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One of the most important studies in finance is to find out whether stock returns could be predicted. This research aims to create a new multivariate model, which includes dividend yield, earnings-to-price ratio, book-to-market ratio as…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-06 Jianying Xie

Reducing wealth inequality and increasing utility are critical issues. This study reveals the effects of redistribution and consumption morals on wealth inequality and utility. To this end, we present a novel approach that couples the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-21 Takeshi Kato , Yosuke Tanabe , Mohammad Rezoanul Hoque

This paper investigates the impact of pre-existing offline data on online learning, in the context of dynamic pricing. We study a single-product dynamic pricing problem over a selling horizon of $T$ periods. The demand in each period is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Jinzhi Bu , David Simchi-Levi , Yunzong Xu

We empirically test predictability on asset price by using stock selection rules based on maximum drawdown and its consecutive recovery. In various equity markets, monthly momentum- and weekly contrarian-style portfolios constructed from…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Jaehyung Choi

In real-world decision-making problems, for instance in the fields of finance, robotics or autonomous driving, keeping uncertainty under control is as important as maximizing expected returns. Risk aversion has been addressed in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Lorenzo Bisi , Luca Sabbioni , Edoardo Vittori , Matteo Papini , Marcello Restelli

The prototype of a cyclic dominant system is the so-called rock-scissors-paper game, but similar relation among competing strategies can be identified in several other models of evolutionary game theory. In this work we assume that a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-11 Attila Szolnoki , Xiaojie Chen

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We conduct a controlled crowd-sourced experiment of COVID-19 case data visualization to study if and how different plotting methods, time windows, and the nature of the data influence people's interpretation of real-world COVID-19 data and…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Oded Stein , Alec Jacobson , Fanny Chevalier

Classification algorithms based on Artificial Intelligence (AI) are nowadays applied in high-stakes decisions in finance, healthcare, criminal justice, or education. Individuals can strategically adapt to the information gathered about…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Marta C. Couto , Flavia Barsotti , Fernando P. Santos

The ability to identify stock market trends has obvious advantages for investors. Buying stock on an upward trend (as well as selling it in case of downward movement) results in profit. Accordingly, the start and end-points of the trend are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-20 Ekaterina Zolotareva

I examine a conceptual model of a recommendation system (RS) with user inflow and churn dynamics. When inflow and churn balance out, the user distribution reaches a steady state. Changing the recommendation algorithm alters the steady state…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Shichao Ma

An influential theory of increasing returns has been proposed by the economist W. B. Arthur in the '80s to explain the lock-in phenomenon between two competing commercial products. In the most simplified situation there are two competing…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Simone Franchini , Riccardo Balzan

We study several aspects of the so-called low-vol and low-beta anomalies, some already documented (such as the universality of the effect over different geographical zones), others hitherto not clearly discussed in the literature. Our most…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-08 S. Ciliberti , Y. Lempérière , A. Beveratos , G. Simon , L. Laloux , M. Potters , J. P. Bouchaud

In this paper,we study the individual's optimal retirement time and optimal consumption under habitual persistence. Because the individual feels equally satisfied with a lower habitual level and is more reluctant to change the habitual…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-01 Lin He , Zongxia Liang , Yilun Song , Qi Ye

An evolutionary game model is developed to study the interplay between consumers and producers when trade takes place on an e-commerce marketplace. The type of delivery service available and consumers' taste are particularly important…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-17 André Barreira da Silva Rocha , Matheus Oliveira Meirim , Lara Corrêa Nogueira

Financial transactions constitute connections between entities and through these connections a large scale heterogeneous weighted graph is formulated. In this labyrinth of interactions that are continuously updated, there exists a variety…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Antonia Gogoglou , Brian Nguyen , Alan Salimov , Jonathan Rider , C. Bayan Bruss

This work seeks to answer key research questions regarding the viability of reinforcement learning over the S&P 500 index. The on-policy techniques of Value Iteration (VI) and State-action-reward-state-action (SARSA) are implemented along…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Ishan S. Khare , Tarun K. Martheswaran , Akshana Dassanaike-Perera

This paper demonstrates the single-shot learning capabilities of retrospective cost optimization based data-driven control applied to learning multirotor controller gains for trajectory tracking. In particular, the proposed control approach…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-10 Mohammad Mirtaba , Parham Oveissi , Juan Augusto Paredes Salaza , Ankit Goel

Empirical data of supermarket sales show stylised facts that are similar to stock markets, with a broad (truncated) Levy distribution of weekly sales differences in the baseline sales [R.D. Groot, Physica A 353 (2005) 501]. To investigate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Robert D. Groot

We develop a unified model in which AI adoption in financial markets generates systemic risk through three mutually reinforcing channels: performative prediction, algorithmic herding, and cognitive dependency. Within an extended rational…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Shuchen Meng , Xupeng Chen
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