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While COVID-19 is rapidly propagating around the globe, the need for providing real-time forecasts of the epidemics pushes fits of dynamical and statistical models to available data beyond their capabilities. Here we focus on statistical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-08 Tommaso Alberti , Davide Faranda

In this paper we propose an epidemiological model for the spread of COVID-19. The dynamics of the spread is based on four fundamental categories of people in a population: Tested and infected, Non-Tested but infected, Tested but not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-12 Buddhananda Banerjee , Pradumn Kumar Pandey , Bibhas Adhikari

Currently, the global situation of COVID-19 is aggravating, pressingly calling for efficient control and prevention measures. Understanding spreading pattern of COVID-19 has been widely recognized as a vital step for implementing…

The ongoing novel coronavirus epidemic has been announced a pandemic by the World Health Organization on March 11, 2020, and the Govt. of India has declared a nationwide lockdown from March 25, 2020, to prevent community transmission of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-26 Subhas Khajanchi , Kankan Sarkar

COVID-19 is a global health crisis that has had unprecedented, widespread impact on households across the United States and has been declared a global pandemic on March 11, 2020 by World Health Organization (WHO) [1]. According to Centers…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-25 Harshvardhan Uppaluru , Hamid Emadi , Hossein Rastgoftar

Raw data on the cumulative number of deaths at a country level generally indicate a spatially variable distribution of the incidence of COVID-19 disease. An important issue is to determine whether this spatial pattern is a consequence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-21 Lionel Roques , Olivier Bonnefon , Virgile Baudrot , Samuel Soubeyrand , Henri Berestycki

As the COVID-19 ravaging through the globe, accurate forecasts of the disease spread is crucial for situational awareness, resource allocation, and public health decision-making. Alternative to the traditional disease surveillance data…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-04 Simin Ma , Shihao Yang

We present a robust data-driven machine learning analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic from its early infection dynamics, specifically infection counts over time. The goal is to extract actionable public health insights. These insights include…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-06 Malik Magdon-Ismail

The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases reached over 1.3 million in Ontario, Canada by June 4, 2022. The continued spread of the virus underlying COVID-19 has been spurred by the emergence of variants since the initial outbreak in December,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-25 Yuxuan Zhao , Samuel W. K. Wong

With COVID-19 affecting every country globally and changing everyday life, the ability to forecast the spread of the disease is more important than any previous epidemic. The conventional methods of disease-spread modeling, compartmental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-19 Benjamin Lucas , Behzad Vahedi , Morteza Karimzadeh

A new epidemic model for Covid-19 has been constructed and simulated for eight US states. The coefficients for this model, based on seven coupled differential equations, are carefully evaluated against recorded data on cases and deaths.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-23 Fazle Hussain , Zeina S. Khan , Frank Van Bussel

COVID-19 pandemic has an unprecedented impact all over the world since early 2020. During this public health crisis, reliable forecasting of the disease becomes critical for resource allocation and administrative planning. The results from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Xiaoyong Jin , Yu-Xiang Wang , Xifeng Yan

COVID-19 has been affecting every aspect of societal life including human mobility since December, 2019. In this paper, we study the impact of COVID-19 on human mobility patterns at the state level within the United States. From the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Songhe Wang , Kangda Wei , Lei Lin , Weizi Li

It is crucial for policymakers to understand the community prevalence of COVID-19 so combative resources can be effectively allocated and prioritized during the COVID-19 pandemic. Traditionally, community prevalence has been assessed…

The advent of the COVID-19 pandemic has instigated unprecedented changes in many countries around the globe, putting a significant burden on the health sectors, affecting the macro economic conditions, and altering social interactions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-23 Dmitry Gordeev , Philipp Singer , Marios Michailidis , Mathias Müller , SriSatish Ambati

Exploring the spatio-temporal variations of COVID-19 transmission and its potential determinants could provide a deeper understanding of the dynamics of disease spread. This study aims to investigate the spatio-temporal spread of COVID-19…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-21 Xueqing Yin , John M. Aiken , Richard Harris , Jonathan L. Bamber

Since the outbreak of the COVID-19, there have been many scientific publications studying the COVID-19. The purpose of this study is to identify the research trend, collaboration pattern, most influential elements, etc. from scientific…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Xuezhou Fan

This paper introduces new methods to track the offset between two multivariate time series on a continuous basis. We then apply this framework to COVID-19 counts on a state-by-state basis in the United States to determine the progression…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-19 Nick James , Max Menzies

Since the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in December 2019, studies have been addressing diverse aspects in relation to COVID-19 and Variant of Concern 202012/01 (VOC 202012/01) such as potential symptoms and predictive tools.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Wasiq Khan , Abir Hussain , Sohail Ahmed Khan , Mohammed Al-Jumailey , Raheel Nawaz , Panos Liatsis

The COVID-19 pandemic represents the most significant public health disaster since the 1918 influenza pandemic. During pandemics such as COVID-19, timely and reliable spatio-temporal forecasting of epidemic dynamics is crucial. Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Lijing Wang , Aniruddha Adiga , Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Jiangzhuo Chen , Bryan Lewis , Madhav Marathe