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This paper studies a composite problem involving the decision making of the optimal entry time and dynamic consumption afterwards. In stage-1, the investor has access to full market information subjecting to some information costs and needs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-05 Yue Yang , Xiang Yu

Offline Reinforcement learning is commonly used for sequential decision-making in domains such as healthcare and education, where the rewards are known and the transition dynamics $T$ must be estimated on the basis of batch data. A key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Leo Benac , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez

As AI agents generate increasingly sophisticated behaviors, manually encoding human preferences to guide these agents becomes more challenging. To address this, it has been suggested that agents instead learn preferences from human choice…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Henrik Marklund , Benjamin Van Roy

This work is motivated by a hand-collected data set from one of the largest Internet portals in Korea. This data set records the top 30 most frequently discussed stocks on its on-line message board. The frequencies are considered to measure…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-05 Yuneung Kim , Johan Lim , Young-Geun Choi , Sujung Choi , Do Hwan Park

Robot manipulation is increasingly poised to interact with humans in co-shared workspaces. Despite increasingly robust manipulation and control algorithms, failure modes continue to exist whenever models do not capture the dynamics of the…

Detecting changes in asset co-movements is of much importance to financial practitioners, with numerous risk management benefits arising from the timely detection of breakdowns in historical correlations. In this article, we propose a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

[Purpose] To better understand the online reviews and help potential consumers, businessmen, and product manufacturers effectively obtain users' evaluation on product aspects, this paper explores the distribution regularities of user…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Chenglei Qin , Chengzhi Zhang , Yi Bu

While most reinforcement learning methods today flatten the distribution of future returns to a single scalar value, distributional RL methods exploit the return distribution to provide stronger learning signals and to enable applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Perry Dong , Chongyi Zheng , Chelsea Finn , Dorsa Sadigh , Benjamin Eysenbach

This paper systematically conducts an analysis of the composite index 1-min datasets over the 17-year period (2005-2021) for both the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges. To reveal the difference between the Chinese and the mature stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-27 Peng Liu , Yanyan Zheng

We study the constraints on the inflationary parameter space derived from the 3 year WMAP dataset using ``slow roll reconstruction'', using the SDSS galaxy power spectrum to gain further leverage where appropriate. This approach inserts the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-05-12 Hiranya Peiris , Richard Easther

The correlation matrix is the key element in optimal portfolio allocation and risk management. In particular, the eigenvectors of the correlation matrix corresponding to large eigenvalues can be used to identify the market mode, sectors and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-05 S. Valeyre , D. S. Grebenkov , S. Aboura

We consider an online regression setting in which individuals adapt to the regression model: arriving individuals are aware of the current model, and invest strategically in modifying their own features so as to improve the predicted score…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Yahav Bechavod , Katrina Ligett , Zhiwei Steven Wu , Juba Ziani

In real-time forecasting in public health, data collection is a non-trivial and demanding task. Often after initially released, it undergoes several revisions later (maybe due to human or technical constraints) - as a result, it may take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Alexander Rodríguez , B. Aditya Prakash

The only acceptable form of polling in the multi-billion dollar survey research field utilizes representative samples. We argue that with proper statistical adjustment, non-representative polling can provide accurate predictions, and often…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-01 David Rothschild , Sharad Goel , Andrew Gelman , Doug Rivers

Motivated by pricing in ad exchange markets, we consider the problem of robust learning of reserve prices against strategic buyers in repeated contextual second-price auctions. Buyers' valuations for an item depend on the context that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-27 Negin Golrezaei , Adel Javanmard , Vahab Mirrokni

This paper explores the dynamics of learning in a multi-sector general equilibrium model where firms operate under incomplete information about their production returns to scale. Firms iteratively update their beliefs using maximum…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Stefano Nasini , Rabia Nessah , Bertrand Wigniolle

The public goods game is one of the most famous models for studying the evolution of cooperation in sizable groups. The multiplication factor in this game can characterize the investment return from the public good, which may be variable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-10-26 Xiaojie Chen , Yongkui Liu , Yonghui Zhou , Long Wang , Matjaz Perc

The emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic, a new and novel risk factor, leads to the stock price crash due to the investors' rapid and synchronous sell-off. However, within a short period, the quality sectors start recovering from the bottom.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-16 Ajit Mahata , Anish rai , Om Prakash , Md Nurujjaman

In this paper we argue for the fundamental importance of the value distribution: the distribution of the random return received by a reinforcement learning agent. This is in contrast to the common approach to reinforcement learning which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-24 Marc G. Bellemare , Will Dabney , Rémi Munos

The recovery of the input signal covariance values from its one-bit sampled counterpart has been deemed a challenging task in the literature. To deal with its difficulties, some assumptions are typically made to find a relation between the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-01 Arian Eamaz , Farhang Yeganegi , Mojtaba Soltanalian