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Ensemble forecasting is crucial for improving weather predictions, especially for forecasts of extreme events. Constructing an ensemble prediction system (EPS) based on conventional NWP models is highly computationally expensive. ML models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Xiaohui Zhong , Lei Chen , Hao Li , Jun Liu , Xu Fan , Jie Feng , Kan Dai , Jing-Jia Luo , Jie Wu , Bo Lu

Climate change alters ocean conditions, notably temperature and sea level. In the Bay of Bengal, these changes influence monsoon precipitation and marine productivity, critical to the Indian economy. In Phase 6 of the Coupled Model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-30 Abhishek Pasula , Deepak N. Subramani

Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is an important variable for forecasting severe weather and understanding deep convection and precipitation. The latest versions of the Global Forecast System (GFS) and related Global Ensemble…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-26 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness , Arthur DeGaetano

Marine fog poses a significant hazard to global shipping, necessitating effective detection and forecasting to reduce economic losses. In recent years, several machine learning (ML) methods have demonstrated superior detection accuracy…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Mengqiu Xu , Ming Wu , Kaixin Chen , Yixiang Huang , Mingrui Xu , Yujia Yang , Yiqing Feng , Yiying Guo , Bin Huang , Dongliang Chang , Zhenwei Shi , Chuang Zhang , Zhanyu Ma , Jun Guo

The application of machine learning to the study of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and their impacts on Earth has seen significant growth recently. Understanding and forecasting CME geoeffectiveness is crucial for protecting infrastructure…

With the advancement of meteorological instruments, abundant data has become available. Current approaches are typically focus on single-variable, single-region tasks and primarily rely on deterministic modeling. This limits unified…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Kaiyi Xu , Junchao Gong , Zhiwang Zhou , Zhangrui Li , Yuandong Pu , Yihao Liu , Ben Fei , Fenghua Ling , Wenlong Zhang , Lei Bai

Traditional numerical global climate models simulate the full Earth system by exchanging boundary conditions between separate simulators of the atmosphere, ocean, sea ice, land surface, and other geophysical processes. This paradigm allows…

Climate system models (CSMs), through integrating cross-sphere interactions among the atmosphere, ocean, land, and cryosphere, have emerged as pivotal tools for deciphering climate dynamics and improving forecasting capabilities. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Chenguang Zhou , Lei Chen , Xiaohui Zhong , Bo Lu , Hao Li , Libo Wu , Jie Wu , Jiahui Hu , Zesheng Dou , Pang-Chi Hsu , Xiaoye Zhang

We present a parsimonious deep learning weather prediction model to forecast seven atmospheric variables with 3-h time resolution for up to one-year lead times on a 110-km global mesh using the Hierarchical Equal Area isoLatitude…

The frontal structure of the Southern Ocean is investigated using a sophisticated frontal detection methodology, the Wavelet/Higher Order Statistics Enhancement (WHOSE) method, introduced in \cite{Chapman2014}. This methodology is applied…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-10-03 Christopher C. Chapman

Accurate prediction of tropical cyclones remains a major challenge for both numerical weather prediction and emerging artificial intelligence weather prediction systems. While recent global AI models have demonstrated strong skill in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-17 Zeyi Niu , Wei Huang , Sirong Huang , Zhuo Wang , Mu Mu , Mengqi Yang , Xinhai Han , Haofei Sun , Zhaoyang Huo , Bo Qin

FourCastNet, short for Fourier Forecasting Neural Network, is a global data-driven weather forecasting model that provides accurate short to medium-range global predictions at $0.25^{\circ}$ resolution. FourCastNet accurately forecasts…

A system of stochastic differential equations is formulated describing the heat and salt content of a two-box ocean. Variability in the heat and salt content and in the thermohaline circulation between the boxes is driven by fast Gaussian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-25 William Barham , Ian Grooms

In the past few years, Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based weather forecasting methods have widely demonstrated strong competitiveness among the weather forecasting systems. However, these methods are insufficient for high-spatial-resolution…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-18 Xujun Wei , Feng Zhang , Renhe Zhang , Wenwen Li , Cuiping Liu , Bin Guo , Jingwei Li , Haoyang Fu , Xu Tang

The potential for deploying autonomous systems can be significantly increased by improving the perception and interpretation of the environment. However, the development of deep learning-based techniques for autonomous systems in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Peter Mortimer , Raphael Hagmanns , Miguel Granero , Thorsten Luettel , Janko Petereit , Hans-Joachim Wuensche

We present a significantly-improved data-driven global weather forecasting framework using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) to forecast several basic atmospheric variables on a global grid. New developments in this framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana

Cloud-related parameterizations remain a leading source of uncertainty in climate projections. Although machine learning holds promise for Earth system models (ESMs), many data-driven parameterizations lack interpretability, physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-25 Arthur Grundner , Tom Beucler , Julien Savre , Axel Lauer , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

In the present study, we performed a 53-year wave hindcast (1970-2022) for a significant portion of the South China Sea (SCS) with an unstructured mesh that reaches considerably high resolution along the coasts of the Guangdong province…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-03 Tiziano Bagnasco , Alessandro Stocchino , Michalis I. Vousdoukas , Jinghua Wang

We present FengWu, an advanced data-driven global medium-range weather forecast system based on Artificial Intelligence (AI). Different from existing data-driven weather forecast methods, FengWu solves the medium-range forecast problem from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Kang Chen , Tao Han , Junchao Gong , Lei Bai , Fenghua Ling , Jing-Jia Luo , Xi Chen , Leiming Ma , Tianning Zhang , Rui Su , Yuanzheng Ci , Bin Li , Xiaokang Yang , Wanli Ouyang

We present an end-to-end deep learning framework for short-term forecasting of global sea surface dynamics based on sparse satellite altimetry data. Building on two state-of-the-art architectures: U-Net and 4DVarNet, originally developed…

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