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Related papers: Jump detection in high-frequency order prices

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In this paper, we propose a nonparametric way to test the hypothesis that time-variation in intraday volatility is caused solely by a deterministic and recurrent diurnal pattern. We assume that noisy high-frequency data from a discretely…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Ulrich Hounyo , Mark Podolskij

In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as a noisy Ito semimartingale. As this model is not identifiable, approximating by a time-changed Levy process can be useful for generative modelling. We give a new estimate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-17 Adam D. Bull

In this work, we consider the hedging error due to discrete trading in models with jumps. Extending an approach developed by Fukasawa [In Stochastic Analysis with Financial Applications (2011) 331-346 Birkh\"{a}user/Springer Basel AG] for…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-29 Mathieu Rosenbaum , Peter Tankov

We study contextual dynamic pricing, where a decision maker posts personalized prices based on observable contexts and receives binary purchase feedback indicating whether the customer's valuation exceeds the price. Each valuation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Xueping Gong , Wei You , Jiheng Zhang

Consider the sum $Y=B+B(H)$ of a Brownian motion $B$ and an independent fractional Brownian motion $B(H)$ with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. Even though $B(H)$ is not a semimartingale, it was shown in [\textit{Bernoulli} \textbf{7} (2001)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Fabian Mies

We present a unified technique for sequential estimation of convex divergences between distributions, including integral probability metrics like the kernel maximum mean discrepancy, $\varphi$-divergences like the Kullback-Leibler…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Tudor Manole , Aaditya Ramdas

In this paper, we develop econometric tools to analyze the integrated volatility of the efficient price and the dynamic properties of microstructure noise in high-frequency data under general dependent noise. We first develop consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Z. Merrick Li , Roger J. A. Laeven , Michel H. Vellekoop

The use of stochastic models, in effect piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP), has become increasingly popular especially for the modeling of chemical reactions and cell biophysics. Yet, exact simulation methods, for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-28 Romain Veltz

In this paper we study online change point detection in dynamic networks with time heterogeneous missing pattern within networks and dependence across the time course. The missingness probabilities, the entrywise sparsity of networks, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-24 Haotian Xu , Paromita Dubey , Yi Yu

We study a market model in which the volatility of the stock may jump at a random time from a fixed value to another fixed value. This model was already described in the literature. We present a new approach to the problem, based on partial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Miquel Montero

This paper studies the pricing and hedging of derivatives in frictionless and competitive, but incomplete jump-diffusion markets. A unique equivalent martingale measure (EMM) is obtained using filtration reduction to a fictitious complete…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-07 Karen Grigorian , Robert Jarrow

In this paper we investigate the local risk-minimization approach for a semimartingale financial market where there are restrictions on the available information to agents who can observe at least the asset prices. We characterize the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-20 Claudia Ceci , Katia Colaneri , Alessandra Cretarola

For local martingales with nonnegative jumps, we prove a sufficient criterion for the corresponding exponential martingale to be a true martingale. The criterion is in terms of exponential moments of a convex combination of the optional and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Alexander Sokol

We study asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of drift parameters for a jump-type Heston model based on continuous time observations, where the jump process can be any purely non-Gaussian L\'evy process of not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

Many results in stochastic analysis and mathematical finance involve local martingales. However, specific examples of strict local martingales are rare and analytically often rather unhandy. We study local martingales that follow a given…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Martin Herdegen , Sebastian Herrmann

We consider statistical estimation of superhedging prices using historical stock returns in a frictionless market with d traded assets. We introduce a plugin estimator based on empirical measures and show it is consistent but lacks suitable…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-08 Jan Obloj , Johannes Wiesel

Semidiscrete optimal transport is a challenging generalization of the classical transportation problem in linear programming. The goal is to design a joint distribution for two random variables (one continuous, one discrete) with fixed…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-22 Yinchu Zhu , Ilya O. Ryzhov

This paper models stochastic process of price time series of CSI 300 index in Chinese financial market, analyzes volatility characteristics of intraday high-frequency price data. In the new generalized Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-19 Xianfei Hui , Baiqing Sun , Indranil SenGupta , Yan Zhou , Hui Jiang

Understanding the micro-dynamics of asset prices in modern electronic order books is crucial for investors and regulators. In this paper, we use an order by order Eurostoxx database spanning over 3 years to analyze the joint dynamics of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-20 Salma Elomari-Kessab , Guillaume Maitrier , Julius Bonart , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We present a Markovian market model driven by a hidden Brownian efficient price. In particular, we extend the queue-reactive model, making its dynamics dependent on the efficient price. Our study focuses on two sub-models: a signal-driven…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-16 Emmanouil Sfendourakis