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Data-driven approaches, most prominently deep learning, have become powerful tools for prediction in many domains. A natural question to ask is whether data-driven methods could also be used to predict global weather patterns days in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-30 Stephan Rasp , Peter D. Dueben , Sebastian Scher , Jonathan A. Weyn , Soukayna Mouatadid , Nils Thuerey

Foundation Models (FMs) are large-scale, pre-trained artificial intelligence (AI) systems that have revolutionized natural language processing and computer vision, and are now advancing geospatial analysis and Earth Observation (EO). They…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Pedram Ghamisi , Weikang Yu , Xiaokang Zhang , Aldino Rizaldy , Jian Wang , Chufeng Zhou , Richard Gloaguen , Gustau Camps-Valls

Storm surge, the onshore rush of sea water caused by the high winds and low pressure associated with a hurricane, can compound the effects of inland flooding caused by rainfall, leading to loss of property and loss of life for residents of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-09-29 Brian J. Reich , Montserrat Fuentes

A framework for probabilistic forecasting of vessel motion is developed and validated for a semisubmersible operating in long period swell. Bayesian statistical methods are applied to predictions of the heave response from a physics model…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-30 Ian Milne , Lachlan Astfalck , Matthew Zed , Jack Lee-Kopij , Edward Cripps

In the field of weather forecasting, traditional models often grapple with discretization errors and time-dependent source discrepancies, which limit their predictive performance. In this paper, we present WeatherODE, a novel one-stage,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Peiyuan Liu , Tian Zhou , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

This overview paper details the findings from the Diving Deep: Forecasting Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies Challenge at the European Conference on Machine Learning and Principles and Practice of Knowledge Discovery in Databases (ECML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Karin R. Bryan , Yun Sing Koh , Andreas Voskou , N'Dah Jean Kouagou , Arnab Sharma

The accurate prediction of oceanographic variables is crucial for understanding climate change, managing marine resources, and optimizing maritime activities. Traditional ocean forecasting relies on numerical models; however, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Víctor Medina , Giovanny A. Cuervo-Londoño , Javier Sánchez

Historically, the interpolation of large geophysical datasets has been tackled using methods like Optimal Interpolation (OI) or model-based data assimilation schemes. However, the recent connection between Stochastic Partial Differential…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-06 Maxime Beauchamp , Ronan Fablet , Hugo Georgenthum

Global data assimilation enables weather forecasting at all scales and provides valuable data for studying the Earth system. However, the computational demands of physics-based algorithms used in operational systems limits the volume and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Thomas J. Vandal , Kate Duffy , Daniel McDuff , Yoni Nachmany , Chris Hartshorn

Detecting marine objects inshore presents challenges owing to algorithmic intricacies and complexities in system deployment. We propose a difficulty-aware edge-cloud collaborative sensing system that splits the task into object localization…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Wenjun Huang , Hanning Chen , Yang Ni , Arghavan Rezvani , Sanggeon Yun , Sungheon Jeon , Eric Pedley , Mohsen Imani

El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) exerts global climate and societal impacts, but real-time prediction with lead times beyond one year remains challenging. Dynamical models suffer from large biases and uncertainties, while deep learning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-28 Rixu Hao , Yuxin Zhao , Shaoqing Zhang , Guihua Wang , Xiong Deng

NASA's Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI) is a key climate mission whose goal is to advance our understanding of the role of forests in the global carbon cycle. While GEDI is the first space-based LIDAR explicitly optimized to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Nico Lang , Nikolai Kalischek , John Armston , Konrad Schindler , Ralph Dubayah , Jan Dirk Wegner

We investigate the Continuous-Time Koopman Autoencoder (CT-KAE) as a lightweight surrogate model for long-horizon ocean state forecasting in a two-layer quasi-geostrophic (QG) system. By projecting nonlinear dynamics into a latent space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Rares Grozavescu , Pengyu Zhang , Mark Girolami , Etienne Meunier

An Ensemble of Data Assimilations (EDA) can provide valuable information on the analysis and short-range forecast uncertainties. The present ECMWF operational ocean analysis and reanalysis system, called ORAS5, produces an ensemble but does…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Marcin Chrust , Anthony T. Weaver , Philip Browne , Hao Zuo , Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda

In recent years, there has been significant progress in the development of fully data-driven global numerical weather prediction models. These machine learning weather prediction models have their strength, notably accuracy and low…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Alban Farchi , Marcin Chrust , Marc Bocquet , Massimo Bonavita

Climate modeling is reaching unprecedented resolution, producing petabytes of data. AI climate model emulators offer a path to computationally cheap analysis, enabling new scientific insight and scenario planning. Recent advances show…

Submesoscale processes, with spatio-temporal scales of O(0.01-10) km and hours to 1 day which are hardly resolved by current ocean models, are important sub-grid processes in ocean models. Due to the strong vertical currents, submesoscale…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-11 Shuyi Zhou , Jihai Dong , Fanghua Xu , Zhiyou Jing , Changming Dong

Ocean mesoscale variability, a key component of the climate system, influences ocean circulation and heat, gas, carbon and nutrient distribution. Trends on Eddy Kinetic Energy (EKE), a metric measuring its intensity, are investigated using…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-17 Bàrbara Barceló-Llull , Pere Rosselló , Vincent Combes , Antonio Sánchez-Román , M. Isabelle Pujol , Ananda Pascual

The ionosphere critically influences Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS), satellite communications, and Low Earth Orbit (LEO) operations, yet accurate prediction of its variability remains challenging due to nonlinear couplings…

Similar to conventional video generation, current deep learning-based weather prediction frameworks often lack explicit physical constraints, leading to unphysical outputs that limit their reliability for operational forecasting. Among…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-27 Qiusheng Huang , Xiaohui Zhong , Xu Fan , Lei Chen , Hao Li
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