence in the theory of intelligent systems is based on the similarity, "imitation" of human-like actions and behaviors, benchmarking the performance of intelligent systems on the scale of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Serge Dolgikh

Artificial Intelligence's (AI) rapid development and growth not only transformed industries but also fired up important debates about its impacts on employment, resource allocation, and the ethics involved in decision-making. It serves to…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-16 Mfon Akpan , Adeyemi Adebayo

In this perspective paper, we introduce the concept of Specialized Generalist Artificial Intelligence (SGAI or simply SGI) as a crucial milestone toward Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). Compared to directly scaling general abilities,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Kaiyan Zhang , Biqing Qi , Bowen Zhou

As progress in AI continues to advance, it is important to know how advanced systems will make choices and in what ways they may fail. Machines can already outsmart humans in some domains, and understanding how to safely build ones which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Stephen Casper
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