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Previous research has demonstrated that various properties of infectious diseases can be inferred from online search behaviour. In this work we use time series of online search query frequencies to gain insights about the prevalence of…

Using network analysis, this paper develops a multidimensional methodological framework for understanding the uneven (cross-country) spread of COVID-19 in the context of the global interconnected economy. The globally interconnected system…

General Economics · Economics 2021-01-28 Dimitrios Tsiotas , Vassilis Tselios

We study the epidemic spreading on spatial networks where the probability that two nodes are connected decays with their distance as a power law. As the exponent of the distance dependence grows, model networks smoothly transition from the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Matúš Medo

In this paper we create a compartmental, stochastic process model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission, where the process's mean and variance have distinct dynamics. The model is fit to time series data from Washington from January 2020 to March 2021…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-05 Niket Thakkar , Mike Famulare

As a highly infectious respiratory disease, COVID-19 has become a pandemic that threatens global health. Without an effective treatment, non-pharmaceutical interventions, such as travel restrictions, have been widely promoted to mitigate…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Qianqian Sun , Yixuan Pan , Weiyi Zhou , Chenfeng Xiong , Lei Zhang

Comparing how different populations have suffered under COVID-19 is a core part of ongoing investigations into how public policy and social inequalities influence the number of and severity of COVID-19 cases. But COVID-19 incidence can vary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-17 Ryan Wilkinson , Marcus Roper

In this paper, I study epidemic diffusion in a generalized spatial SEIRD model, where individuals are initially connected in a social or geographical network. As the virus spreads in the network, the structure of interactions between people…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-23 Giorgio Fagiolo

Since the beginning of the epidemic, daily reports of CoViD-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths from around the world have been publicly available. This paper describes methods to characterize broad features of the spread of the disease,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-15 Dean Karlen

The rapid spread of COVID-19 disease has had a significant impact on the world. In this paper, we study COVID-19 data interpretation and visualization using open-data sources for 351 cities and towns in Massachusetts from December 6, 2020…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-04 Ru Geng , Yixian Gao , Hongkun Zhang , Jian Zu

We review epidemiological models for the propagation of the COVID-19 pandemic during the early months of the outbreak: from February to May 2020. The aim is to propose a methodological review that highlights the following characteristics:…

The ongoing Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic threatens the health of humans and causes great economic losses. Predictive modelling and forecasting the epidemic trends are essential for developing countermeasures to mitigate this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-01 Ling Xue , Shuanglin Jing , Joel C. Miller , Wei Sun , Huafeng Li , Jose Guillermo Estrada-Franco , James M Hyman , Huaiping Zhu

We provide a predictive analysis of the spread of COVID-19, also known as SARS-CoV-2, using the dataset made publicly available online by the Johns Hopkins University. Our main objective is to provide predictions of the number of infected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Alireza M. Javid , Xinyue Liang , Arun Venkitaraman , Saikat Chatterjee

To better predict the dynamics of epidemics such as COVID-19, it is important not only to investigate the network of local and long-range contagious contacts but also to understand the temporal dynamics of infectiousness and detectable…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Miguel A. Cajahuanca Ricaldi , Yaroslav Ispolatov

Mutating variants of COVID-19 have been reported across many US states since 2021. In the fight against COVID-19, it has become imperative to study the heterogeneity in the time-varying transmission rates for each variant in the presence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-17 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

The ongoing pandemic of Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) emerged in Wuhan, China in the end of 2019. It has already affected more than 300,000 people, with the number of deaths nearing 13000 across the world. As it has been posing a huge…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-25 Soudeep Deb , Manidipa Majumdar

This paper conducts a systematic statistical analysis of the characteristics of the geographical empirical distributions for the numbers of both cumulative and daily confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths at county, city, and state levels over…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-27 Peng Liu , Yanyan Zheng

The rapid spread of COVID-19 in the United States has imposed a major threat to public health, the real economy, and human well-being. With the absence of effective vaccines, the preventive actions of social distancing and travel reduction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-02 Chao Fan , Sanghyeon Lee , Yang Yang , Bora Oztekin , Qingchun Li , Ali Mostafavi

In this paper, we propose a deep learning model to forecast the range of increase in COVID-19 infected cases in future days and we present a novel method to compute equidimensional representations of multivariate time series and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Ankit Ramchandani , Chao Fan , Ali Mostafavi

The paper presents classification and analysis of the mathematical models of COVID-19 spread in different groups of populations such as the family, school, office (3-100 people), neighborhood (100-5000 people), city, region (0.5-15 million…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-01 O. I. Krivorotko , S. I. Kabanikhin

This work systematically conducts a data analysis based on the numbers of both cumulative and daily confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths in a time span through April 2020 to June 2022 for over 200 countries around the world. Such research…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-20 Peng Liu , Yanyan Zheng