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We consider the execution of smart contracts on Bitcoin. There, every contract step corresponds to appending to the blockchain a new transaction that spends the output representing the old contract state, creating a new one for the updated…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Dario Maddaloni , Riccardo Marchesin , Roberto Zunino

We prove Bitcoin is secure under temporary dishonest majority. We assume the adversary can corrupt a specific fraction of parties and also introduce crash failures, i.e., some honest participants are offline during the execution of the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-08-02 Georgia Avarikioti , Lukas Kaeppeli , Yuyi Wang , Roger Wattenhofer

The Bitcoin system only provides eventual consistency. For everyday life, the time to confirm a Bitcoin transaction is prohibitively slow. In this paper we propose a new system, built on the Bitcoin blockchain, which enables strong…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-30 Christian Decker , Jochen Seidel , Roger Wattenhofer

We propose an extended demand response program, based on ancillary service for supplying flexible electricity demand. In our proposed scheme, we suggest a broader management model to control the scheduling and power consumption of Bitcoin…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-19 Elinor Ginzburg-Ganz , Ittay Eyal , Ram Machlev , Dmitry Baimel , Leena Santosh , Juri Belikov , Yoash Levron

This paper presents a stochastic model for block arrival times based on the difficulty retargeting rule used in Bitcoin, as well as other proof-of-work blockchains. Unlike some previous work, this paper explicitly models the difficulty…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-12-31 Daniel Fullmer , A. S. Morse

Blockchain technology enables the execution of collaborative business processes involving untrusted parties without requiring a central authority. Specifically, a process model comprising tasks performed by multiple parties can be…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-12-12 Luciano García-Bañuelos , Alexander Ponomarev , Marlon Dumas , Ingo Weber

Blockchain technology, with implications in the financial domain, offers data in the form of large-scale transaction networks. Analyzing transaction networks facilitates fraud detection, market analysis, and supports government regulation.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Junliang Luo , Xue Liu

Bitcoin is one of the cryptocurrencies that is gaining more popularity in recent years. Previous studies have shown that closing price alone is not enough to forecast stock market series. We introduce a new set of time series and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Stefano Sossi-Rojas , Gissel Velarde , Damian Zieba

A major challenge in blockchain sharding protocols is that more than 95% transactions are cross-shard. Not only those cross-shard transactions degrade the system throughput but also double the confirmation time, and exhaust an already…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Lan N. Nguyen , Truc Nguyen , Thang N. Dinh , My T. Thai

Bitcoin constructs temporal order internally rather than synchronizing to any external clock. Empirical evidence shows that its time evolution is non-continuous, probabilistic, and self-regulated. Block discovery follows a stochastic…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Bin Chen

Bitcoin has witnessed a prevailing transition that employing transaction fees paid by users rather than subsidy assigned by the system as the main incentive for mining.

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Hongwei Shi , Shengling Wang , Qin Hu , Xiuzhen Cheng , Jianhui Huang

We are interested in the nonparametric estimation of the probability density of price returns, using the kernel approach. The output of the method heavily relies on the selection of a bandwidth parameter. Many selection methods have been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-23 Matthieu Garcin

Transaction throughput, confirmation latency and confirmation reliability are fundamental performance measures of any blockchain system in addition to its security. In a decentralized setting, these measures are limited by two underlying…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Vivek Bagaria , Sreeram Kannan , David Tse , Giulia Fanti , Pramod Viswanath

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

Bitcoin has attracted attention from different market participants due to unpredictable price patterns. Sometimes, the price has exhibited big jumps. Bitcoin prices have also had extreme, unexpected crashes. We test the predictive power of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-15 Andrés García-Medina , Toan Luu Duc Huynh3

Payment channel networks like Bitcoin's Lightning network are an auspicious approach for realizing high transaction throughput and almost-instant confirmations in blockchain networks. However, the ability to successfully make payments in…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-11-27 Oguzhan Ersoy , Stefanie Roos , Zekeriya Erkin

Introduction: The paper addresses the challenging problem of predicting the short-term realized volatility of the Bitcoin price using order flow information. The inherent stochastic nature and anti-persistence of price pose difficulties in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-21 Artem Lensky , Mingyu Hao

This study proposes a hybrid deep learning model for forecasting the price of Bitcoin, as the digital currency is known to exhibit frequent fluctuations. The models used are the Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and the Long Short-Term…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Emmanuel Boadi

Most public blockchain protocols, including the popular Bitcoin and Ethereum blockchains, do not formally specify the order in which miners should select transactions from the pool of pending (or uncommitted) transactions for inclusion in…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-10-25 Johnnatan Messias , Mohamed Alzayat , Balakrishnan Chandrasekaran , Krishna P. Gummadi , Patrick Loiseau , Alan Mislove

Decentralized payment systems such as Bitcoin have become massively popular in the last few years, yet there is still much to be done in understanding their formal properties. The vast majority of decentralized payment systems work by…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Thomas Orton