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Measuring and forecasting migration patterns, and how they change over time, has important implications for understanding broader population trends, for designing policy effectively and for allocating resources. However, data on migration…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-14 Monica Alexander , Kivan Polimis , Emilio Zagheni

Population decline is projected to become widespread in Europe, with the continental population set to reverse its longstanding trajectory of growth within the next five years. This represents unfamiliar demographic territory. Despite this,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-11 Niall Newsham , Francisco Rowe

We examine world migration as a social-spatial network of countries connected via movements of people. We assess how multilateral migratory relationships at global, regional, and local scales coexist ("glocalization"), divide…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-31 Valentin Danchev , Mason A. Porter

Understanding how population age structure shapes COVID-19 burden is crucial for pandemic preparedness, yet common summary measures such as median age ignore key distributional features like skewness, bimodality, and the proportional weight…

In the same way as tree rings give us useful information about the climate many decades ago (or even centuries ago in the case of big trees), population pyramids allow us to know birth or death rates several decades earlier. Naturally, they…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-22 Bertrand M. Roehner

Author's early work on aging is developed to yield a relationship between life spans and the velocity of aging. The mathematical analysis shows that the mean extent of the advancement of aging throughout one's life is conserved, or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Kazumi Suematsu

We consider a stationary continuous model of random size population with non-neutral mutations using a continuous state branching process with non-homogeneous immigration. We assume the type (or mutation) of the immigrants is random given…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-26 Hongwei Bi , Jean-François Delmas

Human population is at the centre of research on global environmental change. On the one hand, population dynamics influence the environment and the global climate system through consumption-based carbon emissions. On the other hand, health…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-02-02 Raya Muttarak

A growing attention in the empirical literature has been paid to the incidence of climate shocks and change in migration decisions. Previous literature leads to different results and uses a multitude of traditional empirical approaches.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-08 John Aoga , Juhee Bae , Stefanija Veljanoska , Siegfried Nijssen , Pierre Schaus

The methodological issues and statistical complexities of analyzing university students with migrant backgrounds is explored, focusing on Italian data from the University of Milano-Bicocca. With the increasing size of migrant populations…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-13 Lorenzo Giammei , Laura Terzera , Fulvia Mecatti

In this paper, we present a technique for parameterizing Leslie transition matrices from simple age and sex population counts, using an implementation of "Wood's Method" [wood]; these matrices can forecast population by age and sex (the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-24 W. Webb Sprague

Demographic transition, characterized by declines in fertility and mortality, is a global phenomenon associated with modernization. While typical patterns of fertility decline are observed in Western countries, their applicability to other…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-31 Kenji Itao

Accurate and timely population data are essential for disaster response and humanitarian planning, but traditional censuses often cannot capture rapid demographic changes. Social media data offer a promising alternative for dynamic…

Populations exhibiting partial migration consist of two groups of individuals: Those that mi- grate between habitats, and those that remain fixed in a single habitat. We propose several discrete-time population models to investigate the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Anushaya Mohapatra , Haley A. Ohms , David A. Lytle , Patrick De Leenheer

The application of Leslie matrices in demographic research is considered in this paper. The Leslie matrix is first proposed in the 1940s and gained popularity in the mid-1960s, becoming fundamental tool for predicting population dynamics.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-24 O. A. Malafeyev , T. R. Nabiev , N. D. Redinskikh

A rapid decline in mortality and fertility has become major issues in many developed countries over the past few decades. A precise model for forecasting demographic movements is important for decision making in social welfare policies and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Ka Kin Lam , Bo Wang

Migration is central in various societal problems related to socioeconomic development. While much of the existing research has focused on international migration, migration patterns within a single country remain relatively unexplored. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-16 Thomas Robiglio , Martina Contisciani , Márton Karsai , Tiago P. Peixoto

Migration is a key mechanism for expansion of communities. In spatially heterogeneous environments, rapidly gaining knowledge about the local environment is key to the evolutionary success of a migrating population. For historical human…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-07 Dong Wang , Michael W. Deem

We study the dynamics of an age-structured population in which the life expectancy of an offspring may be mutated with respect to that of its parent. When advantageous mutation is favored, the average fitness of the population grows…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 W. Hwang , P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

A steady influx of a single deleterious multilocus genotype will impose genetic load on the resident population and leave multiple descendants carrying various numbers of the foreign alleles. Provided that the foreign types are rare at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-16 Alexey Yanchukov , Stephen R. Proulx
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